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Learning, Sharing, and Teaching => Investor Alley => Topic started by: Financial.Velociraptor on April 24, 2018, 02:54:25 PM

Title: 10 year Treasury hits 3.00%
Post by: Financial.Velociraptor on April 24, 2018, 02:54:25 PM
The ten year finally broke the 3 threshold: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield (https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield)
Title: Re: 10 year Treasury hits 3.00%
Post by: sol on April 24, 2018, 02:59:05 PM
Does this mean we can finally stop hearing from all of those folks who think any SWR above 2.5% is scandalously irresponsible?
Title: Re: 10 year Treasury hits 3.00%
Post by: harvestbook on April 24, 2018, 03:30:00 PM
Hating: The bonds I've bought.
Loving: The bonds I'm going to buy.
Title: Re: 10 year Treasury hits 3.00%
Post by: Rob_bob on April 24, 2018, 05:06:38 PM
I remember maybe a year ago hearing Harry Dent say when the 10 year hit 3% the stock market would head down.  We will see if this is another of his bad calls.
Title: Re: 10 year Treasury hits 3.00%
Post by: Financial.Velociraptor on April 24, 2018, 06:50:28 PM
Here's my guess at what a healthy yield curve looks like:

Inflation @ 2.3%

Short term treasuries:
4.25-5%

Ten Year:
6.25%

20-30 Year:
7-7.5%

No point in buying bonds until the yields get to that level or better in my opinion.  To much risk otherwise.

I like your thinking.  But I have fixed income anyway.