Hello! I think I’m at the point where I need some wiser folks to look over my situation and my plan and perhaps offer advice, criticism, etc. I’ve been in accumulation mode so long I can’t quite believe I’m getting close to retiring.
I wrote down a LOT of info below (too much?), but basically, I’m having trouble deciding between:A. Working 1-3 more years and taking a reduced early pension. Supplement yearly spend with 457b.
B. Retiring ASAP and waiting to take penalty-free pension at 60. I could possibly bridge the gap with a 457b, and maybe Roth ladder.
** LIFE SITUATION ** Married. I’m 48. My wife is 46. No kids. We file Jointly.
** GROSS WAGES **I currently make $68k and my wife makes $65k ($133k combined). We both recently got raises. We both work at a large state university in the US.
** CURRENT BUDGET **Needs:
Mortgage = $947.54
Phone = $20.00
Internet = $75.00
Water = $20.00
Trash = $20.00
Natural Gas = $50.00
Electric = $150.00
Transportation (insurance, tax, tag, gas, maintenance, etc.) = $224.84
Medical (doctor bills, meds) = $70
Food (groceries, take out, adult beverages) = $700
Household supplies = $200
Personal care and clothing = $70
Misc. = $110
Wants:
Travel Fund = $300.00
Netflix = $15.49
Amazon Prime = $11.58
YouTube = $11.99
Books = $25.00
TOTAL SPENDING. Monthly = ~ $3,200.00 (Yearly = ~$38,400.00). I’d say it’s probably closer to $40k in recent years if I’m honest and include occasional purchases like gear for hobbies.
** UPCOMING LARGE EXPENSES **- Our house needs a new roof. I’m guesstimating ~ $12,000.00? Maybe less if we can work with insurance company.
- House needs some other remodelling work. We DIY most things though. We’ve already done the kitchen and one of two bathrooms. We will DIY remodel the screen porch, living room, and master bath. Living room and screen porch don’t need much work. Master bath will be the toughest and most expensive. I’m guesstimating ~ $10-12k total?
- Might need (want) a road-trip vehicle in retirement. Our vehicles are both 20+ years old and not that comfortable for long trips. Sprinter Van? This would be a stretch. Probably $40-50k even with DIY fix up. Might be worth working OMY?
- Need a new computer. 10 year old mac is on it’s last legs. $2000.00?
** PROJECTED RETIREMENT BUDGET **If I decide to retire a few years before my wife, we would most likely stick to our usual yearly spend of ~$40k or less until she also retires. When we are both fully retired we had planned to spend a considerable amount more on travel and hobbies though.
If I retire early and wait until 60 to take my pension, bridging the gap with 457b, etc., I don’t think we could use our “ideal retirement budget”. Seems a bit too ambitious? Personally, I think I could trim the "wants" section to a large degree. My wife probably would not want to trim the travel budget though.
Ideal Chubby FIRE Retirement Budget - Projected Annual Spend of ~ $70-75,000.00. Some padding included for inflation.Needs:
(Ideally, covered by our Pensions)
Taxes = ~ $8-9k per year (our taxable income currently is pretty low due to investing in tax-deferred accounts, so this will be a big change for us.)
Mortgage = $1,000.00
Phone = $50.00
Internet = $90.00
Water = $35.00
Trash = $20.00
Natural Gas = $50.00
Electric = $200.00
Transportation = $413.58 (could be much higher if we decide to upgrade vehicles)
Medical = $300.00 (with university pre-65 retiree health insurance. If ACA, could be a bit higher?)
Food = $1,000.00 (groceries, restaurants, adult beverages)
Household = $250.00 (everything from paper towels to appliance replacement fund)
Personal Care & Clothing = $50.00
Misc = $110.00
Subtotal = ~ $55,000.00
Wants:
(Ideally, covered by Stash. Lots of padding here. Might not really be this spendy in retirement but want to have it just in case. Can scale up and down depending on markets, inflation, etc.)
Travel Fund = $1,000.00 ($12,000.00 per year. Everything from camping, road trips, overseas travel). Should research more about travel hacking to reduce this!
Hobbies = $300.00
Luxury = $100.00 (massage/physical therapy, various classes and training, etc.)
Netflix = $20.00
Amazon Prime = $15.00
YouTube = $15.00
Books and Misc = $25
Subtotal = ~ $18,000.00
TOTAL Projected Annual Spend in Retirement = ~ $70-75,000.00** LIQUID ASSETS **Our investments are 95% stocks / 5% bonds.
My funds (as of September 4th, 2022):
Roth IRA = $142,949.84
Taxable account = $22,806.82
457b = $394,549.56
403b = $191,697.50
HSA = $32,876.20
Emergency Fund = $29,609.48
TOTAL = $814,530.05
My wife’s funds (as of September 4th, 2022):
Roth IRA = $140,375.67
457b = $299,846.66
403b = $49,830.33
HSA = $27,154.58
Emergency Fund = $9,939.81
TOTAL = $527,151.09
SHARED Accounts (Credit Union and Bank, etc.) = $9,528.85
COMBINED TOTAL = $1,351,209.99** PENSIONS & SOCIAL SECURITY **My wife and I are both eligible for state university system pensions. See ** QUESTIONS ** below for some numbers and… questions.
I don’t really factor in Social Security or inheritance. Those would be gravy.
** PHYSICAL ASSETS **House in the burbs. We bought it in 2017 for $170,000.00. Zillow says it’s worth ~ $320k.
We drive 20+ year old vehicles. Old, but well-maintained and reliable. Probably less than $10k total Blue Book value.
No other large value assets really.
** LIABILITIES **30 year mortgage @ 4.125%
Still owe = $122,266,41
Mortgage payment = $947.54
- Principal = $238.83
- Interest = $420.29
- Taxes & Insurance = $288.42
** QUESTIONS & CONCERNS **So, I’m pretty burnt out and want to retire soon-ish. I don’t have too much longer to go (1 - 3 years?) but I’m struggling to reach the finish line. The job itself is not overly stressful, most of the time, but I’m so tired of sitting at a computer all day in a windowless office. I have a good amount of joint pain (back and hips) from various injuries, and long days of desk work are not helping.
Also, as an introvert, office culture and politics really drain me. By the end of the week, I’m a wreck, and then have to spend what energy is left on chores, errands, and house projects.
At 48 I’m no youngin’. I have had some health issues in the past. Most of my male relatives have not made it past their early 70’s. I want to make the most of the years I have left and do active things during the weekdays like mountain biking, kayaking, hiking, etc., as well as art, music, etc.
But I’m not sure if it makes great financial sense to retire right now. I have a spreadsheet/timeline mapped out. Over the next three years, every 4-6 months I can hit various financial milestones. Classic case of golden handcuffs and/or optimization?
If I take a sabbatical, I’m not sure I could make myself get back out there, and then I probably wouldn’t have the money to fund our “ideal Chubby FIRE” retirement budget. I keep telling myself I just need to push through, work 2-3 more years, and never worry about working for money again. I’m trying to rearrange my mental outlook and be more positive. But I think about leaving constantly and it’s driving me a little nuts.
The following numbers and milestones are mine only. My wife is planning to work for at least 4 more years, hopefully getting some raises, building up her investments, increasing pension service credits, etc. along the way.
At the end of her career she would be receiving a similar pension amount since her salary, and years of service credits, would be similar to mine at that point (she started working there a couple years after I did, at a lower salary starting point, but caught up in recent years).
Important notes on pension:- It’s possible to take a university system pension early after 25 years (of service credits) in the system. But, for each year before 30 years there is a penalty of 7%.
- If you elect to take pension early, there are no COLA’s for each year before 30.
- For instance, 25 years = 5 years with no COLA’s, 27 years = 3 years with no COLA’s, etc.
- Inflation is obviously pretty crazy right now. This definitely worries me. The pension payments could shrink significantly, and permanently.
My upcoming milestones:- October 2023 = 25 years of pension service credits (minimum needed to retire).
- Take my pension early at 49 = ~ $19,825.00
- Take my pension at 60 = ~$30,500.00
- April 2024 = 2 years of higher salary (@ $65k). So, higher pension payments.
- September 2024 = 2 years of higher salary (@68k) So, higher pension payments.
- October 2024 = 26 years of pension service credits.
- Take my pension early at 50 = ~ $25,833.60
- Take my pension at 60 = ~$35,880.00
- April 2025 = University healthcare coverage for pre-65 employees can continue.
- October 2025 = 27 years of pension service credits. Probably the maximum amount of time I would consider working.
- Take my pension early at 51 = ~ $30,288.60
- Take my pension at 60 = ~$38,340.00
I’m having a hard time choosing from the following options:- A. Retire early at 25/26/27 years in university system (49/50/51 years old) and take the pension penalty hit.
- The longer I work would bring added benefits like higher pension payments, (hopefully) larger investment accounts, cash cushion for SORR, and fairly affordable university system health insurance coverage.
- Could supplement pension income with 457b withdrawals.
- B. Retire early, but wait until 60 to take the pension, penalty-free.
- From ages 49-60/50-60/51-60 I could possibly “bridge the gap” with 457b (no withdrawal penalties) plus maybe some sort of Roth Conversion plan. I definitely need to read more on Roth conversion strategies.
- Maybe pick up some part-time, seasonal, or freelance work if things are looking shaky? Really don’t want to though.
EDIT - Another option?
C. Work until October 2023 and be prepared to take the pension. But, ask for remote work or part-time or a combination. I could probably do that a couple more years and stay sane. And it would allow the stash time to recover from the down markets, and time for inflation to cool, hopefully. But if my bosses say "No", I could always leave and figure things out as I go.
Any advice? I’m really curious to hear what you would in my situation.If you’ve read all of this, I want to thank you for your patience. And a huge thank you for any advice, thoughts, recommendations, face punches, etc.!!!