For grins I ran my data today using 30-year and 50-year for my "lower-bound" and "upper-bound" rails, which are driven by a range in desired spending.

Right now I have the following probabilities:

1. 30-year, lower-bound - 72.4%

2. 30-year, upper-bound - 2.6%

3. 50-year, lower-bound - 50.0%

4. 50-year, upper-bound - 0.0%

At the end of the year I am projecting to have:

5. 30-year, lower-bound - 99.1%

6. 30-year, upper-bound - 40.5%

7. 50-year, lower-bound - 94.8%

8. 50-year, upper-bound - 18.8%

I plan to work on my business full time after I "retire" from my W2 so the proper figures to use are a bit squishy. My spending is, of course, a huge variable to nail down more. For now I am comfortable working a few more years to increase spending because I have a pretty posh setup. This may change though.