Hello all! After lurking on the MMM blog and forums for a year, I'm venturing out into the open to ask for perspectives or advice on a choice I'm facing about my financial planning.
I'd be so grateful for any thoughts from anyone with the time for a long ‘case-study’ read - I find the discussions on here so useful to my thinking.
FACTS:
I'm 34, single and have just moved to Hong Kong for my first permanent academic post; I'll be here for at least the next 6-8 years, but will likely move internationally (no idea where) over the course of my career, as many academics do. I'm Australian, but recently came from 6 years in the US for my PhD.
Years of frugal and joyful grad-student living have happily atrophied most of my spending muscles, and the combination of very slow but determined saving in my twenties and a sudden blast of real wages over the past year have left me with a financial situation as follows (I think in Aussie dollars, but you can do the maths as though they're US dollars):
$105k in savings (straight-up cash - zero interest savings and 2.7% term deposits - MMM has taught me that this is an insane amount to have not invested; all I can offer in my defense is that a fair bit of it came out of nowhere in the last year!)
$25k in retirement fund (Australian version of kinda-tax-sheltered 401k)
-$30k in Australian education loan from undergrad (no interest except inflation tracking (currently 1.5-2% p.a.), and no need to repay at all while not earning in Australia)
I have nothing else to my name, and I'm pretty sure that by aiming hard at a good happy mustachian lifestyle, even this "high cost of living city" with crazy-high rent will allow for a 60% ongoing savings rate (about 70k p.a.): 7 weeks in, I'm hitting that target sustainably.
GOAL:
To be able to retire if I want at 50-55, and to buy a house at some point in the next 20 years. So I’m figuring on a target of 3 million: 2 million stache to sustain an $80k cost of living (working off a living cost of 40k in today’s dollars, adjusted up for 20 years of 3.5% inflation), and a generous 1 million for a house. So far, my maths and FI calculator use suggests that I should hit exactly this in 20 years – much sooner if I buy a cheaper house.
PROBLEM:
As all that hoarded cash suggests, I know nothing about investing. I'm on my own to devise a long-term plan for where to put this money; and with a lump sum of 100k, and more savings piling up to scare me further each month, it’s urgent I get a plan into action.
The plan I’ve been able to come up with is this: put pretty much all my money and future monthly savings (except for a very small emergency fund) into the cheapest-fee ETFs available in Hong Kong (Vanguard and BlackRock products mostly), exposing myself to a diverse array of markets, and hoping for about a 6% return over the long term.
I can get 3 local market ETFs through my bank’s low-brokerage-fee monthly investment scheme, and others (S&P500; FTSI; Asia; Europe) I can buy each month, in a dollar-cost averaging kind of way, also through my bank’s brokerage service. Going through the bank for these has higher fees to buy/sell than independent online brokers, but is straightforward for a scared newbie.
I believe I can buy stocks myself for an average entry cost of about 1% - or less if I save a bigger sum before I invest. (Is this normal?? Does this entry cost sound ok??) ETF annual fees for the funds I’ve selected are on average .17%: the cheapest rates available in Hong Kong.
I tested the waters with about 5k into 6 ETFs over the past fortnight (brokerage fees waived for this month on mobile banking, and there was a little dip in the market) and think I’ve roughly got the hang of the process itself, though I have to confess, all the “p/e ratio”, “spread”, “lot size” information tends to play on my anxiety (I worry: should I be using this information? what don’t I know that others do? am I even doing this right?)
BUT!
I went to see a financial adviser today, because MOVING this money might be a thing I’ll want to do if I take a job in the US or Australia or Europe, and Hong Kong’s amazingly low tax rates will not follow me. Little as I know about shares, I know even less about international tax laws. For this stuff, I know I’ll need help from a professional at some point before I retire.
The financial adviser (seems a decent, sensible person; older guy, very generous with his time in a 2.5-hour (!) free meeting today; is also an Australian in HK, so has insight into retiring to Aus) charges a 1% fee for his services; the offer is that he comes up with an ‘investment package’ which is actively managed by an outsourced brokerage/management team. This team then charges at least .6% and “up to” 2% to manage the funds; which will (mustachians all together: “TRY TO”) have returns 4-5% over straight savings returns even inclusive of these fees.
The financial adviser would therefore compute the total amount of fees at 1% - he doesn’t think the other fees “count”. With my mustachian training from a year of lurking, I would compute the total amount of fees as at least 3%: even if there aren’t other fees being passed on to me through the purchase of mutual funds etc. within the portfolio. There is also a $1200 setup cost.
Here’s my dilemma: because it’s not as simple when moving internationally is involved, is it worth having a financial adviser taking care of investments – even with these un-mustachian fees? Might that not save me enormously in helping with moving money/dealing with tax implications/doing tricksy things like having Australian dollars as part of my HK portfolio even though the currency here is different? What if in my ignorance of this stuff I screw up royally, or even screw up just picking which ETFs to buy? Might these advisory considerations make the fees “worth it” even if the active managers don’t beat the market by at least their fee amount?
Or what about this: should I give over 50% of my portfolio to this financial adviser, and do the rest in ETFs myself, lowering the total fee percentage and still getting advice if I need it when moving?
(Jesus, I didn’t think this would be this long to write out! Sorry sorry sorry!)
Weary traveller, if you’ve made it this far and still have the strength to type: what would you do?