Ugh. This is such a bad idea. I say that as a retired government employee who never paid into SS but has a spouse who currently collects. I'll make money on the deal, but the change will just accelerate when the SS trust fund runs short of money. I'm not generally a conspiracy theorist, but this smells of a conspiracy to blow up SS.
Agreed, it's going to add 190 billion in costs. So unless Congress makes other changes it will drain the available benefits even faster.
The problem with the way the bill is written is in the replacement rate of what is paid in payroll taxes vs what is paid out in SS benefits.
If your average indexed monthly earnings are $3955 over the thirty five years then your SS check at full retirement age is $1,976, which is a 50% replacement rate.
If your average is $10,000 per month your replacement rate is 35%.
If your average is $1,000 per month your replacement rate is 90%.
In other words, a progressive tax rate, where lower income workers get a higher replacement rate of taxes paid then higher income workers.
Now, the three percent of workers affected by the windfall elimination provision are going to receive a 90% replacement rate on their SS taxes paid as if they were low income workers, even though they had other paying work that they receive a government pension for.
So, are these workers entitled to SS benefits since they paid into the system? Yes, but they shouldn't be entitled to a 90% replacement rate.
From the SS website: " Congress passed the WEP to prevent workers who receive non-covered pensions from receiving higher Social Security benefits as if they were long-time, low wage earners. In 2022 the WEP applied to 3.1% of all beneficiaries (2.01 million beneficiaries out of 65.99 million total beneficiaries)."