Author Topic: Anyone Else Worried About an Extended Bear Market?  (Read 14753 times)

Exflyboy

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Re: Anyone Else Worried About an Extended Bear Market?
« Reply #50 on: January 18, 2016, 01:19:23 PM »
Clean this up right now.

The S&P 500 will continue to flag  until it reaches somewhere in the vicinity of 1529. It's old pre- Bear high point. Then it will go up for a long time. (with the usual zigs and zags) That is, supposedly, the history of these secular cycles.

I must say, it's certainly seems to be happening on schedule.

We'll see how well this works out in a year or so.

So 1529 is about 18% down from where we are now add that to the 12% since last year's highs and that would make for a total of about a 30% correction,  would be a tremndous buying opportunity..:)

I think I will start rebalancing/ buying more stock at about 20% down... Not that I'm timing the market, no, no.. perish the thought..:)
« Last Edit: January 18, 2016, 01:24:36 PM by Exflyboy »

DividendMoney

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Re: Anyone Else Worried About an Extended Bear Market?
« Reply #51 on: January 18, 2016, 01:25:15 PM »
Clean this up right now.

The S&P 500 will continue to flag  until it reaches somewhere in the vicinity of 1529. It's old pre- Bear high point. Then it will go up for a long time. (with the usual zigs and zags) That is, supposedly, the history of these secular cycles.

I must say, it's certainly seems to be happening on schedule.

We'll see how well this works out in a year or so.

So 1529 is about 18% down from where we are now add that to the 12% since last year's highs and that would make for a total of about a 30% correction,  would be a tremndous buying opportunity..:)

The average bear market, historically speaking, has been around 35% correction (peak to trough). I'd definitely be a buyer at 30% correction territory. At 35% down, I'd be using leveraged ETFs to go long the S&P 500.

Exflyboy

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Re: Anyone Else Worried About an Extended Bear Market?
« Reply #52 on: January 18, 2016, 01:28:24 PM »
Yes the big question is, Is this the sart of a bear or just a correction?

I think the Jury is out on that one for now.

DividendMoney

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Re: Anyone Else Worried About an Extended Bear Market?
« Reply #53 on: January 18, 2016, 01:32:37 PM »
Yes the big question is, Is this the sart of a bear or just a correction?

I think the Jury is out on that one for now.

I was hoping you could tell me! Is your crystal ball broken too? :)

Exflyboy

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Re: Anyone Else Worried About an Extended Bear Market?
« Reply #54 on: January 18, 2016, 01:40:23 PM »
Yes the big question is, Is this the sart of a bear or just a correction?

I think the Jury is out on that one for now.

I was hoping you could tell me! Is your crystal ball broken too? :)

Dammit!.. Yes...:)