Full disclosure: I am a member on the Bogleheads forum, and I posted (more or less) the exact same post below there. One of the members of that forum suggested that I post my query here, and so I am.
To the extent that it is helpful:
Income: Base salary is $188k. With bonuses and RSUs, it can be $250k
Assets: Roughly $1.89 million, give or take on any given day. Asset allocation, if you take out our cash holdings, is 60/40 stock:bond, all invested in (roughly) 3 Vanguard index funds: total stock market, total international stock market, and total bond market.
Debt: None.
Other information is contained in the below post. It is hard to give accurate to-date expense numbers, given out factual situation, but the monthly averages noted below are correct.
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So here is my post:
I need some advice and wisdom.
Long story short:
I have been incredibly lucky over the past few years. I had a cushy expat job assignment in Canada, where I was able to save lots of money. I didn't overly enjoy the job, but I loved the city in which we lived and that made things tolerable. I have now been repatriated to the US, to a place where I don't want to be and doing a job that I don't really want to be doing.
I'm 37. My wife is 34. We have roughly $975K in a taxable investment account (mostly Total Stock Market and Total International Market), $500K in tax deferred accounts (all in bonds), and $415K in US cash. We probably have around $20K in cash in various small accounts (some of which is in foreign currency), but I don't really count any of that right now in our net worth. We don't own anything other than a car, furniture, and assorted household goods.
All of our furniture and household goods are currently packed in moving crates and are en route to our current location. We are currently living in temporary housing, waiting for our (proposed) apartment in our new location to be released from construction, which is scheduled to occur in mid-May.
If I leave my employer before the end of one year from the date that I entered the US, I have to pay back certain relocation costs, although I have no idea what those specific costs are or their amount (they do not include the moving of our goods back to the US, nor our personal costs involved in returning to the US; they would, however, include a relocation bonus that I have yet to receive and probably our temporary housing costs). That said, by the end of May, I should net around $30K from various RSU grants that I am due to receive. Using some rough math, I figure that if I stayed around to May (and stayed in temporary housing and never moved into our apartment here), I would net out around $20K or so from the stock ($30K less $10K--which is just a guess--from the repayment of the relocation costs).
What I want to do:
Quite frankly, I want to quit my job and leave. Perhaps move to Montana (Bozeman, quite likely), although I have absolutely no job prospects there (I'm a lawyer, but am not licensed to practice in Montana and, in any event, would like to leave the law altogether). Or maybe drive around the US for a few months and try to figure some stuff out and see if there is anywhere else my wife and I would like to live besides Bozeman.
My thoughts:
I figure that if we were to leave, now is the time to do it. All of our stuff has been professionally packed, crated, and palletized. We can leave it in climate controlled storage in our current location for around $250 a month until we figure out what we want to do, and then have the movers ship it to us (at our cost, of course, although I don't know what that would run).
However, if I can stay at my job for 14 months, I have figured that we would roughly be able to save around $165K (from salary, next year's anticipated bonus, and RSU grants). Nothing guaranteed, of course, but if the market stayed level, that would make the value of the taxable account around $1.14M.
My concerns:
Is it stupid to quit my job and take off? Probably, but I'm just not particularly happy with my situation and the thought of being here for 14 months (which ties to the date when some RSUs vest) is just plain depressing and gives me anxiety (or something).
I figure that we have enough money to make things last for a while, but do we really? I don't want to touch the cash, because that is (mentally) set aside for us to buy a house at some point--but would we really buy a house? Our expenses (including lots of expensive vacations) in our expat assignment location (which had a much higher cost of living than the US) averaged $4,719.48 a month, but if you take out housing costs, they were $2,719. If you just took our local expenses (and backed out the vacation costs, which were funded in US dollars), the monthly expenses drop to $3,652.03 (or $1652.03 without housing). I figure the $975K in the taxable account could support a 2.75% withdrawal rate for a while, providing for around $26K a year, or $2,166 a month. Of course, that withdrawal rate only works if we don't have to pay for housing (which we would have to pay for, unless we just bought a place outright, which I'm quite leery of), and we would have to pay for health insurance and some other things that we don't really pay for now, so we would obviously need to dip into the cash holdings (or increase the withdrawal rate, which I am absolutely opposed to doing) and so I'm a little worried about the money.
I don't have any job prospects in Montana, or elsewhere. I have a very well paying (in my view) job now, and I would be unlikely to get another job that pays anywhere near what I currently earn. So once I leave, that income stream gets shut off and is likely never to return again at that same level.
I have no idea what it is that I really want to do. I'd love to have a house with a yard so that I could garden---I toy with the idea of growing vegetables for a food bank, but that's probably not particularly realistic. I don't want to just sit at home all day, but I don't know what I would do either.
I feel like I need to make a (or some) decision(s) soon, and I've never done well with short time deadlines, which just compounds the pressure and anxiety.
What should I do?
Stick around until the end of May to collect the RSUs and walk away? Sign an apartment lease in our new location and stay with the current job for 14 months and then leave? Do something else?
Any and all advice, thoughts, and wisdom would be greatly appreciated.
Thank you for reading.