I have decided to move from my primary home this year. All else being equal, I'd prefer to sell the house and buy another one in a new location.
As I look into the numbers, it's looking like I'll take such a huge tax hit that it may be worth renting it out instead. Would appreciate your thoughts.
It's a single family home in San Diego. I paid 200K for it in 2000. It's now worth approx 800K. It's gone up about 100K over the past year with the recent run up in real estate. (Redfin estimates 760K. Zillow estimates 880K).
If I sell the home for 800K, I will realize approx 550K in gains (800K sale price - 200K original price - realtor fees = ~550K). 250K of that gain will be tax free. That leaves me paying taxes on 300K. I'm in the top tax bracket in CA, so I believe I'd owe approx 45% tax on that 300K gain for a tax bill of ~135K.
I'd also lose my grandfathered tax basis. California property taxes are grandfathered in via Prop 13 so despite owning an 800K home I pay property tax on its 2000 value of 200K plus a modest 2% increase per year. So I pay approx $3400 in yearly property tax where a new buyer would pay approx $9K.
It feels like it might be worth the hassle to rent it out. Perhaps I can do a 1031 property exchange once I've settled somewhere to move the rental closer to me. Zillow estimates it will rent for 3K/month. I might be able to get 3.5K/month.
Am I missing any options here? What would you do?