Life situation: Our family of 4 (36,39,3,6) is doing fine but feeling cramped in a 2 bedroom house in the city with no yard and tough on street parking. We like our school district as we were redistricted (a change from a case study three years ago) Housing prices around us are skyrocketing and we're worried we’ll never get into a bigger house with a yard. We are tired and stressed out. We both work full time, our kids are wild, and we spend a lot of time traveling to and taking care of a family member. We don’t track spending and just put things on automatic to save.
Adding to the drama my wife and I went under contract on a house and pulled out (wife’s decision based on neighbors) based on a contingency. The day since the offer until a week ago I’ve had major anxiety issues. Basically I was immediately regretting the decision to place the offer (below asking) and have it accepted (reasons in my head against purchase: fear it was too expensive 545k price and $2700 mortgage, $1300 higher than current mortgage, a non mustachian move, we won’t be able to retire early now, I really let my anxiety about money grip me, etc) and then almost immediately regretting walking from the contract (reasons for purchase: worried prices will just keep going up, wanting to give my kids a backyard, parking space, more bedrooms and daylight, chill out about money and live a little, inventory so low one won’t come up again, we didn’t face a bidding war but now maybe we will, we probably could afford it, should have just sold existing house and use a small portion of that money to float us if needed until 2nd kid goes to school in 2023 etc.)
I’m seeking advice on my housing / financial strategy forward and maybe my mental health / anxiety issues.
More background:A Link to the sell or rent post. That I made when we went under contract.
https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/real-estate-and-landlording/sell-or-rent-case-study/msg2843066/#msg2843066Link to the case study post 3 years ago. Historical info
https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/case-studies/2nd-baby-on-the-way-doing-ok-but-expenses-going-up/msg2720171/#msg2720171
Gross Salary/Wages: Now 163,000 (for 2020 spending 155k plus stimulus checks $2400 and $3400)
Retirement / pre tax (yearly)457: 39k
Trad. IRA: 12k
Pretax pension 1: 4426
Pretax pension 2: 3727
Brokerage: 800 into VTSAX (after tax)
Health Insurance: $3036
Employer contribution: 1k
FSA: 600 recycled below - not in total
Dependent care: 5000 recycled below - not in total
Adjusted Gross Income: 100k for 2020
Taxes:SS: 9579
Medicare: 2240
Federal income:4927
State income: 4493
Current expenses:Mortgage: 16900
$1408 total, P: $311.64 I $591.44 Escrow payment:
$350.78 (one year home insurance: $1481) approx. Rate 3.75 (could refi to a 2.875 for 20 yr for an extra $2600 rolled in, would take 9 months or so to be worth it)
Utilities: 2100
Electricity: 1620
Daycare and afterschool care, summer camps) 22,300 current, had a gap during covid - goes to 14,400 per year this fall, will save about 7900 (Adding in afterschool care but not including additional summer camp costs)
Student Loan: $0 (forgiven)
Cell phone: 852
Mandatory life insurance: 260
Car insurance: 870
This is 2020 spending on “variable things” (mostly credit card spending here)
Dining: 3900 (a lot yes, we purposefully used some of stimulus checks to support local restaurants)
Gas stations: 2310 (almost $600 in tolls, drive a lot to see family)
Health care: 600
Groceries: 7900 (a lot yes, hair on fire for sure)
Gym: 600 (852 in 2021 though this should pay for itself in afterschool care savings - not factored in above, i don’t fully understand)
Merchandise (amazon, clothes, kids stuff, outdoor gear, new mattress, kind of a catch all for all the other things I couldn’t categorize): 5850
Cabins camping: 450
Home repair labor and materials (by me and others): 4600 (mostly one time fixes, should only be 800 this year)
I have 144,210 based on this fall’s expenses (15k figure for daycare, $800 for home repair estimate) Increased child tax credit will also give me an extra $2600 this year.
Assets:Pension cash out value: 82k
Vanguard roth and trad: 152k (target date 2050)
457: 440k (88% stock index 12% bond index)
House: 184k equity estimate
Car: 10k
Cash: 77k (was going to be for closing on house)
Total $ assets: 751k
With house: 935k
Car left out
(With the current 61k yearly savings at 5% return I have us hitting a 2 million stash in ten years)
Liabilities:175k left on mortgage.
Advice needed / questions: Can I afford a 500k plus house? I think yes, I think in retrospect I just should have stopped obsessing over renting and sold my existing house and taken a small buffer out (20k or so) for improvements and to buffer me until 2023 if I needed it. And then stash the rest of the 140k or so in target date 2050 or VTSAX or something.
We are OK to stay in our house for a bit (yes, I need to re-read the stoic MMM post and possibly that book). Also need to deal with my anxiety and thinking about the past (unhealthy thoughts: why didn’t we buy another house in the past 6 years).
I just want to have a plan if the perfect house comes up and this time feel confident in the decision. But at the same time I want to relax and enjoy my current situation and stop obsessing over the next step.
I’m worried about housing prices continuing to skyrocket and not being able to afford a new one. I’m worried about Inflation eating away my 77k. And wanting a strategy if rates go up (adjust down payment higher or pay off more aggressively maybe). On the other side, At least I have a house now and if it goes up in value similarly to others I shouldn’t lose out too much. We will also have more money when my 2nd goes to school in 2023 (that will save about 8k year). And more money this year at least due to Child Tax Credit (2600 extra this year). And my wife also got a 10% raise for an 8k gross raise over last year.
Where should I keep this 77k while we decide? I was thinking the highest yielding money market I can find for now.
Should I refi? It will pay itself off in 9 months. I honestly don't know when/if we'll move. We could be here another 5 years or the perfect house could come available next month.
Regarding new savings, I was thinking about stacking more savings into a checking account only for house downpayment, basically forcing myself to pay a fake higher mortgage for now.
If we do buy another house, I’m pretty solid on selling our current house. Then the question is what do we do with the $160,000 in proceeds?
Short term goals: Enjoy life, reduce stress. Eventually get a bigger house. Go on vacations. Track spending better.
ER goal: Nothing firm at this time other than as at minimum I don’t want to work a day longer than my pension eligibility when I am 59. If I retire early I have to take my pension at 67 or take the cash out value. Otherwise hope for a buy out. Other goals are just to save enough money where if we move or one of us loses a job that we’ll be OK for a while or one of us can just work part time. Also, we've had some very generous grandparents put lots in the 529s. Thanks for reading this took a long time to put together.