I did something similar last year. Since then the old fund has done better than the new fund. That was only 6 months ago, though, and long term I expect the new fund to do significantly better than the old.
There really is no way to time the market. The thinking that helps me is this: "If I were starting today, knowing everything I know now, with the money I currently have, what would I buy?" and if the answer is, "What I already have" then I would keep it. If the answer is "I'd switch fund X to fund Y" then I make the switch.