We are most likely going to go to betterment as we get one year free. We are also considering Vanguard Life Strategy Moderate Growth fund. We looked at the ten year returns on the Vanguard fund and they were at 5.75%, while a 60/40 split at betterment back looking averaged over 7% after fees.
A few comments on that:
1. Looking at past returns of a Vanguard LifeStrategy fund doesn't mean much, because the fund was dragged down by an active management component. Vanguard removed the active management portion of the fund after the crash, and has committed to staying index-only for the future. A current LifeStrategy fund would also have gained over 7% from 2004-2014:
2. Betterment wasn't around 10 years ago. Taking their current portfolio and extrapolating it back 10 years is an invalid comparison. Who knows what changes they would've made in 2008 to "protect capital". As shown above, even Vanguard's LifeStrategy fund made changes. Is it unlikely? Sure, but it's possible. Even Vanguard, as shown above, made changes after the crash, and I'd guess that a young company with VC investors to please would be more likely to stray from the course than Vanguard, who is owned by the people who own their funds (us).
3. I'd recommend not looking at past results to predict future mutual fund performance. The SEC feels this is such a bad idea, they've made it a requirement for managers to state this. If you want a 60/40 portfolio, I'd recommend taking the lowest-cost path to get there. Right now, I like Lifestrategy. If you really want the lowest cost in your IRA, you could go for WiseBanyan, they do everything Betterment would do for your IRA, but with no fees:
https://wisebanyan.comI'm sure you can get an invite from someone on the forums. Of course, the absolute lowest fee possible is a 3 fund portfolio:
Total US Stock Index Fund -
https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/snapshot?FundId=0585&FundIntExt=INTTotal International Stock Index Fund -
https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/snapshot?FundId=0569&FundIntExt=INTTotal Bond Market Index Fund -
https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/snapshot?FundId=0584&FundIntExt=INTTotal yearly fee of Betterment's investment portfolio (Betterment's fee + the fee from the Vanguard investments they put you in), if you have over $100,000 invested: About 0.31%
Total yearly fee of Vanguard's LifeStrategy investment portfolio: 0.16%
Total yearly fee of WiseBanyan's portfolio: About 0.11%
Total yearly fee of 3 fund portfolio: 0.089%
Good luck with your decision!