Author Topic: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man  (Read 3239 times)

Chase Not the Wind

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Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« on: August 18, 2024, 05:34:43 PM »
Hello all! I posted a few months back in another subforum seeking assistance helping to decide whether to move to CO or hold out in TX awhile longer. Everyone was immensely helpful, and a couple of people suggested I post information here for a case study. We begrudgingly decided to stay put in TX (didn't help that the decision was made in the summer!), so now we're trying to work out the long term plan to get to retirement ASAP.  I'd really love some advice from you super smart financial ninjas who have reached or are close to FIRE. I'll keep this as TL;DR as possible:

Life Situation:
Married filing jointly. 40 year old firefighter paramedic from south Texas, with a 39 year old wife and 3 kids ages 13, 11 and 9. We love outdoor living and really love the mountains. We vacation a few times a year to CO and our short term rental home in Ruidoso, NM. We usually get to do a month long getaway in the summer, which is something I know most people don't get to do. My job can be stressful at times, and it has its annoyances and tedium like any long term career, but overall is very fulfilling. I've also made it to a station with a much lower run volume than what I've had most of my career, so my overall physical & mental stress levels (as well as chronic sleep deprivation) have gone down quite a bit, which has been a huge blessing. I do feel I've reached that point of midlife malaise, where it feels like groundhog day a lot of the time with fatigue from years of work and kids' school routine, but I'm trying to push through and at least realize I'm on the downhill side of things. I've attached a spreadsheet screenshot of our current expenses, as well as forecasted potential expenses in retirement. I don't see myself doing nothing in retirement, and I think both my wife and I are on board with a barista FIRE type situation where we're doing some part time work doing something we enjoy to maybe fill in the income gap of what might be lacking from a lower pension, but on the flip side I also think we don't want to HAVE to depend on that income as a requirement for life. Any insight y'all can provide (especially those of you that have reached the dream and have a more practical take on actual retirement expenses) would be super helpful and appreciated!

Gross Salary/Wages:
Firefighter salary: $110k
Photography business: $8-15k per year on average
Wife part time work: $12k per year

Savings contributions per year:
Pension contributions: 12.5%
Roth IRA's: $7-14k
Additional principal on mortgage: $4k
Pre-funded retiree health insurance: $5k

Current monthly expenses:
(Spreadsheet attached below): $5200

Expected ER expenses:
Colorado tiny house living: $3900 (don't know how accurate this is, hard to tell with older kids, college, etc.)

Assets:
Primary home: $500k (taxes & insurance about $6k per year)
NM short term rental: $230k
Pension contributions: $130k
Roth IRAs: $140k
Emergency fund: $20k
2 paid off Toyota vehicles: $50k
Photography equipment: $10k

Liabilities:
Primary house: $140k left on a 15yr $210k mortgage @ 2.5% ($775 biweekly payment)
NM short term rental: $137k left on a 30yr $147k mortgage @ 3.375% ($810/mo. payment)
Solar panels: $32k left on a 15yr loan @ 2.99%

MORE DETAILS:
-15 year veteran in a large metro fire department, I'll have a $3,600 / mo. pension if I stay until 20 years, and it'll go up 5% per each additional year of service (about $420 / mo. per year) to 27 years, which would be $6,380 / mo.
-Could work 10 more years and very feasibly retire at age 50, which would put my youngest graduating high school and my pension around $5,600 / mo. in today's dollars
-If I leave before 20 years of service, I would only get my contributions back, which are around $130k right now
-Great current health insurance with low deductibles / OOP and low monthly premiums ($220 / mo. for family)
-Excellent retiree health insurance that we prepay for out of our salaries @ $450 / mo. (this continues until you hit 30 years from date of entry, then the monthly premium goes away)
-Awesome time off from work, about 20 shifts of vacation per year
-We have no debt aside from homes and solar panels
-Our condo in NM could sell for about $230k conservatively. I've had to add about $4k into the account each year since we bought it in 2021, as the rental income isn't enough to cover everything. We actually have it listed right now to see if it will sell. A ton of people lost their primary homes in wildfires / floods recently, and short term rental income has taken a massive hit over the last couple of months.
-We have Roth IRA's with a 100% VTSAX allocation, total combined balances of about $140k
-We have $20k in checking / savings accounts for monthly spending and emergency fund
-Paid off used Toyota vehicles we purchased within the last couple of years and intend to keep for 8-10 years
-Close proximity to family, who I'm very close with and visit often (parents in their 70s, and 5 sisters & 3 brothers I love dearly)
-We live in a great community with good neighbors and fantastic schools
-Terrible seasonal allergies for us, particularly my wife
-Horrendously hot and humid from May - October, my wife and I are so done with the heat and ready to move somewhere as soon as possible with 4 seasons and a reasonable amount of snow

Would love help figuring out how to get to retirement as soon as possible, as we would love to move to a better climate. Hardest thing I'm having to reconcile is how many years I should work past 20 if each extra year of service gets me the additional 5% bump (about $420/mo.) up to 27 years.

Let me know if I left anything out. Thank y'all for the help!
« Last Edit: August 20, 2024, 12:48:08 PM by Chase Not the Wind »

MDM

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #1 on: August 19, 2024, 01:09:10 AM »
Let me know if I left anything out.
A question mark. :)

See How To: Write a "Case Study" Topic, particularly this excerpt:
Quote
Specific Question(s): Providing a detailed breakdown is important, so is asking for specific information so we know what kind of help/advice you are looking for.

The Case Study Spreadsheet (see Case Study Spreadsheet updates for a link to the latest version) can be downloaded and used to help organize your case study posting.

It includes income, expense, and investment categories that will cover most situations.  For "not too complex" cases it will calculate IRS, SS, and Medicare taxes exactly, and state taxes approximately, helping one evaluate the after-tax effects of 401k, HSA, etc.  There is also a simplified section to evaluate "how long to FI?".

nereo

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #2 on: August 19, 2024, 06:48:29 AM »
+1 to MDM's suggestion of filling out a full case study.  We're used to seeing everything broken down in that manner, so you'll get more useful replies.

Beyond the financials (which are good), you seem to be asking a much broader question: "do we make a major lifestyle change?".  You have listed a bunch of things describing what you want to get away from  ("feels like groundhog day"; "terrible seasonal allergies") but not much about what you want to move toward

So let's answer that question first:  You clearly have the resources in place to fundamentally change your living situation, even if it means much lower income. You could also "stick it out" for 5 more years and be sitting like a king.  Which is the "smarter" thing to do for you and your family depends on the quality of life question.  If making a change now will improve your life substantially I would not advise sticking around for "yet more money". You don't need a ton more money, you can just kick back and surf the wave of compound interest from this point out. But if your current living situation isn't bad (and straddles the line between 'decent' and 'good') then sticking it out for five more years may be the smart play. 

Don't forget that it's not an either/or scenario either.  What steps could you take to make your current situation more tenable in the short term?  Can you take an unpaid sabbatical, or cut your hours to 4 days/week, or hire out some of the more draining tasks?  Does it make sense to sell your rental and not have to property manage? 

...lots of questions...

Chase Not the Wind

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2024, 12:40:49 PM »
Thank y'all for the replies! I edited my original post to clean it up a bit to better match the formatting from the case study template.

Chase Not the Wind

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2024, 12:47:19 PM »
So let's answer that question first:  You clearly have the resources in place to fundamentally change your living situation, even if it means much lower income. You could also "stick it out" for 5 more years and be sitting like a king.  Which is the "smarter" thing to do for you and your family depends on the quality of life question.  If making a change now will improve your life substantially I would not advise sticking around for "yet more money". You don't need a ton more money, you can just kick back and surf the wave of compound interest from this point out. But if your current living situation isn't bad (and straddles the line between 'decent' and 'good') then sticking it out for five more years may be the smart play. 

Maybe I'm missing something, but I don't feel like we have the resources in place to make the jump. It seems the pension situation has us locked in, because at 20 years, I'd receive a monthly benefit of $3,600/mo. which equates to right at a $1mil nest egg disbursement @ 4% SWR. Up until I hit 20 years of service, I'd only get my pension contributions back if I leave, which would be $130k right now.

Quote
Don't forget that it's not an either/or scenario either.  What steps could you take to make your current situation more tenable in the short term?  Can you take an unpaid sabbatical, or cut your hours to 4 days/week, or hire out some of the more draining tasks?  Does it make sense to sell your rental and not have to property manage? 

You're absolutely right, and we've tried to make the best of the available options and opportunities we do have. We head to NM/CO for about a  month out of the summer, which definitely helps take the edge off, and we're trying to figure out how to extend that next year. Unfortunately, an unpaid sabbatical isn't an option, and I'm a full time career firefighter, so there is no altering the work load or work schedule. We're working on selling the rental right now and will see where that goes!

lhamo

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2024, 01:55:14 PM »
What is your shift schedule like, and might there be any flexibility in how that is structured?

Maybe there are ways to set up your life so that you continue to work in TX, but the family mostly lives in a more hospitable climate? 



MDM

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2024, 02:29:33 PM »
Would love help figuring out how to get to retirement as soon as possible....
At a glance, it appears traditional contributions instead of Roth contributions would help.  Have you read the first few sections of Traditional versus Roth - Bogleheads?

The Investment Order post generally has "get to retirement ASAP" behind its suggestions as well.

Quote
Hardest thing I'm having to reconcile is how many years I should work past 20 if each extra year of service gets me the additional 5% bump (about $420/mo.) up to 27 years.
Sorry, but that one's on you and your family. Different people would decide differently, and those different decisions could be exactly correct for the individual deciders.

Quote
Let me know if I left anything out.
Taxes in your list of expenses?

The original incentive for the case study spreadsheet was to help people understand when their guesstimated expenses "didn't add up".  In other words, when "Gross annual income minus all non-investment expenses" did not come close to "annual amount invested".  These days it is more often used for tax calculations, but the original use remains.

Whether with that spreadsheet or one of your own creation, how well do your numbers add up?

Laura33

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2024, 08:56:23 AM »
The short answer is that you work until the pension hits your income needs -- or until you have identified longer-term job options to fill the income gap.

Seems like another 5 years is practically mandatory, given what you'd lose from leaving before 20 years.  And 10 years seems like the maximum reasonable time to stay, since that's when the pension covers even your current expenses and your youngest is out of HS and so you are free to up stakes and move to the tiny home.

It's the 5 years in-between that are more difficult.  What would you do if you quit right at the 5-year mark?  Would you sell the house and move to CO then, even though your kids are still in school?  You could quit then and rely on the pension, as long as you were able to reduce your monthly expenses to the post-FIRE figures you've estimated, but with kids still at home, you wouldn't really have the tiny home option, so you'd have to be creative about reducing expenses.  OTOH, if you wouldn't move right at the 5-year mark, it seems to make sense to stay in the job and let the pension continue to grow. 

One option to consider for that 5-year interim period would be for your wife and kids to spend summers farther north, and for you to group together your vacation shifts as best you can to spend time up there with them.  That would allow you to keep growing the pension while giving your wife some allergy and heat relief.  OTOH, it would also involve additional short-term expenses for a place to stay for them (but you do make plenty of money to cover it, and with the significant growth in the value of the pension from staying those extra years, you don't need to worry so much about a temporary hit to your savings rate). 

Since you're pretty much committed to where you are now for the next 5 years, why not use that time to investigate a bunch of different options.  What would life look like if you quit in 5 years, in 7-8 years, in 10 years?  Think of what you'd like in terms of daily living/activities/location/income sources, and then start putting in some serious research to flesh out those scenarios.  Make sure you consider downsides, too, like changing schools, losing in-state tuition benefits for college, etc.  And see how your new job suits longer-term; it sounds like it's significantly less demanding, so you might find it to be more tolerable for a longer period than you think.  Or not.  But regardless, putting in the work to plan through options will help you be prepared to make the right move when the time comes.  Good luck!

johnnyqnola

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #8 on: August 27, 2024, 08:03:26 AM »
Is there any other type of role in the FD that would allow you to continue earning retirement benefits, but get you off the truck? Sort of like a desk job assignment in a PD. Can you teach/train other firefighters or manage equipment, etc? Although I'm not sure your role is even the problem, and this wouldn't solve for heat and allergies...

TyGuy

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2024, 10:09:31 AM »
Hello, I also have the same career as you and understand the need to maintain your current job for the purposes of recieving a full pension. Basically, you are in a holding pattern with your current job/department for the next 5 years. I personally wouldn't solidify any decisions until you arrive closer to that date, as circumstances can easily change. Based on the information you provided, you will be FI in 5 years when you can retire, so staying on longer would only "buffer" your stache. I would look for ways to improve your current living situation, are there any adjustments you can make to your current house to improve conditions for the hot days/months? Any new hobbies you can take up that may be indoors? Just some things to think about as you likely wont be moving for the next 5 years.

Lastly, I have coworkers that make long commutes and are happy doing so (though I personally would have a deep level of satisfaction doing so). Does you employer allow shift trades? I know people who make several trades to bring the number of times they need to commute down to 2-3 times a month, allowing them to either liver 5+ hours away via car or plane. Something to think about as you approach the 5 year mark (maybe this is something you would be comfortable doing for a year or two, bringing your timeline that much closer).

engineerjourney

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2024, 10:12:54 AM »
Would your wife be willing to bring in more money for the next five years to make it more likely you can do something drastic once you hit your pension milestone?  I personally don't think I would move states with an 18, 16, and 14 year old (approx ages of your kids when you hit your pension milestone) but maybe your family is different.  You could do something like not being in your state during the summer at all though! And lots of long weekends/weeks out of state on school breaks.

Chase Not the Wind

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Re: Case Study - Firefighter Family Man
« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2024, 01:12:19 PM »
Thank you all SO much for your responses, I appreciate your unique perspectives and help! I apologize for the delayed response, it's been crazy getting kids back into the school routine on top of working two 48 hour shifts back to back.

What is your shift schedule like, and might there be any flexibility in how that is structured?

Maybe there are ways to set up your life so that you continue to work in TX, but the family mostly lives in a more hospitable climate?

I work 24 on 48 off and am afforded about 21 shifts of vacation a year, which will max out next year at 24 shifts. That gives me about 2 1/2 months total of time off per year, which is awesome. The last few years we definitely have been structuring it to have at least a month off for a vacation in the summer, but we'll likely be looking to stretch that out longer going forward. I'm able to trade shifts with other firefighters, which could potentially allow me to bank up some days ahead of time so I can have a bigger chunk off in the summer without having to dip into vacation days, which I also use for holidays, kids' events, etc.

The short answer is that you work until the pension hits your income needs -- or until you have identified longer-term job options to fill the income gap.

Seems like another 5 years is practically mandatory, given what you'd lose from leaving before 20 years.  And 10 years seems like the maximum reasonable time to stay, since that's when the pension covers even your current expenses and your youngest is out of HS and so you are free to up stakes and move to the tiny home.

It's the 5 years in-between that are more difficult.  What would you do if you quit right at the 5-year mark?  Would you sell the house and move to CO then, even though your kids are still in school?  You could quit then and rely on the pension, as long as you were able to reduce your monthly expenses to the post-FIRE figures you've estimated, but with kids still at home, you wouldn't really have the tiny home option, so you'd have to be creative about reducing expenses.  OTOH, if you wouldn't move right at the 5-year mark, it seems to make sense to stay in the job and let the pension continue to grow. 


Absolutely! This seems like the route we're likely aiming for. There are a lot of what-ifs up in the air with kids' college plans and things of that nature, so we'll definitely continually revisit the options every year as we approach that 20yr pension mark. If the younger two were gung-ho on board with moving even though they're close to graduating high school, I think we would absolutely be up for jumping ship and finding some jobs up there to supplement the pension income and continue to pile on the savings. We're both open to continuing to work to supplement the lower pension benefit, especially since we'll be paying a health insurance premium to cover them until they're officially out on their own.

Quote
One option to consider for that 5-year interim period would be for your wife and kids to spend summers farther north, and for you to group together your vacation shifts as best you can to spend time up there with them.  That would allow you to keep growing the pension while giving your wife some allergy and heat relief.  OTOH, it would also involve additional short-term expenses for a place to stay for them (but you do make plenty of money to cover it, and with the significant growth in the value of the pension from staying those extra years, you don't need to worry so much about a temporary hit to your savings rate). 

Since you're pretty much committed to where you are now for the next 5 years, why not use that time to investigate a bunch of different options.  What would life look like if you quit in 5 years, in 7-8 years, in 10 years?  Think of what you'd like in terms of daily living/activities/location/income sources, and then start putting in some serious research to flesh out those scenarios.  Make sure you consider downsides, too, like changing schools, losing in-state tuition benefits for college, etc.  And see how your new job suits longer-term; it sounds like it's significantly less demanding, so you might find it to be more tolerable for a longer period than you think.  Or not.  But regardless, putting in the work to plan through options will help you be prepared to make the right move when the time comes.  Good luck!

This is also true. I could get most or all of the time off to be somewhere farther north for 2-3 months if I planned it out correctly. She's also open to working part time up there (she works as a tasting room server at a local winery and could do something similar) to help supplement the added cost of an airbnb for that long of a stretch. You are absolutely right that the significant growth of the pension, even if it's just 2-4 years beyond 20, is worth the sacrifice. I hadn't thought about cutting down contributions to savings during those months to help offset the costs as well, that's a great idea and again, I agree it's worth the tradeoff of a larger pension.

You're also right about looking at various options right now. One thing we've been doing with our summer trips is staying in different places that might be viable options to live down the line. It's giving us a great variety of locations to see and experiences to enjoy, and serving as some reconnaissance work in the meantime. We're trying to plant some seeds in our kids' brains about getting discounted in-state tuition if they went to Colorodo State University in Fort Collins, which so far, is high up on our list for retirement considerations =). My wife discovered that if one of us works there, the kids get half-price tuition, and they'd have the option to stay with us rent free if they so choose to do.

Is there any other type of role in the FD that would allow you to continue earning retirement benefits, but get you off the truck? Sort of like a desk job assignment in a PD. Can you teach/train other firefighters or manage equipment, etc? Although I'm not sure your role is even the problem, and this wouldn't solve for heat and allergies...

Thankfully there are a lot of options in a major metropolitan fire dept like I work for, but a M-F job with lots of commuting does not sit well with my soul, haha. I'm actually in a great spot and am grateful for the schedule and minimal stress level I'm afforded in the position I'm currently in. I have, however, thought that I could pursue something like that full time or part time in early retirement though.

Hello, I also have the same career as you and understand the need to maintain your current job for the purposes of recieving a full pension. Basically, you are in a holding pattern with your current job/department for the next 5 years. I personally wouldn't solidify any decisions until you arrive closer to that date, as circumstances can easily change. Based on the information you provided, you will be FI in 5 years when you can retire, so staying on longer would only "buffer" your stache. I would look for ways to improve your current living situation, are there any adjustments you can make to your current house to improve conditions for the hot days/months? Any new hobbies you can take up that may be indoors? Just some things to think about as you likely wont be moving for the next 5 years.

Lastly, I have coworkers that make long commutes and are happy doing so (though I personally would have a deep level of satisfaction doing so). Does you employer allow shift trades? I know people who make several trades to bring the number of times they need to commute down to 2-3 times a month, allowing them to either liver 5+ hours away via car or plane. Something to think about as you approach the 5 year mark (maybe this is something you would be comfortable doing for a year or two, bringing your timeline that much closer).

Thanks for the insights, fellow firefighter! You're spot on that circumstances can change, so we are indeed holding our plans loosely and praying for wisdom and direction one day at a time. Holding pattern til I reach at least a 20yr pension is good advice, and we're trying to make the best of it and maximize all the things that we DO love and are grateful for being here in TX (family time, great community, close friends at school, etc.). I think the best adjustment we can make is stretching out our trips in the summer to really get a big break from the heat that we loathe so immensely, so we'll be working on that. We indeed are allowed shift trades, and I will look to maximize that benefit and bank some shifts ahead of time for the summer. Thankfully there are a lot of guys to trade with, so I could easily spread it out and have different people working for me once every few shifts interspersed between vacation days.

Would your wife be willing to bring in more money for the next five years to make it more likely you can do something drastic once you hit your pension milestone?  I personally don't think I would move states with an 18, 16, and 14 year old (approx ages of your kids when you hit your pension milestone) but maybe your family is different.  You could do something like not being in your state during the summer at all though! And lots of long weekends/weeks out of state on school breaks.

In short, yes, she is open to and up for that. She has been searching for a few months for a job with more hours (she works part time about 15 hours a week right now), but it's hard to find something that fits in the odd 24 / 48 schedule I have that changes my working days every week. Hopefully we can figure something out that brings in a bit more income, as that could serve to increase our savings rate and afford us the ability to do longer summer trips because short term rentals cost so much these days!