I was predicting a top on May 2, 2017. but my latest simulation has exposed a new factor.
Due to a randomly popular social media thread, all investors will simultaneously move to VTSAX or similar market index fund.
This will push the market higher due to stability and social media will drive three to five months of new index investing as everyone pushes their leftover pennies into the market. In month six, a financial news reporter will write a new blog talking about all the companies that are now losing money but have not had any fluctuation in stock market value, leading to additional blogs about the market being super-inflated due to social media.
On or about November 17th, with Black Friday, Walmart and Best Buy, desperate to improve stock price and woo investors out of the index-only craze, will pay 1000 bloggers to spread the social media index bubble scandal causing consumers to withdraw all money from the market in preparation of after Thanksgiving shopping.
With no actual stock trading for six months leading to a massive withdrawal by consumers, the market will do a complete fail. Trump will freeze trading after Trump Inc buys into Walmart and Best Buy, then will initiate the Wall Street Reset Act which will forever ban index trading and mutual funds and require all investors to invest only in individual stocks.
After which the model is unable to predict anything further ...