can anyone explain how ER will impact your SS benefits?
I've put a fair bit of thought into this question and yet I still don't have a solid answer.
Basically, your SS benefit is based on your highest 35 years of earnings, indexed backwards in time for inflation. That means you can't really make any predictions about future dollar amounts without knowing future inflation rates.
The bad: with far less than 35 years of wages, your 35-year average is going to be very small.
The good: SS benefits are indexed for inflation to the year that you earned them, so unlike a pension they effectively go up every year between when you quit working and when you start collecting them.
There's no easy way to work this out. One method is to assume future inflation will match past inflation patterns (a bad guess, due to the 70s) and use one of the online SS benefit calculators assuming that your first year of wages, say 2003, was actually 35 years before you retire; so if you plan to retire in 2020 then you would input your 2003 wages as 1985 wages. Of course, you have to use a separate web calculator to reduce your 2003 wages to their 1985 inflation-adjusted value, making this whole process kind of messy.
The easier route is just to look at your annual SS benefit statements over time, plot the value of benefit they predict if you were to quit working immediately (not the value they predict if you work til retirement age), and extrapolate out to your retirement date. The year that you actually retire, it should be pretty close, again ignoring future variable inflation rates.
As an additional question, what if in ER you do earn a small income from your own endeavors (say $10K/year) and pay SS tax on the 10K, does that help or hurt your SS benefits. Basically, are you better off not paying any SS Tax in ER or pay some on a much lower earnings base vs. when you were building your stash?
It can't ever hurt you. Your benefit is based on your highest earning 35 years, and many of those are likely to be zeros. Any year that is above zero will raise your benefit. Note, however, that earnings later in your life have a relatively smaller impact on your SS benefit than earnings early in life.