The Money Mustache Community

Around the Internet => Antimustachian Wall of Shame and Comedy => Topic started by: Alternatepriorities on March 07, 2019, 11:49:26 AM

Title: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 07, 2019, 11:49:26 AM
This article was sent to me this morning: It makes me a little sad to see how little was learned from the last recession. Worse yet when the next recession comes all the cheap repos will be clown cars we don't want.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/cars/2019/03/01/care-payments/3001818002/

"New-car buyers agreed to pay an average of $551 per month for 69 months in January."

WTF? Pete and all of us Mustachians clearly still have work to do.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: jinga nation on March 07, 2019, 12:18:23 PM
Quote
A decade ago, the best-selling segment of vehicles was affordable small cars, like the Ford Focus sedan, she said. Today, it’s entry-level crossovers like the Toyota RAV4 and Ford Escape, which carry starting prices of several thousand more dollars.

I'm driving an entry-level vehicle. Sweet! Best compliment of the week.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 07, 2019, 06:24:34 PM
And the entry level SUVs of today are far nicer than their older versions from 15 years ago. Bigger too.

It is amazing how short the average person's memory is. Politics, pollution, economics, whatever. Every 5 years it seems everything is rebooted.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Montecarlo on March 07, 2019, 08:16:17 PM
Quote
Another tip: If you can’t afford a midsize SUV, for example, consider a midsize car. The price difference between the average midsize SUV and the average midsize car in January was $38,744 to $25,930, according to Kelley Blue Book.

Pedantry alert.

Spoiler: show
Stating the avg price of two car categories is not a price difference.  It kills me that professional writers do shit like this.


Also, I'm not sure "if you can't buy something that you can't afford, buy something you can" counts as a tip.  At least they didn't call it a life hack.  "Life hack: buy a midsize car, instead of an SUV that will be repo'd in 18 months!"
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RFAAOATB on March 07, 2019, 08:24:01 PM
This is about in line with what I'm paying for my car.  About $580x63 for a 2019 Subaru Ascent.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Abe on March 07, 2019, 11:09:44 PM
Wow that's a lot. I have been hard-pressed to spend that kind of money on an SUV. My wife and I have only bought two cars in our lives, but both times we had zero interest in the fancier versions. Anything above the base model seems like wasted money. We also don't spend more than 10-15 minutes per day in the car, so what do we know?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: eljefe-speaks on March 08, 2019, 11:45:30 AM
I feel SOOOOOO much better now about that small amount of debt I took on do buy my dream motorcycle.

This quite caught my eye:

"The good news is the average consumer has 'a very healthy balance sheet' right now, said Lakhbir Lamba, executive vice president of retail lending at PNC."

This is not supported by evidence in the article and is incongruous with that tidbit we have all heard recently about how the average American would not be able to come up with some small amount of cash in the case of an emergency. Maybe Americans have a good amount of equity in their homes right now, but a large portion of that would be offset by the very subject of the piece: vehicle debt. I wouldn't consider my balance sheet healthy unless I had a strong amount of liquidity.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: talltexan on March 08, 2019, 12:48:07 PM
I've spent the past few minutes discussing my co-workers's situation with her car. She's 37 months into a 48 month lease, and just tripped over the maximum miles. Her monthly payments are about $360, but--if she continues driving at her current rate--she'll add a little over six extra payments over the the next year for those miles. It's difficult for her to make a change to a different car without having a substantial pot of money on-hand.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: I'm a red panda on March 08, 2019, 12:59:03 PM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: FIRE@50 on March 08, 2019, 01:05:12 PM
I've spent the past few minutes discussing my co-workers's situation with her car. She's 37 months into a 48 month lease, and just tripped over the maximum miles. Her monthly payments are about $360, but--if she continues driving at her current rate--she'll add a little over six extra payments over the the next year for those miles. It's difficult for her to make a change to a different car without having a substantial pot of money on-hand.
I'm guessing that buying the car at the end of the lease will be her best option.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: zolotiyeruki on March 08, 2019, 01:35:28 PM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Not any more.  84-month loans are pretty common nowadays.  It's nuts.

To compare, I bought my Corolla 16 years and 140k miles ago for $4500.  That's less than one year's worth of average payments.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 08, 2019, 03:48:19 PM
And its not like there is a shortage of alternatives to the "very, very expensive" option.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RFAAOATB on March 08, 2019, 09:05:02 PM
And its not like there is a shortage of alternatives to the "very, very expensive" option.

What makes me grumble is I took the moderately expensive option because the less expensive options didn't suit us and I just couldn't justify the very very expensive option (Lincoln Navigator).

I have to remind myself that my dad is a couple of decades older than me and I might have to wait that long until I get a luxury tier SUV.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: NorthernMonkey on March 09, 2019, 09:51:01 AM
My car payment was £500, that's about $650

It was only one payment though. I'm quite happy with my 12 year old VW
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: SwordGuy on March 09, 2019, 07:59:21 PM
"New-car buyers agreed to pay an average of $551 per month for 69 months in January."

It continually boggles my mind.

That's literally 2 car payments for the most expensive two cars we ever bought.  Those were the last new cars we bought and were only for 60 months.

I've bought 3 different rental homes, each for less than one average new car at that price.

Some people buy fancy cars.  I buy houses and stock.



Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JAYSLOL on March 10, 2019, 09:11:36 AM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Not any more.  84-month loans are pretty common nowadays.  It's nuts.

To compare, I bought my Corolla 16 years and 140k miles ago for $4500.  That's less than one year's worth of average payments.

In Canada for the last 4 or 5 years now I've stopped seeing any loan for under 84 months advertised, it's the new standard loan (as far as ones being advertised anyway), and I also see the odd 96 month loans popping up. 
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on March 10, 2019, 09:25:35 AM
I probably shouldn't say what my monthly payment is on our used car here...
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 10, 2019, 09:56:55 AM
"New-car buyers agreed to pay an average of $551 per month for 69 months in January."

It continually boggles my mind.

That's literally 2 car payments for the most expensive two cars we ever bought.  Those were the last new cars we bought and were only for 60 months.

I've bought 3 different rental homes, each for less than one average new car at that price.

Some people buy fancy cars.  I buy houses and stock.

That's a good point I hadn't thought about. It's only in the past year that I've ever spent more than $550 a month on rent or a mortgage...
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 10, 2019, 10:02:47 AM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Not any more.  84-month loans are pretty common nowadays.  It's nuts.

To compare, I bought my Corolla 16 years and 140k miles ago for $4500.  That's less than one year's worth of average payments.

In Canada for the last 4 or 5 years now I've stopped seeing any loan for under 84 months advertised, it's the new standard loan (as far as ones being advertised anyway), and I also see the odd 96 month loans popping up.


8 Years? wow. I've wondered about that before when I drive through Canada. When exchange rates swing and the US Dollar suddenly buys 1.25 Canadian is the price of vehicles really 25% higher in Canada? Or could I get a screaming deal on my next used car buying it BC instead of the Lower 48 and driving it up?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 10, 2019, 10:22:28 AM
My car payment was £500, that's about $650

It was only one payment though. I'm quite happy with my 12 year old VW

Years ago a few months after started my first engineering job after college a coworkers gave me some good natured crap about my old (admittedly junky) car. He told me I was an engineer now and could afford a new car... I just told hime I really didn't want a new car payment. After working there two years I did finally buy a new (to me) car. He complimented me on how nice it was and asked what my payment was. I told him the total amount I paid for it... He was genuinly confused for a second before it dawned on him that I'd paid cash. He didn't even know that was an option. The story has a happy ending though. I've done some contract work for the company lately and he's free of consumer debt driving a paid for car and just about to take a payout to work his dream job.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: westcountrybeerman on March 10, 2019, 02:34:57 PM
It's just as bad in the UK, I know multiple people paying up to £500pcm for a flashy GTI/GT/SR/*insert high spec stupid tag here* who struggle to pay rent and bills.

I've got a VW Golf GTI that goes like a rocketship… cost me £700 cash and is a mere 18yrs young... will do 70mph+ in 2nd gear!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: lizzzi on March 10, 2019, 03:01:42 PM
I don't know anybody in my apartment complex who has paid cash for a vehicle except me. They drive much newer, nicer cars than mine, but are mostly leasing for $300-$400 per month. I think they are just crazy. All that money, and they don't even own their own cars. They think getting a new car means taking out a new lease--then they all ooh and aah over each others new (i.e. leased) cars. I so don't get it.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 10, 2019, 07:30:44 PM
I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 10, 2019, 09:03:02 PM
I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

Improvements in metallurgy and paint along with the increased use of plastics have helped a lot with that. I bought my last vehicle down south and drove it up, but that was mostly because it’s a beautiful drive and it saved me $1,500.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: oldtoyota on March 10, 2019, 09:09:51 PM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Not any more.  84-month loans are pretty common nowadays.  It's nuts.

To compare, I bought my Corolla 16 years and 140k miles ago for $4500.  That's less than one year's worth of average payments.

I like your choice of car. ;-)
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: zolotiyeruki on March 11, 2019, 06:14:59 AM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Not any more.  84-month loans are pretty common nowadays.  It's nuts.

To compare, I bought my Corolla 16 years and 140k miles ago for $4500.  That's less than one year's worth of average payments.

I like your choice of car. ;-)
Thanks! :) But I'm not sure 225k miles (what it has now) qualifies it as "old" yet.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: talltexan on March 11, 2019, 06:50:23 AM
It's just as bad in the UK, I know multiple people paying up to £500pcm for a flashy GTI/GT/SR/*insert high spec stupid tag here* who struggle to pay rent and bills.

I've got a VW Golf GTI that goes like a rocketship… cost me £700 cash and is a mere 18yrs young... will do 70mph+ in 2nd gear!

Did anybody else read this post and think about that old song, "When I was in my cadillac...what to my surprise [beep, beep]? A little Nash Rambler was following me, about 1/3 my size..."
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: NorthernMonkey on March 11, 2019, 06:58:33 AM
I don't know anybody in my apartment complex who has paid cash for a vehicle except me. They drive much newer, nicer cars than mine, but are mostly leasing for $300-$400 per month. I think they are just crazy. All that money, and they don't even own their own cars. They think getting a new car means taking out a new lease--then they all ooh and aah over each others new (i.e. leased) cars. I so don't get it.

My Boss spent last week telling anyone about the amazing deal he got on a brand new BMW x5. It comes with all the extras, and because him and his wife now work in the same office, they can get rid of her car at £200 a month, and his car at £500 a month, so the new one is only £100 more than the other two, at £800 a month. It's such a good deal!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: I'm a red panda on March 11, 2019, 07:00:15 AM
I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

I live in a snowy state with lots of salt on the road.  We consistently keep our cars 10-15 years. And the dealers happily take them as trades.
We just rinse them off at the end of the season.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Bracken_Joy on March 11, 2019, 07:03:29 AM
I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

Even if they did, most people will just use that as an excuse to trade in early and roll their "negative equity" forward onto their next loan.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: DadJokes on March 11, 2019, 07:51:28 AM
I feel SOOOOOO much better now about that small amount of debt I took on do buy my dream motorcycle.

This quite caught my eye:

"The good news is the average consumer has 'a very healthy balance sheet' right now, said Lakhbir Lamba, executive vice president of retail lending at PNC."

This is not supported by evidence in the article and is incongruous with that tidbit we have all heard recently about how the average American would not be able to come up with some small amount of cash in the case of an emergency. Maybe Americans have a good amount of equity in their homes right now, but a large portion of that would be offset by the very subject of the piece: vehicle debt. I wouldn't consider my balance sheet healthy unless I had a strong amount of liquidity.

A lender not seeing a problem with all of the debt consumers take out? Well color me shocked.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Daisyedwards800 on March 11, 2019, 10:03:37 AM
This kills me. My friend, who is a teacher, makes $90k in a high cost-of-living area, perhaps the highest in the U.S.  She just financed a new car for $570 a month.  Her insurance went up also.  I just can't get over that she continually makes these same mistakes and justifies it.  It is sad.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: TheGrimSqueaker on March 11, 2019, 12:11:24 PM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Not any more.  84-month loans are pretty common nowadays.  It's nuts.

To compare, I bought my Corolla 16 years and 140k miles ago for $4500.  That's less than one year's worth of average payments.

In Canada for the last 4 or 5 years now I've stopped seeing any loan for under 84 months advertised, it's the new standard loan (as far as ones being advertised anyway), and I also see the odd 96 month loans popping up.


8 Years? wow. I've wondered about that before when I drive through Canada. When exchange rates swing and the US Dollar suddenly buys 1.25 Canadian is the price of vehicles really 25% higher in Canada? Or could I get a screaming deal on my next used car buying it BC instead of the Lower 48 and driving it up?

Unlikely: car safety regulations in the United States are deliberately tweaked to ensure that any vehicle bought outside the USA has "safety flaws" that require expensive modifications before the vehicle can be legally imported and registered.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 11, 2019, 02:08:02 PM
Because that 2019 Peugeot or Skoda is certainly more unsafe than a Harley-Davidson... Yep - safety is the reason...
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on March 11, 2019, 02:24:55 PM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?
Not any more.  84-month loans are pretty common nowadays.  It's nuts.

To compare, I bought my Corolla 16 years and 140k miles ago for $4500.  That's less than one year's worth of average payments.

In Canada for the last 4 or 5 years now I've stopped seeing any loan for under 84 months advertised, it's the new standard loan (as far as ones being advertised anyway), and I also see the odd 96 month loans popping up.


8 Years? wow. I've wondered about that before when I drive through Canada. When exchange rates swing and the US Dollar suddenly buys 1.25 Canadian is the price of vehicles really 25% higher in Canada? Or could I get a screaming deal on my next used car buying it BC instead of the Lower 48 and driving it up?

Side note, the exchange rate is currently $1 USD to $1.34 CAD.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 11, 2019, 03:37:43 PM
Side note, the exchange rate is currently $1 USD to $1.34 CAD.

I guess it's been a while since my last trip.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 11, 2019, 03:40:10 PM
Unlikely: car safety regulations in the United States are deliberately tweaked to ensure that any vehicle bought outside the USA has "safety flaws" that require expensive modifications before the vehicle can be legally imported and registered.

Yeah after looking up the details it's probably more of a pain than it would be worth an anything in my price range. The requirement is waved on vehicles more than 25 years old though...
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: K-ice on March 11, 2019, 04:45:53 PM
Just this morning we were roughly calculating the monthly cost of our car. (Not including gas, insurance etc.) 

Price paid/months owned = monthly cost 

It was an unmustacian CASH purchase a while ago. It is a bit sobering to see it has cost us about $350 a month.  Of course, the longer we keep it the less it costs. It also still has some resale value so that we were not taking into account.

For fun I looked at buying a new car from the same dealer. I was tempted by the 0.5% financing.  But they also offer -$1000 for a cash purchase. Looking at the math that 0.5% is more like 4.8% if you took the cash price as your PV.  Although the rental car financing seams tempting, always check the fees and actual difference with a cash payment.

Anyway, we plan to hang onto this car for a few more years.

Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: martyconlonontherun on March 11, 2019, 05:26:23 PM
Because that 2019 Peugeot or Skoda is certainly more unsafe than a Harley-Davidson... Yep - safety is the reason...

Planet Money did a podcast on this and IIRC, their conclusion was that car makers hate these laws and would rather there be universal standards. The issue is getting Americans and Europeans agreeing on the laws that are similar but different.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: martyconlonontherun on March 11, 2019, 05:27:53 PM
Wonder what the average used car payment is? Yea, $550 is bad but at least you are getting a car that could last awhile and is nicer. Used car payments are usually inflated due to bad credit.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on March 11, 2019, 06:10:05 PM
Wonder what the average used car payment is? Yea, $550 is bad but at least you are getting a car that could last awhile and is nicer. Used car payments are usually inflated due to bad credit.

About half a year ago the average used car payment was $378.
https://jalopnik.com/the-average-used-car-payment-is-now-378-per-month-1828725332

I think it's important to note the inherent statistical bias in these numbers. The $550/month figure is an average of Americans that buy a new car and finance it. That number doesn't go down when more people buy their cars in cash. Or when fewer people buy new cars (new vehicle sales are up 20% over the last five years so maybe we should ridicule that instead). Because those people are not part of the dataset. It will only go down when the people choosing to finance their new cars choose cheaper cars. And inflation obviously is working against that. Even a new Corolla is $300+/month now.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 14, 2019, 12:01:57 PM
My sister (who makes me look like a free spender) started a conversation this morning about calculating the real price of a vehicle when dealerships are offering a 0% loan. They can't borrow the money somewhere else and then let the buyer use it interest free so the cost of the loan must be built into the price. Does anyone know of a good method or an online calculator for that? My current approach is just the treat the payments as an annuity and calculate the present value at whatever interest rate I assume the manufacture wants to make...

Our conversation also reminded me of an FU money story on car loans... A FI friend took a 0% loan when they wouldn't reduce the price (similar to MMM's story with the leaf). A couple months in they then tried to raise the rate because (BS regarding paperwork). He told them if the changed the rate he'd pay the loan off immediately. They told him "that's impossible, nobody can pay of a car overnight". He told them he could and he would and suddenly paperwork problem was solved. I still don't know why they wanted to loan money at 0% based on my above theory they should have let him pay it off since the price had already been agreed.

There should be a line on mustachian credit reports that says "I have FU money and I know how to use it".

 
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: K-ice on March 14, 2019, 01:54:10 PM
My sister (who makes me look like a free spender) started a conversation this morning about calculating the real price of a vehicle when dealerships are offering a 0% loan. They can't borrow the money somewhere else and then let the buyer use it interest free so the cost of the loan must be built into the price. Does anyone know of a good method or an online calculator for that?

I did some math on my own the other day.

For fun I looked at buying a new car from the same dealer. I was tempted by the 0.5% financing.  But they also offer -$1000 for a cash purchase. Looking at the math that 0.5% is more like 4.8% if you took the cash price as your PV.  Although the rental car financing seams tempting, always check the fees and actual difference with a cash payment.

Here is what I did using excel RATE=(nper,rate,pv). 

First I double checked rate (0.5% in my case) with the term (2y), total sale price (24219.56), and payment (-1014.44)

rate = 12*RATE(2*12, 24219.56, -1014.44)  = 0.5%   OK so it checks out.


Then I entered the discounted price (-$1000 + tax) they were offering for a "cash" sale (23169.56) the same term & payments.

rate = 12*RATE(2*12, 23169.56, -1014.44)  = 4.8%


So to someone who has the cash and thought 0.5% is a great rate now borrowing doesn't look so good anymore.

You could also very quickly look at the total paid difference.  24*$1014.44 - $23169.56 = $1170.02  more.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: kimmarg on March 14, 2019, 11:10:38 PM
I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

I'd say about 10 years is when the road salt starts tearing at the frame. cosmetic rust is one thing but stick your fingers through the side wall is another
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Holyoak on March 15, 2019, 05:12:04 AM
Wonder what the average used car payment is? Yea, $550 is bad but at least you are getting a car that could last awhile and is nicer. Used car payments are usually inflated due to bad credit.

About half a year ago the average used car payment was $378.
https://jalopnik.com/the-average-used-car-payment-is-now-378-per-month-1828725332

I think it's important to note the inherent statistical bias in these numbers. The $550/month figure is an average of Americans that buy a new car and finance it. That number doesn't go down when more people buy their cars in cash. Or when fewer people buy new cars (new vehicle sales are up 20% over the last five years so maybe we should ridicule that instead). Because those people are not part of the dataset. It will only go down when the people choosing to finance their new cars choose cheaper cars. And inflation obviously is working against that. Even a new Corolla is $300+/month now.

Ironic, I was just telling someone similar yesterday.  Manufacturers keep jacking the cost up at a crazy rate, adding new trim lines to really jack up the cost, and diminish previous trim lines value (looking at you Mazda), and extending the loan term to keep asses in new leatherette seats.  "C'mon man, what monthly payment can you swing"...  Fucking madness, and cash does nothing for you/no cut for the dealer via their financing/financing provider. 

I know about all of the great 'tech' (blech), and safety BS new cars come with...  But a base new RAV4 AWD with steel wheels, plastic hubcaps, no pwr seat anywhere, and a 4 cyl engine is $30k...  $30k for that shit?  Hey, at least you get a urethane gear shift knob to enjoy for the next 8 years of your loan.  Oh well, record number of folks 90 days or more late on their payments, maybe my cash can get spent soon for pennies on the dollar.

I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

I'd say about 10 years is when the road salt starts tearing at the frame. cosmetic rust is one thing but stick your fingers through the side wall is another

And repairs become far more difficult and expensive due to rust seized parts that break off, rather than unbolt.  Oh yeah, ask Toyota about frame rust.  I have seen several times behind a Toyota service building, stacks of new frames ready to be installed for their trucks.  Literally a frame up replacement, where all parts are stripped from the old truck, and bolted to the new frame.  Man, did Toyota eff that one up.

Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: jinga nation on March 15, 2019, 05:41:57 AM

I know about all of the great 'tech' (blech), and safety BS new cars come with...  But a base new RAV4 AWD with steel wheels, plastic hubcaps, no pwr seat anywhere, and a 4 cyl engine is $30k...  $30k for that shit?  Hey, at least you get a urethane gear shift knob to enjoy for the next 8 years of your loan.  Oh well, record number of folks 90 days or more late on their payments, maybe my cash can get spent soon for pennies on the dollar.

What one should do (and what I did) is use the 'Days on Market' filter on CarGurus to find 'lot-sitters'. Then go in and negotiate on that particular vehicle. I set the filter to 60-100 days. Do this on new and used cars. Many of the young dealer sales people use the same cargurus app, so the negotiation basis is transparent and pretty much a hassle-free quick yay/nay. I was able to find several >60day used RAV4s (still under manufacturer warranty) sitting in dealer back lots. One hour from walking onto the lot to driving away. Negotiation time was under 10 minutes, straight up told them no funny games or I have a to go to competitor 3 miles down the road.

Bought a 1.5 year old RAV4 FWD with 15,000 miles on the odo for USD 20k out the door. Dealer desperate to get rid of the 7 he had sitting around. Had my uncle do the same. Told some co-workers about it, one jumped and got a slightly better deal. (I'm so proud of him, sniff.)

But yeah, prices are whacky on new vehicles, even the base model RAV4s and CR-Vs due to the stupid crazy demand, they are the best-sellers.

So I'm looking at the new Honda Insight for my wife, they're just sitting on lots.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Holyoak on March 15, 2019, 06:33:35 AM
Hey Jinga, I LOVE the days on lot filter, as well when used in conjunction with the price history graph.  I mentioned earlier on MMM, about how dealers/Toyota USA were giving huge discounts on even brand new 18 Ravs, expecting many more people (especially men) to gravitate towards the 19's much more 'masculine' look and marketing campaign.  They and I both fully expect sales to be 500k plus, keeping it as the No 1 vehicle sold in the USA, outside of trucks.  License to print money, and keep slaves in bondage 8 years at a time.

FWIW, two days ago I looked at Mazda CX-5's, and although a bit smaller, and a smidge less power, represented to me a much, much greater value, and all of them are made in Japan (many Ravs are made in Canada).  I mean look at this:

https://www.preston-mazda.com/inventory/new-2019-mazda-cx-5-touring-awd-4d-sport-utility-jm3kfbcm3k0514839

The $28,500 asking price vs the base Rav4's $30,000 price gets you:

- Alloy wheels
- Leatherette seats, not those horrible looking, cheap seat cover looking seats in the $30k base Rav4
- Radar cruise control
- Heated 6 way power driver seat
- Dual zone automatic A/C
- Fwd collision automatic braking
- Even a leather wrapped shift knob :)

Etc, etc...  I want this exact model and color in a 17, but no dice so far.  Going to the Grand Touring trim is simply, and absolutely embarrassing for Toyota, and reliability is top notch for the Mazda as well.  I always spec AWD, as you can not find anything but that here in NW PA, and resale for just FWD would take a huge hit (not that FWD wouldn't be OK for many).
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: NorthernMonkey on March 15, 2019, 07:00:46 AM
All this talk of $30k cars is insane.

I'll stick with my 2 week rule. Never spend more than 2 weeks (after tax) earnings on  a car, and just replace them every 2 years when they get scrapped
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 15, 2019, 08:55:31 AM
We have a two week car too. However depending on how much driving a person does, it might be important to have one nice car and one cheap car.

I trust our older car but if going out of state I want to drive our newer car. If facing potentially dangerous weather I want to be in our newer car. If traveling 100 miles from home in typical weather conditions, the older car is fine. The older car is a great short distance or commuter car. Crossing the midwest in 15F weather - I want something newer.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on March 15, 2019, 09:05:31 AM
Wonder what the average used car payment is? Yea, $550 is bad but at least you are getting a car that could last awhile and is nicer. Used car payments are usually inflated due to bad credit.

About half a year ago the average used car payment was $378.
https://jalopnik.com/the-average-used-car-payment-is-now-378-per-month-1828725332

I think it's important to note the inherent statistical bias in these numbers. The $550/month figure is an average of Americans that buy a new car and finance it. That number doesn't go down when more people buy their cars in cash. Or when fewer people buy new cars (new vehicle sales are up 20% over the last five years so maybe we should ridicule that instead). Because those people are not part of the dataset. It will only go down when the people choosing to finance their new cars choose cheaper cars. And inflation obviously is working against that. Even a new Corolla is $300+/month now.

Ironic, I was just telling someone similar yesterday.  Manufacturers keep jacking the cost up at a crazy rate, adding new trim lines to really jack up the cost, and diminish previous trim lines value (looking at you Mazda), and extending the loan term to keep asses in new leatherette seats.  "C'mon man, what monthly payment can you swing"...  Fucking madness, and cash does nothing for you/no cut for the dealer via their financing/financing provider. 

I know about all of the great 'tech' (blech), and safety BS new cars come with...  But a base new RAV4 AWD with steel wheels, plastic hubcaps, no pwr seat anywhere, and a 4 cyl engine is $30k...  $30k for that shit?  Hey, at least you get a urethane gear shift knob to enjoy for the next 8 years of your loan.  Oh well, record number of folks 90 days or more late on their payments, maybe my cash can get spent soon for pennies on the dollar.

I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

I'd say about 10 years is when the road salt starts tearing at the frame. cosmetic rust is one thing but stick your fingers through the side wall is another

And repairs become far more difficult and expensive due to rust seized parts that break off, rather than unbolt.  Oh yeah, ask Toyota about frame rust.  I have seen several times behind a Toyota service building, stacks of new frames ready to be installed for their trucks.  Literally a frame up replacement, where all parts are stripped from the old truck, and bolted to the new frame.  Man, did Toyota eff that one up.

Ehhh.  Dana (the frame manufacturer) messed that one up.  Maybe Toyota could've tested more thoroughly, but the frame rust issue has a specific root cause (inadequate rust proofing from the Dana factory).

https://www.torquenews.com/106/dana-corp-ordered-pay-toyota-25m-frame-rust-issues
https://autoweek.com/article/recalls/toyota-frame-settlement-could-cost-company-34-billion
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on March 15, 2019, 09:10:37 AM
All this talk of $30k cars is insane.

I'll stick with my 2 week rule. Never spend more than 2 weeks (after tax) earnings on  a car, and just replace them every 2 years when they get scrapped

If you don't do your own work and you scrap vehicles when done, that may be cheaper than buying something a little nicer and maintaining it...but it's not quite as cheap as it sounds. If you're buying $2k cars every two years, you're at $1k a year in effective depreciation (plus maintenance). It's rare that I don't immediately buy tires for any used car I buy, and something for $2k is almost certainly going to need something.

The last car I sold was a Mazdaspeed6 - I think I paid $6k for it, drove it for ~2 years, and sold it for $5k. Shopping around and buying something near the bottom of its depreciation curve can get you something nicer / more entertaining than a 2-week car, but on the flip side it basically requires you to be a bit of an enthusiast and mechanic to pull it off. :)
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Holyoak on March 15, 2019, 09:48:17 AM
Quote
Ehhh.  Dana (the frame manufacturer) messed that one up.  Maybe Toyota could've tested more thoroughly, but the frame rust issue has a specific root cause (inadequate rust proofing from the Dana factory).

https://www.torquenews.com/106/dana-corp-ordered-pay-toyota-25m-frame-rust-issues
https://autoweek.com/article/recalls/toyota-frame-settlement-could-cost-company-34-billion

True...  Dana made the part, but Toyota took the hit on perceived quality - Very, very few folks have even heard of Dana, and even then more so as it relates to drivetrain components.  Thank God Toyota didn't fuck around, and get cute with how they handled the issue, and pretty much everyone got a new frame that was even a bit suspect (esp around here in road saltsville), or a very generous buyout.

My ex-wife was a program manager for a huge multinational maker/supplier of high cost, high visual and functional impact auto-parts for OEM's, and many times OEM's would reject a lot/batch after inspection, or catch it after installation and final testing/inspection.  This would lead to having to send out folks to re-install the parts with expedited good ones, or hold up the line costing the OEM maker $$$$$$$$$$$ per hr/day that they had to wait.  To me, I think both eff'd up, but it sure was a lesson in how to handle the fallout, and hopefully how to make sure only in-spec parts, especially arguably one of the most critical/gotta be right the first time.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Harrington on March 15, 2019, 10:47:10 AM
I'm 58 and retired at 49 and I have never taken out a loan in my life to buy a car. I could afford to drive pretty much any car I wanted but I drive around in a well maintained high mileage car that I paid 10k for 8 years ago.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: jinga nation on March 15, 2019, 04:10:46 PM
All this talk made me realize I could buy a base model 3 series every 2-3 years in cash using my passive net rental income (after EBITDA). But why piss that money down the depreciation drain faster at 0.98c when my I could use it to grow my little green army and let it march at a reliable long-term cadence of 7-8%.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Holyoak on March 15, 2019, 04:52:39 PM
All this talk made me realize I could buy a base model 3 series every 2-3 years in cash using my passive net rental income (after EBITDA). But why piss that money down the depreciation drain faster at 0.98c when my I could use it to grow my little green army and let it march at a reliable long-term cadence of 7-8%.

Hooah, that's a Jody call I'd march to...  Carry on green paper warrior.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: dignam on March 16, 2019, 07:54:57 AM
$500+/mo is absolutely insane for the majority of Americans.  Granted most of us on this forum make more than the average American.  I heard a local radio commercial the other day where they would loan $30k to you if you brought in $350/week.  It still blows my mind people find that a good idea on that income.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 16, 2019, 08:13:55 AM
My brain default to property costs. $550 is $100 more than our first house payment and not too far from our current house payment. Folks that have a perpetual car payment could change their game and have a nicer home that is at least appreciating in value and drive an "average" car instead.

Where I live is definitely more important to me than what I drive. Most weeks we spend 15-20 mins morn and night commuting. Don't need a luxury car for that and I'm sure as heck not worried about other people's opinions of my cars. ;)
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: texxan1 on March 16, 2019, 12:54:39 PM
I guess not many texans in the bunch lol.. I know of alot of unmustachian freinds that are financing Ford F250 4x4 pickups at the tune of $1200 bucks a month..... Crazynyess

I bought me an unmustachian pickup recently, but i paid Cash!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Cash is KING
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: OtherJen on March 16, 2019, 01:21:32 PM
I guess not many texans in the bunch lol.. I know of alot of unmustachian freinds that are financing Ford F250 4x4 pickups at the tune of $1200 bucks a month..... Crazynyess

Dear lord. I've never had a car payment higher than $330, and that was for a 4-year loan at 2% interest. $1200 would cover our mortgage, all utilities, and gas for our cars.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on March 16, 2019, 01:41:06 PM
I guess not many texans in the bunch lol.. I know of alot of unmustachian freinds that are financing Ford F250 4x4 pickups at the tune of $1200 bucks a month..... Crazynyess

I bought me an unmustachian pickup recently, but i paid Cash!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Cash is KING

That's not uncommon in Alaska either. This forum reminds me the $70k truck pulling 2-4 15K snowmobiles down the road ahead of me is most likely a sign of great debt rather than great wealth... You all help me stay sane.

I have a nice used tacoma I paid cash for and though I'd like a snowmobile the math keeps talking me out of it... My best estimate on a new mountain climbing machine is $200-$300 per day of riding... I can't help thinking that it's like being paid $200 dollars a day for hiking instead of riding... And better for my health too.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 16, 2019, 09:22:38 PM
Hiking vs snowmobile payments: great way to look at it!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: talltexan on March 18, 2019, 07:22:07 AM
I guess not many texans in the bunch lol.. I know of alot of unmustachian freinds that are financing Ford F250 4x4 pickups at the tune of $1200 bucks a month..... Crazynyess

I bought me an unmustachian pickup recently, but i paid Cash!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Cash is KING

Word, texan cousin!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Indexer on March 24, 2019, 11:14:48 AM
Many years ago I worked at a bank and I was really surprised by all of the $400 to $800 car payments on fairly normal sedans or SUVs. I also saw $800 to $1200 car payments, which you immediately think Porsche, but no, that's for a pickup truck.

I also remember a meeting where our manager was teaching the tellers good questions to ask to get customers talking about their car loans, so they could offer refinancing. He made the comment, "everyoune has a car loan." I visibly shuddered, and he said, "well except you."
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Dave1442397 on March 25, 2019, 05:41:53 PM
Many years ago I worked at a bank and I was really surprised by all of the $400 to $800 car payments on fairly normal sedans or SUVs. I also saw $800 to $1200 car payments, which you immediately think Porsche, but no, that's for a pickup truck.

I also remember a meeting where our manager was teaching the tellers good questions to ask to get customers talking about their car loans, so they could offer refinancing. He made the comment, "everyoune has a car loan." I visibly shuddered, and he said, "well except you."

Maybe it's because I work in Finance, but almost all my co-workers drive paid-off cars, and do a lot of their own maintenance. One guy has a Dodge minivan with 198k miles, another has an '03 Corolla with 135k miles, etc. There's only one spendthrift that we know of, and he's off the scale in the other direction - $50k+ pickup truck, and two motor homes, neither of which has been used in years. I guess he's there to balance out the rest of us.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ChpBstrd on March 25, 2019, 09:27:39 PM
I paid less than $17k cash for a brand new Honda Fit base model 90 months ago. I negotiated to pay the entire price upfront, specified the color, and specified that it shall not have pinstripes, floor mats, bumper appliqué, steering wheel cover, extra emblems, or ANY other bullshit $150/each "options". They shipped my car in from out of state for free, because no dealer stock within a couple hundred mile radius was free of bullshit options. The car is now worth $7k, so it depreciated $10k in 90 mos.

10,000 / 90 = $111/mo* for a new car

*not including opportunity cost of the tied-up cash. In theory, I could have arbitraged the 0.9% financing they offered with a safe investment yielding 3% and made a couple hundred. However, I know the cashier's check I brought to the dealer with my final offer price already filled in earned me several hundred in concessions and loan fees.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: jinga nation on March 26, 2019, 05:52:13 AM
The incentives from finance companies to dealers encourage financing over cash sales.

When I purchased my vehicle in May 2017, new to me, still under manufacturer warranty, during the paperwork process, the finance guy told me that if I financed, even if for 1 day, I'd get an additional discount. He told me the dealership gets a financing bonus of ~ $300. He said he would split 3 ways and I would get $100 off. I told him nope, that I see him and dealership as one unit. So I should get half. He was about to start his version of the salesman game of going to his supervisor. I told him if he gets up and tries that game, I'm walking out. There's a major competitor 3 miles away with plenty of used inventory. Eventually he was desperate to hit his month end numbers so he gave me ~180 off. I bet that is less than half of the incentive.

Now there were 2 financing options: via manufacturer's financing arm or via CapitalOne. The first would take about 2-3 hours to process (it was about 6pm on a Saturday), with a 2.49% APR. The second would take under 30 minutes, with 3.99% APR, no early payment penalty, but the dealer's incentive was higher. I took the second option, got another $100 knocked off, and agreed I could pay it off on Monday after 6pm.

Stupid me forgot all about it as I got a nail through a tire on Monday and was getting it fixed that evening. Then work and life and kids and wife took over, I paid it off the following Monday, had to a pay a Jackson's worth of interest.

If this had been a cash sale as originally planned, I'd have never learnt this. So instead of paying 20k OTD cash, I ended up taking it home at $19700 @ 3.99% and paid it off a week later.

Lesson learned: Never say cash only and ignore all those sweet financing offers. Listen to everything, do your due diligence, financing may be your friend in the end.

Problem: People think financing is their BFF.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Dicey on March 26, 2019, 07:53:32 AM
In 1999, I was dating a guy who was driving a shiny new Volvo station wagon. He told me his car payment was $800/month and I damn near died. I revived somewhat when he said it was a 0%, 24-month loan. At the time, my mortgage payment was $960, and my vehicle was paid for. He's married now, with three kids. I'd like to think that he's happy, and still diving that Volvo station wagon.

Related tale: his job included nice perks. One lovely fall day, we were enjoying box seats at a pro football game. A young-ish couple filed in a  couple rows in front of us. He waved to them, then whispered to me that she had been in the military for a few years. When they got married, all she had was a couple of suitcases and a hundred grand. Hmmm, thought I, I have considerably more than that...

Turns out he wasn't my prince after all.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Cassie on March 26, 2019, 12:07:13 PM
I find it amazing that anyone would have a car payment for 7 years. Yikes!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: monte0930 on March 28, 2019, 11:41:19 AM
A co-worker was recently bragging about her new luxury SUV. Since she already had a luxury SUV, I went out to look at her new one. Same color, same model but two years newer than her (2yr) old one. It also came out that she is paying....$1,000 per month in payments for this new ride. It absolutely boggles the mind.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: cowpuncher10 on March 28, 2019, 11:56:57 AM
I won't lie. I bought a clown car. Big ole truck. I bought it to pull my clown boat, I haul stuff for local parks and recreating activities, hunt with it, and honestly I am accomplishing all of my financial goals with it and am taking on more financial responsibility for my family. God has blessed me with a great job and I would love to not have my family worry about some things since they have supported me for so long.

As far as the clown boat....in laws bought a lake house so we bought the boat. We are on it EVERY weekend during late Spring through late Fall and it "buys" us time with our kids now and the future.

Now, with the above said, I think there is a big difference in what people are spending and what people can afford. I could afford multiples of what I purchased but I didn't go and commit that financial bandwidth to a car. My assumption is that the article is alluding to people maxing out their financial bandwidth vs buying needs.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 28, 2019, 12:51:50 PM
A co-worker was recently bragging about her new luxury SUV. Since she already had a luxury SUV, I went out to look at her new one. Same color, same model but two years newer than her (2yr) old one. It also came out that she is paying....$1,000 per month in payments for this new ride. It absolutely boggles the mind.

I have a coworker who did the very same thing with a certain car. Two years newer, same color, same type. I have to wonder if they lease. I've decided that my neighbor who seems to get a new car every couple of years probably leases too. No facts to go on though, just assumptions. None of my business either but the frugal part of my mind says "yikes!" every time I see a new vehicle there..
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on March 28, 2019, 02:03:49 PM
A co-worker was recently bragging about her new luxury SUV. Since she already had a luxury SUV, I went out to look at her new one. Same color, same model but two years newer than her (2yr) old one. It also came out that she is paying....$1,000 per month in payments for this new ride. It absolutely boggles the mind.

I have a coworker who did the very same thing with a certain car. Two years newer, same color, same type. I have to wonder if they lease. I've decided that my neighbor who seems to get a new car every couple of years probably leases too. No facts to go on though, just assumptions. None of my business either but the frugal part of my mind says "yikes!" every time I see a new vehicle there..

If you're buying a new vehicle every couple years then it might be better to lease. You're paying a huge premium to keep driving new cars though however you do it.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 28, 2019, 07:22:48 PM
YUP! Was never able to afford to do that so I never spent any time trying to optimize what works best.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 29, 2019, 06:39:20 AM
From Jalopnik:

If you are looking for a more flexible financing contract, Flex Buy at <dealer> provides two payment schedules that complement your current and future budgets. Flex Buy has a fixed rate with the first 36 months having a payment about 15 percent lower than a comparable 60-month contract, and the remaining 30 months having a payment about 22 percent higher than the first 36 months.

So let’s do the math. A $62k truck at 60 months, 10% down, Ford says that’s $886/month at a 5.9% APR FOR 84 MONTHS. Oh, did I neglect to mention the contracts are up to 84 months? Yeah. That too.

But “Flex Buy” is only 60 months, so at least you get the 2.9% APR. But let’s do the math here... $1,091 per month (per Ford.) Customer on Flex Buy only sees that “oh, hey, it brings it below 4 digits.” $927.35 at 15% lower.

Which at month 37 then balloons to $1,331.02 per month. Making total payments <calculator noises> $72,202.08+. Which is also why Ford strongly encourages people to trade their 3 year old trucks in at month 37. Better hope you’re not underwater though (you will be!)

https://jalopnik.com/the-trucks-are-too-damn-expensive-1833634970
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: jinga nation on March 29, 2019, 08:40:42 AM
I won't lie. I bought a clown car. Big ole truck. I bought it to pull my clown boat, I haul stuff for local parks and recreating activities, hunt with it, and honestly I am accomplishing all of my financial goals with it and am taking on more financial responsibility for my family. God has blessed me with a great job and I would love to not have my family worry about some things since they have supported me for so long.

As far as the clown boat....in laws bought a lake house so we bought the boat. We are on it EVERY weekend during late Spring through late Fall and it "buys" us time with our kids now and the future.

Now, with the above said, I think there is a big difference in what people are spending and what people can afford. I could afford multiples of what I purchased but I didn't go and commit that financial bandwidth to a car. My assumption is that the article is alluding to people maxing out their financial bandwidth vs buying needs.
It's not a clown truck/boat because you're using the truck a lot to put the boat in the water several times a year. It's not for show or bragging.
It's a clown when one intends to use it but never does, or does it for show.
Plus if you're doing well financially, it ain't stupid to put money to enjoyment.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Montecarlo on March 29, 2019, 04:59:32 PM

It's not a clown truck/boat because you're using the truck a lot to put the boat in the water several times a year. It's not for show or bragging.
It's a clown when one intends to use it but never does, or does it for show.
Plus if you're doing well financially, it ain't stupid to put money to enjoyment.

Problem is most people overrate how they are doing financially
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ChpBstrd on March 29, 2019, 09:55:58 PM
I won't lie. I bought a clown car. Big ole truck. I bought it to pull my clown boat, I haul stuff for local parks and recreating activities, hunt with it, and honestly I am accomplishing all of my financial goals with it and am taking on more financial responsibility for my family. God has blessed me with a great job and I would love to not have my family worry about some things since they have supported me for so long.

As far as the clown boat....in laws bought a lake house so we bought the boat. We are on it EVERY weekend during late Spring through late Fall and it "buys" us time with our kids now and the future.

Now, with the above said, I think there is a big difference in what people are spending and what people can afford. I could afford multiples of what I purchased but I didn't go and commit that financial bandwidth to a car. My assumption is that the article is alluding to people maxing out their financial bandwidth vs buying needs.

One thing I keep in mind is that the math doesn't care about our good reasons, and our good reasons don't care about the math. Math is not somebody posting on the internet with an attitude and an opinion, it just IS. The lifestyle one wants can be bought one way or another, but there is always a price. We pay with our years at work or we pay by saying no to expensive things, possibly forever. There's a wide spectrum of outcomes anyone could decide to strive for. I would already be financially independent (rich in fact) if I wanted a lifestyle of leisure and luxury in a developing country like Thailand, Argentina, India, China, or Mexico. Or I could already be FIRE if I wanted a simple life in a cabin in the woods. Or I could work two more years and in exchange own a very pretty vehicle with paint and chrome that still sparkles ... for a couple of years.

That said, the people paying $550/mo for 7 years are often the same people who couldn't cover an unexpected $1k expense without going into debt, have a negative net worth, aren't getting their 401k match, pay another $100/mo for cable, and complain about how expensive gas and cigarettes are.   
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Fomerly known as something on March 30, 2019, 05:16:04 AM
I guess not many texans in the bunch lol.. I know of alot of unmustachian freinds that are financing Ford F250 4x4 pickups at the tune of $1200 bucks a month..... Crazynyess

I bought me an unmustachian pickup recently, but i paid Cash!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Cash is KING

That's not uncommon in Alaska either. This forum reminds me the $70k truck pulling 2-4 15K snowmobiles down the road ahead of me is most likely a sign of great debt rather than great wealth... You all help me stay sane.

I have a nice used tacoma I paid cash for and though I'd like a snowmobile the math keeps talking me out of it... My best estimate on a new mountain climbing machine is $200-$300 per day of riding... I can't help thinking that it's like being paid $200 dollars a day for hiking instead of riding... And better for my health too.

Co-worker just "bought" 2 used snowmobiles from a friend of his, I kept my mouth shut when he was talking about the great "deal" he got paying only $10,000 or $500 a month to his friend.  I'm in Michigan he'll take them out 6-10 weekends a year.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on March 30, 2019, 11:23:02 AM
At least they are used.

Hopefully he doesn't come to you complaining about being broke, the snowmobiles breaking down while he still owes on them or a friendship tested by payments, etc.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: sliverstorm on April 01, 2019, 11:07:19 PM
Is it really so shocking that someone might be paying more than two hundred bucks for a car payment? If we just focus on new cars for a second, the cheapest cars worth buying (let's ignore the Versa) start around $15k. On a 4 year loan with no interest, that's $310/mo. The Mazda3, Subaru Forester, & Outback, all of which featured on MMM's list of good car model choices (albeit used, I know), start at $21k, $25k, & $27k, quickly bringing you to around $600/mo on a 4 year loan.

Yeah, I know used cars are cheaper, but used cars were once new cars.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: DadJokes on April 02, 2019, 06:22:30 AM
Is it really so shocking that someone might be paying more than two hundred bucks for a car payment? If we just focus on new cars for a second, the cheapest cars worth buying (let's ignore the Versa) start around $15k. On a 4 year loan with no interest, that's $310/mo. The Mazda3, Subaru Forester, & Outback, all of which featured on MMM's list of good car model choices (albeit used, I know), start at $21k, $25k, & $27k, quickly bringing you to around $600/mo on a 4 year loan.

Yeah, I know used cars are cheaper, but used cars were once new cars.

I've never heard of a four year loan for a new car. I think the baseline (at least in the US) is five years, but as more and more Americans are buying SUVs, crossovers, and pickups, we're seeing more 6+ year loans, and the average payment in 2018 was $530. Yes, five or more years of $500+ for a car is shocking.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: YoungGranny on April 02, 2019, 06:57:51 AM
Is it really so shocking that someone might be paying more than two hundred bucks for a car payment? If we just focus on new cars for a second, the cheapest cars worth buying (let's ignore the Versa) start around $15k. On a 4 year loan with no interest, that's $310/mo. The Mazda3, Subaru Forester, & Outback, all of which featured on MMM's list of good car model choices (albeit used, I know), start at $21k, $25k, & $27k, quickly bringing you to around $600/mo on a 4 year loan.

Yeah, I know used cars are cheaper, but used cars were once new cars.

I've never heard of a four year loan for a new car. I think the baseline (at least in the US) is five years, but as more and more Americans are buying SUVs, crossovers, and pickups, we're seeing more 6+ year loans, and the average payment in 2018 was $530. Yes, five or more years of $500+ for a car is shocking.

I remember when I was in 7th grade my teacher taught "Graveyard Lessons" aka important tidbits of information to take to the grave. She recommended you never get more than a three year loan; I quickly saw as an adult that to follow her rule it basically excluded new cars in my price range. Still a great lesson.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on April 02, 2019, 07:10:00 AM
Is it really so shocking that someone might be paying more than two hundred bucks for a car payment? If we just focus on new cars for a second, the cheapest cars worth buying (let's ignore the Versa) start around $15k. On a 4 year loan with no interest, that's $310/mo. The Mazda3, Subaru Forester, & Outback, all of which featured on MMM's list of good car model choices (albeit used, I know), start at $21k, $25k, & $27k, quickly bringing you to around $600/mo on a 4 year loan.

Yeah, I know used cars are cheaper, but used cars were once new cars.

I've never heard of a four year loan for a new car. I think the baseline (at least in the US) is five years, but as more and more Americans are buying SUVs, crossovers, and pickups, we're seeing more 6+ year loans, and the average payment in 2018 was $530. Yes, five or more years of $500+ for a car is shocking.

I remember when I was in 7th grade my teacher taught "Graveyard Lessons" aka important tidbits of information to take to the grave. She recommended you never get more than a three year loan; I quickly saw as an adult that to follow her rule it basically excluded new cars in my price range. Still a great lesson.

That was part of the lesson. Don't buy new cars, they're too expensive.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: YoungGranny on April 02, 2019, 07:44:49 AM
@RWD -yes it was but that wasn't obvious to me in 7th grade. Funny how many delayed lessons teachers give you :)
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on April 02, 2019, 08:02:51 AM
https://www.reddit.com/r/askcarsales/

Amazing what people do with their money. The article that I read was a guy willing to take a $10K loss after one year and 4000 miles to jump to his next toy car.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Montecarlo on April 02, 2019, 11:18:55 AM
I've had a three year loan on a brand new Jeep.  Yes, facepunch for the brand new Jeep.  I've since downsized to a Fit.

It was 0% interest, so instead of spending cash I had a $900 car payment.

It's just math.  If you buy an expensive car on loan, you're either going to have a high payment, a long term, or both.

Only way to win is to not play the game.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: boyerbt on April 02, 2019, 11:32:49 AM
Is it really so shocking that someone might be paying more than two hundred bucks for a car payment? If we just focus on new cars for a second, the cheapest cars worth buying (let's ignore the Versa) start around $15k. On a 4 year loan with no interest, that's $310/mo. The Mazda3, Subaru Forester, & Outback, all of which featured on MMM's list of good car model choices (albeit used, I know), start at $21k, $25k, & $27k, quickly bringing you to around $600/mo on a 4 year loan.

Yeah, I know used cars are cheaper, but used cars were once new cars.

I've never heard of a four year loan for a new car. I think the baseline (at least in the US) is five years, but as more and more Americans are buying SUVs, crossovers, and pickups, we're seeing more 6+ year loans, and the average payment in 2018 was $530. Yes, five or more years of $500+ for a car is shocking.

I remember when I was in 7th grade my teacher taught "Graveyard Lessons" aka important tidbits of information to take to the grave. She recommended you never get more than a three year loan; I quickly saw as an adult that to follow her rule it basically excluded new cars in my price range. Still a great lesson.

That is a great name for the items "Graveyard Lessons". Any other good one's that you can remember?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: talltexan on April 02, 2019, 01:34:37 PM
I am interested in these "Graveyard Lessons", but a new thread might be more appropriate for those.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: sliverstorm on April 02, 2019, 07:51:37 PM
That was part of the lesson. Don't buy new cars, they're too expensive.

What's turning things on their head to me is popular reliable models seem to enjoy essentially straight-line depreciation trending towards 200k or 250k miles. For many of the cars that MMM himself lists as good picks, I've generally found you can multiply the MSRP by the mileage divided by 200k and that's the going market price.

That doesn't necessarily mean buying new is a good idea; you can lose a lot of money on bad financing and it's a big capital outlay. If you drive 5k miles per year, it will take you 40 years to get your worth out of it.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ChpBstrd on April 02, 2019, 08:20:29 PM
That was part of the lesson. Don't buy new cars, they're too expensive.

What's turning things on their head to me is popular reliable models seem to enjoy essentially straight-line depreciation trending towards 200k or 250k miles. For many of the cars that MMM himself lists as good picks, I've generally found you can multiply the MSRP by the mileage divided by 200k and that's the going market price.

That doesn't necessarily mean buying new is a good idea; you can lose a lot of money on bad financing and it's a big capital outlay. If you drive 5k miles per year, it will take you 40 years to get your worth out of it.

Longer-lasting cars means (a) a reduction in the number of cars that need to be produced and (b) higher new car prices. So fewer people are paying more to buy the new cars, and the rest of the population who cannot afford or do not want a new car have to scramble for a smaller number of used cars spun off by the fewer new car buyers. Thus a bidding war develops over used cars. Junkyards are now in the business of reassembling already-junked cars and selling them.

Used cars may be overpriced due to higher competition, but the depreciation is not straight-line. Edmunds.com's Total Cost of Ownership calculator demonstrates that the more you pay the more you lose in terms of depreciation.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: zolotiyeruki on April 02, 2019, 08:23:20 PM
Longer-lasting cars means (a) a reduction in the number of cars that need to be produced and (b) higher new car prices. So fewer people are paying more to buy the new cars, and the rest of the population who cannot afford or do not want a new car have to scramble for a smaller number of used cars spun off by the fewer new car buyers. Thus a bidding war develops over used cars. Junkyards are now in the business of reassembling already-junked cars and selling them.
The sad part is that in 5-10 years the market is going to be absolutely flooded with nothing but used crossovers, and there'll be almost no small, efficient sedans available :(
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ChpBstrd on April 02, 2019, 08:29:09 PM
Longer-lasting cars means (a) a reduction in the number of cars that need to be produced and (b) higher new car prices. So fewer people are paying more to buy the new cars, and the rest of the population who cannot afford or do not want a new car have to scramble for a smaller number of used cars spun off by the fewer new car buyers. Thus a bidding war develops over used cars. Junkyards are now in the business of reassembling already-junked cars and selling them.
The sad part is that in 5-10 years the market is going to be absolutely flooded with nothing but used crossovers, and there'll be almost no small, efficient sedans available :(
Fortunately (unfortunately?) the desire for status symbols is as strong in the used market as the new market. Given the choice between a ragged out SUV and a low-mileage subcompact, most used car buyers, even those who are financially struggling, will choose the ragged out SUV.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on April 03, 2019, 11:02:22 AM
In a world where lawn mowers can cost nearly ten grand and people with a few acres justify buying them why should we be surprised that family car/crossover costs $35K?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ForeverPoor on April 03, 2019, 11:37:50 AM
I made the same mistake 3 years ago - signed up for a $592/M lease for 6 years... still feeling the impact today. Wish I can go back in time, but now the focus is to pay that car off as fast as I can and never falling into the same pit again.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: HPstache on April 03, 2019, 12:06:22 PM
I've had a three year loan on a brand new Jeep.  Yes, facepunch for the brand new Jeep.  I've since downsized to a Fit.

It was 0% interest, so instead of spending cash I had a $900 car payment.

It's just math.  If you buy an expensive car on loan, you're either going to have a high payment, a long term, or both.

Only way to win is to not play the game.

IMO, all the interest is baked into the price these days... it's just a shell game.  It's like when you're on Amazon and you can either get the item for $20.99 with free prime shipping or $15.99 and $5.00 S/H.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: boyerbt on April 03, 2019, 01:01:27 PM
I made the same mistake 3 years ago - signed up for a $592/M lease for 6 years... still feeling the impact today. Wish I can go back in time, but now the focus is to pay that car off as fast as I can and never falling into the same pit again.

A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Montecarlo on April 03, 2019, 01:29:30 PM
I've had a three year loan on a brand new Jeep.  Yes, facepunch for the brand new Jeep.  I've since downsized to a Fit.

It was 0% interest, so instead of spending cash I had a $900 car payment.

It's just math.  If you buy an expensive car on loan, you're either going to have a high payment, a long term, or both.

Only way to win is to not play the game.

IMO, all the interest is baked into the price these days... it's just a shell game.  It's like when you're on Amazon and you can either get the item for $20.99 with free prime shipping or $15.99 and $5.00 S/H.

Yeah the funny thing is though - and I could be wrong about this - is the finance guys at the dealership seem to be corporate employees and not dealership.  They had no role in the price negotiations and the dealership had no role in the financing or warranty part.  I negotiated the deal planning on paying cash, and then the finance guy offered me the 0% loan. 

Based on how it went down, I don't think I could have gotten $1 off the price in exchange for cash.  I think it was just a function of the corporate/dealership silos.

I think another analogy is credit card cash back.  It's all really baked in to the purchase price of the item, but you're still paying the same price regardless of if you  have a 1% or 2% cash back card.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ForeverPoor on April 04, 2019, 09:56:52 PM
A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.

Quite the norm for American markets. Lots of naive folks like the old me who would sign up for longer terms just get get into a new car.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on April 05, 2019, 09:41:05 AM
A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.

Quite the norm for American markets. Lots of naive folks like the old me who would sign up for longer terms just get get into a new car.

Are we conflating leasing with financing here?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: OtherJen on April 05, 2019, 10:15:59 AM
A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.

Quite the norm for American markets. Lots of naive folks like the old me who would sign up for longer terms just get get into a new car.

Are we conflating leasing with financing here?

I don't think so. Leases are generally 2-3 years, at least in my area. People who insist on starting with a brand new car every time and don't want to worry about mileage limits or a lease down payment every couple of years generally finance a full purchase for as many years as needed to yield a monthly payment that they can "afford." Once that's done, they trade it in and start the process over. These are the people who say in a matter-of-fact tone that "you'll always have a car payment."
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on April 05, 2019, 10:17:37 AM
A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.

Quite the norm for American markets. Lots of naive folks like the old me who would sign up for longer terms just get get into a new car.

Are we conflating leasing with financing here?

I don't think so. Leases are generally 2-3 years, at least in my area. People who insist on starting with a brand new car every time and don't want to worry about mileage limits or a lease down payment every couple of years generally finance a full purchase for as many years as needed to yield a monthly payment that they can "afford." Once that's done, they trade it in and start the process over. These are the people who say in a matter-of-fact tone that "you'll always have a car payment."

That's my point -- some are referring to 6 year leases, which isn't something I've ever seen.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on April 05, 2019, 10:24:31 AM
A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.

Quite the norm for American markets. Lots of naive folks like the old me who would sign up for longer terms just get get into a new car.

Are we conflating leasing with financing here?

That's what I was thinking too. Leasing tends to be 2-3 years. I couldn't find an example of a 6 year lease in a quick search. 6+ years for financing is quite common though, but that's different because you own the car at the end.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: OtherJen on April 05, 2019, 10:29:40 AM
A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.

Quite the norm for American markets. Lots of naive folks like the old me who would sign up for longer terms just get get into a new car.

Are we conflating leasing with financing here?

I don't think so. Leases are generally 2-3 years, at least in my area. People who insist on starting with a brand new car every time and don't want to worry about mileage limits or a lease down payment every couple of years generally finance a full purchase for as many years as needed to yield a monthly payment that they can "afford." Once that's done, they trade it in and start the process over. These are the people who say in a matter-of-fact tone that "you'll always have a car payment."

That's my point -- some are referring to 6 year leases, which isn't something I've ever seen.

Oops, missed that distinction in the nested quotes. A 6-year lease is insane. Just buy the damned car.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ForeverPoor on April 05, 2019, 12:02:37 PM
Are we conflating leasing with financing here?

Depends - if you want a new car to just drive around vs wanting no yearly mileage limit and trading "up" in a couple of years.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: boyerbt on April 05, 2019, 12:44:59 PM
A six-year car lease?!? Is this in the U.S? I have never of heard of this before.

Quite the norm for American markets. Lots of naive folks like the old me who would sign up for longer terms just get get into a new car.

Are we conflating leasing with financing here?

I don't think so. Leases are generally 2-3 years, at least in my area. People who insist on starting with a brand new car every time and don't want to worry about mileage limits or a lease down payment every couple of years generally finance a full purchase for as many years as needed to yield a monthly payment that they can "afford." Once that's done, they trade it in and start the process over. These are the people who say in a matter-of-fact tone that "you'll always have a car payment."

With that logic I would consider it a 6 year rental then.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on April 10, 2019, 11:31:33 AM
Co-worker just "bought" 2 used snowmobiles from a friend of his, I kept my mouth shut when he was talking about the great "deal" he got paying only $10,000 or $500 a month to his friend.  I'm in Michigan he'll take them out 6-10 weekends a year.

yeah, I can't get past the 6-10 weekends per year thing. When I lived in a small village off the road system it made sense to have a snowmobile. We could in theory ride almost every day for 5-6 months of the year... I used it to go to the store and the post office. Same thing when I had one growing up. I rode mine to school all winter and biked in the fall and spring. It was cheaper than owning a car... Everyone I know now who has one is riding 6-10 times a year though.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Melisande on April 26, 2019, 04:25:36 AM
The fact that people are now getting such huge car loans pisses me off because it works to raise the price of cars for everyone, mustachians included.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on April 26, 2019, 06:58:01 AM
The fact that people are now getting such huge car loans pisses me off because it works to raise the price of cars for everyone, mustachians included.

Not really.  Used cars are still cheap as ever.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Enigma on April 26, 2019, 07:27:46 AM
Not really.  Used cars are still cheap as ever.
Now isn't usually the time to buy even used cars at the moment.  Everyone is currently getting their income checks and refunds.  Also everyone is buying a car.  One of my coworkers bought a brand new RV ($70k) last week.  Another bought a brand new SUV for $45k the week prior.  I was goofing off looking at car prices through my USAA Auto buying tool and then got smacked with countless emails from dealerships.

Buy in Oct, Nov, & Dec when the 2019s all flood the market to make way for the 2020.  Even the inventory of used cars goes up.  I read an article and have noticed used cars maintaining more and more of their value.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Melisande on April 26, 2019, 08:36:23 AM
The fact that people are now getting such huge car loans pisses me off because it works to raise the price of cars for everyone, mustachians included.

Not really.  Used cars are still cheap as ever.

I don’t know about year over year, but used cars in good condition seem to be much, much more expensive than they were back in the 90s. I remember getting a good used Toyota through a dealer for about $5000 back in the nineties. We paid about $20,000 a few years ago.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on April 26, 2019, 09:01:07 AM
The fact that people are now getting such huge car loans pisses me off because it works to raise the price of cars for everyone, mustachians included.

Not really.  Used cars are still cheap as ever.

I don’t know about year over year, but used cars in good condition seem to be much, much more expensive than they were back in the 90s. I remember getting a good used Toyota through a dealer for about $5000 back in the nineties. We paid about $20,000 a few years ago.

With equivalent age / mileage / trim level?  Due to inflation, $5k in the early 90's is over $9k today, and you can buy a 2007 Yaris (https://www.cargurus.com/Cars/inventorylisting/viewDetailsFilterViewInventoryListing.action?sourceContext=carGurusHomePageModel&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity=d827&zip=03748#listing=238847899) for $3k (or $6k for a 2011 with 37k miles (https://www.cargurus.com/Cars/inventorylisting/viewDetailsFilterViewInventoryListing.action?sourceContext=carGurusHomePageModel&newSearchFromOverviewPage=true&inventorySearchWidgetType=AUTO&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity=d827&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity2=&zip=03748&distance=50000&searchChanged=true&showNegotiable=false&maxMileage=75000&modelChanged=false&filtersModified=true#listing=237949104)).
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: YK-Phil on April 26, 2019, 09:50:53 AM
I never financed a car in my entire 60 years on this planet but most people in my circle of friends think it is normal to finance a vehicle and most have 84-month loans or leases. I don't even bother anymore to convince them otherwise in order to avoid frictions. But now close to retirement and living full-time in my truck camper, I am faced with having to either get a newer truck that has the payload I need ($35 to $40K used at a dealership, God only knows how much a new one would cost, I didn't have the guts to ask the sales guy) or repair the blown engine on my no-frills base F350 diesel-guzzler (at least $5K to $6K), a 2007 XL that has only 40,000 original miles. Either option is still a shit-load of money, I have the money but I hate to think about spending that much for a truck. Almost everyone I know (with the exception of MMMers) gives me the typical "common-sense" lecture that it would be ridiculous to spend that much money to fix my old truck, and that I should just do like everyone else and get a brand-new truck financed for $800+ per month. Logical, right?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Melisande on April 26, 2019, 12:47:27 PM
The fact that people are now getting such huge car loans pisses me off because it works to raise the price of cars for everyone, mustachians included.

Not really.  Used cars are still cheap as ever.

I don’t know about year over year, but used cars in good condition seem to be much, much more expensive than they were back in the 90s. I remember getting a good used Toyota through a dealer for about $5000 back in the nineties. We paid about $20,000 a few years ago.

With equivalent age / mileage / trim level?  Due to inflation, $5k in the early 90's is over $9k today, and you can buy a 2007 Yaris (https://www.cargurus.com/Cars/inventorylisting/viewDetailsFilterViewInventoryListing.action?sourceContext=carGurusHomePageModel&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity=d827&zip=03748#listing=238847899) for $3k (or $6k for a 2011 with 37k miles (https://www.cargurus.com/Cars/inventorylisting/viewDetailsFilterViewInventoryListing.action?sourceContext=carGurusHomePageModel&newSearchFromOverviewPage=true&inventorySearchWidgetType=AUTO&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity=d827&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity2=&zip=03748&distance=50000&searchChanged=true&showNegotiable=false&maxMileage=75000&modelChanged=false&filtersModified=true#listing=237949104)).

OK, you got me there. We went from getting Toyota Corollas to Prii. Everything else though was comparably although we also moved from Iowa to Florida, so maybe there was also a regional variation in pricing.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on April 26, 2019, 01:11:14 PM
The fact that people are now getting such huge car loans pisses me off because it works to raise the price of cars for everyone, mustachians included.

Not really.  Used cars are still cheap as ever.

I don’t know about year over year, but used cars in good condition seem to be much, much more expensive than they were back in the 90s. I remember getting a good used Toyota through a dealer for about $5000 back in the nineties. We paid about $20,000 a few years ago.

With equivalent age / mileage / trim level?  Due to inflation, $5k in the early 90's is over $9k today, and you can buy a 2007 Yaris (https://www.cargurus.com/Cars/inventorylisting/viewDetailsFilterViewInventoryListing.action?sourceContext=carGurusHomePageModel&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity=d827&zip=03748#listing=238847899) for $3k (or $6k for a 2011 with 37k miles (https://www.cargurus.com/Cars/inventorylisting/viewDetailsFilterViewInventoryListing.action?sourceContext=carGurusHomePageModel&newSearchFromOverviewPage=true&inventorySearchWidgetType=AUTO&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity=d827&entitySelectingHelper.selectedEntity2=&zip=03748&distance=50000&searchChanged=true&showNegotiable=false&maxMileage=75000&modelChanged=false&filtersModified=true#listing=237949104)).

OK, you got me there. We went from getting Toyota Corollas to Prii. Everything else though was comparably although we also moved from Iowa to Florida, so maybe there was also a regional variation in pricing.

Yep - and the other thing is cars have changed dramatically over the years. A 90's Corolla is reasonably similar to a Yaris of today:

2011 Yaris 169″ L x 67″ W x 58-60″ H
1995 Corolla 172″ L x 66″ W x 54-55″ H

To contrast, 2015 Corolla:
183″ L x 70″ W x 57″ H

A modern Corolla is nearly a foot longer, four inches wider, and 2-3 inches taller than a mid 90's Corolla.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: dogboyslim on May 01, 2019, 02:04:21 PM
I feel SOOOOOO much better now about that small amount of debt I took on do buy my dream motorcycle.

This quite caught my eye:

"The good news is the average consumer has 'a very healthy balance sheet' right now, said Lakhbir Lamba, executive vice president of retail lending at PNC."

This is not supported by evidence in the article and is incongruous with that tidbit we have all heard recently about how the average American would not be able to come up with some small amount of cash in the case of an emergency. Maybe Americans have a good amount of equity in their homes right now, but a large portion of that would be offset by the very subject of the piece: vehicle debt. I wouldn't consider my balance sheet healthy unless I had a strong amount of liquidity.

A lender not seeing a problem with all of the debt consumers take out? Well color me shocked.
Not that I disagree with your statement about surprise, but Average american != Average consumer that PNC approved for a loan.  I do expect that the latter has a better financial footprint than the former.

Also, when I purchased my used accord, the sales-guy asked "what payment are you looking to stay under?"  I confused him when I said "how about $11,000?"  Took him a solid minute to quit stammering and understand I was buying it with cash and that was my purchase price, not a monthly figure.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on May 01, 2019, 02:23:31 PM
Also, when I purchased my used accord, the sales-guy asked "what payment are you looking to stay under?"  I confused him when I said "how about $11,000?"  Took him a solid minute to quit stammering and understand I was buying it with cash and that was my purchase price, not a monthly figure.

I've had that conversation before. It usually provides good entertainment. The last time I bought a vehicle they insisted they needed a credit pull to verify my identity (I was buying in another state) and then they kept trying to finance it. I had to explain to three different sales people that I really wasn't going to finance anything. "With your score we can give you a great rate." I ended up spending a solid ten minutes explaining credit scores, FI, and money management to the youngest of the group while we drove to the bank. He was 19 and I wonder if he really heard me or if he went out an financed a car as soon as he could...
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on May 02, 2019, 11:11:20 AM
Saw this follow up article this morning:

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/car-credit-score

Clearly they are not asking Mustachians... Now I'm legitimately curious what the average credit score is for people who don't have a car payment.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Not There Yet on May 02, 2019, 11:33:42 AM
Quote
Clearly they are not asking Mustachians... Now I'm legitimately curious what the average credit score is for people who don't have a car payment.

Mine's in the mid-800's.   I don't watch it all that closely (since I'm not planning on borrowing money ever again).
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: PrairieBeardstache on May 02, 2019, 12:14:45 PM
I never financed a car in my entire 60 years on this planet but most people in my circle of friends think it is normal to finance a vehicle and most have 84-month loans or leases. I don't even bother anymore to convince them otherwise in order to avoid frictions. But now close to retirement and living full-time in my truck camper, I am faced with having to either get a newer truck that has the payload I need ($35 to $40K used at a dealership, God only knows how much a new one would cost, I didn't have the guts to ask the sales guy) or repair the blown engine on my no-frills base F350 diesel-guzzler (at least $5K to $6K), a 2007 XL that has only 40,000 original miles. Either option is still a shit-load of money, I have the money but I hate to think about spending that much for a truck. Almost everyone I know (with the exception of MMMers) gives me the typical "common-sense" lecture that it would be ridiculous to spend that much money to fix my old truck, and that I should just do like everyone else and get a brand-new truck financed for $800+ per month. Logical, right?

I do nearly all of the work on my cars myself, but I had a repair that was more work than I cared to tackle so I sent it to the dealer, expecting to be charged a lot. It cost me $2,100. I complained to my friends, their response was typical: "Time to get rid of it and buy a new car, it'll cost you less!" a quick retort stopped them in their tracks: "Fixing it for the next ten years will still cost me less than a brand new car - how am I saving money?"
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ChpBstrd on May 02, 2019, 12:41:00 PM
Saw this follow up article this morning:

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/car-credit-score

Clearly they are not asking Mustachians... Now I'm legitimately curious what the average credit score is for people who don't have a car payment.

783 here.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: GuyinTexas on May 08, 2019, 12:04:53 AM
I bought my car new in March 2016. Nissan Maxima SV model. Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months. Currently owe about $9300 on it and $1,400 for a warranty that goes until March 2024 or 120k miles. The warranty is at 0% and ~$130/mo. Also owe still on my iPhone X, want to get that debt gone too. The car would have been paid off now had I not incurred $8-9k in unexpected medical expenses ( $3500 deductible for appendicitis, the next year an appendectomy, then a $1300+ in urgent care bill from a broken finger 6 months ago).

These cars depreciate quickly, the going rate retail here now is about $19k. I don't really regret buying it, but do look forward to at least 4 years of no car payment. Turning 36 soon, would like to buy a townhouse or a condo before I'm 40.

It's so easy to get caught up in the payment game. In some cases the payment is a small percentage of one's salary and easy to justify. It still is a version of modern day slavery if it will take you a long time to pay off the debt. That and costs like maintenance, insurance, fuel, tolls, parking, etc. The car is costing me an arm and a leg and it's not even a BMW, Mercedes, or Lexus. I'm 69% done at least...
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on May 08, 2019, 12:09:16 AM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: talltexan on May 08, 2019, 07:17:58 AM
My co-worker said his daughter (who is 21) asked him to co-sign a loan with her for a 2017 Honda Civic (34,000 miles). I told him to do it. Worst case scenario is that she doesn't pay, and he gets a nice, gently used Honda Civic. Could be worse!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: mtnrider on May 08, 2019, 08:27:00 AM
That was part of the lesson. Don't buy new cars, they're too expensive.

What's turning things on their head to me is popular reliable models seem to enjoy essentially straight-line depreciation trending towards 200k or 250k miles. For many of the cars that MMM himself lists as good picks, I've generally found you can multiply the MSRP by the mileage divided by 200k and that's the going market price.

That doesn't necessarily mean buying new is a good idea; you can lose a lot of money on bad financing and it's a big capital outlay. If you drive 5k miles per year, it will take you 40 years to get your worth out of it.

I found this too.  It seems like the depreciation was relatively constant for popular, low-end models, but there's money is lost in the transactions.  (loans, overpaying, buying accessories, and so on)  I assume this is true for the popular low-end older used car market too, but that it's a percentage of a much smaller number when you're talking about a 10 year old car.

Buying newer, or new, gets you some improved features and reliability as well.  If, like me, you're forced to drive and can afford the upfront cost, it can be worth buying a new entry model commodity car and holding for a long time. 

Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on May 08, 2019, 08:39:43 AM
My co-worker said his daughter (who is 21) asked him to co-sign a loan with her for a 2017 Honda Civic (34,000 miles). I told him to do it. Worst case scenario is that she doesn't pay, and he gets a nice, gently used Honda Civic. Could be worse!
No, the worst case scenario is they miss their payments without the co-signer knowing. The co-signer does not have ownership rights over the car. The co-signer would be on the hook for any costs remaining at the time of repossession.

"Unfortunately, if the primary borrower defaults on the car loan, you won’t be able to take possession of the vehicle as a cosigner, even though you'll be responsible for any payments."
https://www.autocreditexpress.com/blog/can-a-cosigner-take-possession-of-the-car/
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Dave1442397 on May 08, 2019, 08:53:28 AM
  If, like me, you're forced to drive and can afford the upfront cost, it can be worth buying a new entry model commodity car and holding for a long time.

My parents did that. My mother is still driving her '99 Toyota Yaris. My father bought a new '99 Ford Focus and drove it until it wouldn't pass inspection any more in 2018. He bought a used Honda Fit this time, which will probably be the last car he ever buys.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: six-car-habit on May 08, 2019, 10:59:49 AM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

 They want to be in a position where the car and phone are paid off in the next 2 years, so they can have clear credit to buy a townhome ?
 MAybe loan- to -income ratio needs to be brought down before applying for a mortgage... money in the bank / CD does not lower this.

 Gutpunch for paying an extra $130 a month for an "extended" warranty on a brand new car, now that is money down the drain....
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: GuyinTexas on May 08, 2019, 01:01:01 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

 They want to be in a position where the car and phone are paid off in the next 2 years, so they can have clear credit to buy a townhome ?
 MAybe loan- to -income ratio needs to be brought down before applying for a mortgage... money in the bank / CD does not lower this.

 Gutpunch for paying an extra $130 a month for an "extended" warranty on a brand new car, now that is money down the drain....

Well a new CVT is around $3000 including labor. I don’t trust Jatco  for reliability. The factory warranty on that is only good another 15k. The headlight assembly I ad replaced under warranty already is $450. A pair of wheel bearings installed runs about $900. A new  head unit (radio) is $3k. Heck even a new seat if the motor goes is over $1k. It’s a roll of the dice if anything will actually break. I’d rather have peace of mind.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on May 08, 2019, 01:24:44 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

 They want to be in a position where the car and phone are paid off in the next 2 years, so they can have clear credit to buy a townhome ?
 MAybe loan- to -income ratio needs to be brought down before applying for a mortgage... money in the bank / CD does not lower this.

 Gutpunch for paying an extra $130 a month for an "extended" warranty on a brand new car, now that is money down the drain....

Well a new CVT is around $3000 including labor. I don’t trust hatch for reliability. The factory warranty on that is only good another 15k. The headlight assembly I ad replaced under warranty already is $450. A pair of wheel bearings installed runs about $900. A new  head unit (radio) is $3k. Heck even a new seat if the motor goes is over $1k. It’s a roll of the dice if anything will actually break. I’d rather have peace of mind.

You're paying a guaranteed $7,800 in warranty costs. If everything you just listed someone needs replacement under the extended warranty period (unlikely) that would run only $8,350. I would personally be rolling the dice.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: GuyinTexas on May 08, 2019, 01:37:52 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

 They want to be in a position where the car and phone are paid off in the next 2 years, so they can have clear credit to buy a townhome ?
 MAybe loan- to -income ratio needs to be brought down before applying for a mortgage... money in the bank / CD does not lower this.

 Gutpunch for paying an extra $130 a month for an "extended" warranty on a brand new car, now that is money down the drain....

Well a new CVT is around $3000 including labor. I don’t trust hatch for reliability. The factory warranty on that is only good another 15k. The headlight assembly I ad replaced under warranty already is $450. A pair of wheel bearings installed runs about $900. A new  head unit (radio) is $3k. Heck even a new seat if the motor goes is over $1k. It’s a roll of the dice if anything will actually break. I’d rather have peace of mind.

You're paying a guaranteed $7,800 in warranty costs. If everything you just listed someone needs replacement under the extended warranty period (unlikely) that would run only $8,350. I would personally be rolling the dice.

One additional point - The cost of the warranty was $2585. Typo in my last reply. Jatco is not known for making the most reliable transmissions.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: GuyinTexas on May 08, 2019, 01:50:52 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on May 08, 2019, 02:01:18 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

It's likely.  At what point did you think we were due for a correction, and at what point do you think we will see one?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: RWD on May 08, 2019, 02:18:10 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

Well your balance is $9k now but if you hadn't been paying extra all this time the difference would have been more significant. Though I wouldn't scoff at "only" $130 either.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: GuyinTexas on May 08, 2019, 03:49:14 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

It's likely.  At what point did you think we were due for a correction, and at what point do you think we will see one?

For me personally it’s when my 401k hit about a 17% rate of return for the year. I'm still contributing up to the match and added  $2k into my Roth before April 15th. I’m not an investing expert but it seems like there is underlying weaknesses in the economy that the market isn’t really reflecting yet. Fake unemployment numbers, student loan default rates, auto loan delinquencies, massive retail store closures. When the drop happens I plan to shift more money back in. Right or wrong my mentality is but hold and never sell until it’s time to retire. 401k is in FSKAX right now and 5% bonds. Roth is with 10 different etfs (mostly vanguard index large mid small cap international) in betterment.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on May 08, 2019, 04:22:59 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

It's likely.  At what point did you think we were due for a correction, and at what point do you think we will see one?

For me personally it’s when my 401k hit about a 17% rate of return for the year. I'm still contributing up to the match and added  $2k into my Roth before April 15th. I’m not an investing expert but it seems like there is underlying weaknesses in the economy that the market isn’t really reflecting yet. Fake unemployment numbers, student loan default rates, auto loan delinquencies, massive retail store closures. When the drop happens I plan to shift more money back in. Right or wrong my mentality is but hold and never sell until it’s time to retire. 401k is in FSKAX right now and 5% bonds. Roth is with 10 different etfs (mostly vanguard index large mid small cap international) in betterment.

Did you shift money into the market on December 24th?

(https://i.imgur.com/6KZyLJ3.png)
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: GuyinTexas on May 08, 2019, 04:40:02 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

It's likely.  At what point did you think we were due for a correction, and at what point do you think we will see one?

For me personally it’s when my 401k hit about a 17% rate of return for the year. I'm still contributing up to the match and added  $2k into my Roth before April 15th. I’m not an investing expert but it seems like there is underlying weaknesses in the economy that the market isn’t really reflecting yet. Fake unemployment numbers, student loan default rates, auto loan delinquencies, massive retail store closures. When the drop happens I plan to shift more money back in. Right or wrong my mentality is but hold and never sell until it’s time to retire. 401k is in FSKAX right now and 5% bonds. Roth is with 10 different etfs (mostly vanguard index large mid small cap international) in betterment.

Did you shift money into the market on December 24th?

(https://i.imgur.com/6KZyLJ3.png)

Nope I was more focused on getting my credit card balance back down to $0. My 401k contributions are automatic. It was 20% but I dropped it back to 6%. Roth IRA is when I have extra cash on hand, my goal is to max out each year starting with 2019.. I’m a passive investor. I don’t time the market but what goes up will come down at some point. I plan to go back to the 20% rate once the car loan is gone.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on May 08, 2019, 05:00:42 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

It's likely.  At what point did you think we were due for a correction, and at what point do you think we will see one?

For me personally it’s when my 401k hit about a 17% rate of return for the year. I'm still contributing up to the match and added  $2k into my Roth before April 15th. I’m not an investing expert but it seems like there is underlying weaknesses in the economy that the market isn’t really reflecting yet. Fake unemployment numbers, student loan default rates, auto loan delinquencies, massive retail store closures. When the drop happens I plan to shift more money back in. Right or wrong my mentality is but hold and never sell until it’s time to retire. 401k is in FSKAX right now and 5% bonds. Roth is with 10 different etfs (mostly vanguard index large mid small cap international) in betterment.

Did you shift money into the market on December 24th?

Nope I was more focused on getting my credit card balance back down to $0. My 401k contributions are automatic. It was 20% but I dropped it back to 6%. Roth IRA is when I have extra cash on hand, my goal is to max out each year starting with 2019.. I’m a passive investor. I don’t time the market but what goes up will come down at some point. I plan to go back to the 20% rate once the car loan is gone.

I sense some confusion here ;)
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: ysette9 on May 08, 2019, 05:02:26 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

It's likely.  At what point did you think we were due for a correction, and at what point do you think we will see one?

For me personally it’s when my 401k hit about a 17% rate of return for the year. I'm still contributing up to the match and added  $2k into my Roth before April 15th. I’m not an investing expert but it seems like there is underlying weaknesses in the economy that the market isn’t really reflecting yet. Fake unemployment numbers, student loan default rates, auto loan delinquencies, massive retail store closures. When the drop happens I plan to shift more money back in. Right or wrong my mentality is but hold and never sell until it’s time to retire. 401k is in FSKAX right now and 5% bonds. Roth is with 10 different etfs (mostly vanguard index large mid small cap international) in betterment.

Did you shift money into the market on December 24th?

Nope I was more focused on getting my credit card balance back down to $0. My 401k contributions are automatic. It was 20% but I dropped it back to 6%. Roth IRA is when I have extra cash on hand, my goal is to max out each year starting with 2019.. I’m a passive investor. I don’t time the market but what goes up will come down at some point. I plan to go back to the 20% rate once the car loan is gone.

I sense some confusion here ;)
Lol
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Telecaster on May 08, 2019, 07:07:26 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

Yes you are viewing it all wrong.  Your vehicle is depreciating regardless if you owe money on it or not.  If there were $130 laying on the sidewalk, I'd bend over and pick it up.  And if all I had to do was walk back to the same spot next year and pick up the same amount of money, I'd bend over again. 
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: GuyinTexas on May 08, 2019, 08:40:54 PM
Pay extra when I have it. Financed ~$31k, $545/mo at 1.9% for 60 months.
Why would you pay extra on a loan that has a rate at or below inflation? Ally offers CDs with rates up to 3% if you want the risk-free approach.

I’d rather not owe money on a vehicle which is depreciating over time. I could invest more into the market but I think we are due for a correction. $9k at 3% vs 1.9% is only a difference of about $130 over the course of a year. Maybe I’m viewing this all wrong?

Yes you are viewing it all wrong.  Your vehicle is depreciating regardless if you owe money on it or not.  If there were $130 laying on the sidewalk, I'd bend over and pick it up.  And if all I had to do was walk back to the same spot next year and pick up the same amount of money, I'd bend over again.

Maybe that is the basic flaw in my thinking. I'm thinking hurry up and pay it off so I eliminate the monthly overhead at some yet-to-be-determined point in the future. Say the car payment is 12% of my take home pay and when I pay extra it's potentially 23% of my take-home. At some point that 23% will be gone and I will be free to contribute to other investments / max out retirement accounts.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on May 09, 2019, 03:00:21 PM
Well a new CVT is around $3000 including labor. I don’t trust Jatco  for reliability. The factory warranty on that is only good another 15k. The headlight assembly I ad replaced under warranty already is $450. A pair of wheel bearings installed runs about $900. A new  head unit (radio) is $3k. Heck even a new seat if the motor goes is over $1k. It’s a roll of the dice if anything will actually break. I’d rather have peace of mind.

May I suggest you learn how to DIY some of these repairs?

Wheel bearings are about $35 each and you install them. If you have access to a hydraulic press that is (buy a press at Harbor Freight and still be ahead of the $900 price). Or you work up a DIY press using threaded rod.

You might get much lower OEM parts prices if you find an online dealer and then use an import specialist to install them for you. I use a couple different websites for my other brand cars. A headlight CAN be about 20 mins of work depending on the brand. 

Lastly there are companies online that specialize in repairing things like vehicle modules (cruise control for example) and entertainment systems.

What you need is an internet search for a brand specific forum where folks are working together to document these vehicles, their parts sources, and so forth. VW Vortex is one such place for VWs.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on May 09, 2019, 03:24:52 PM
Well a new CVT is around $3000 including labor. I don’t trust Jatco  for reliability. The factory warranty on that is only good another 15k. The headlight assembly I ad replaced under warranty already is $450. A pair of wheel bearings installed runs about $900. A new  head unit (radio) is $3k. Heck even a new seat if the motor goes is over $1k. It’s a roll of the dice if anything will actually break. I’d rather have peace of mind.

May I suggest you learn how to DIY some of these repairs?

Wheel bearings are about $35 each and you install them. If you have access to a hydraulic press that is (buy a press at Harbor Freight and still be ahead of the $900 price). Or you work up a DIY press using threaded rod.

You might get much lower OEM parts prices if you find an online dealer and then use an import specialist to install them for you. I use a couple different websites for my other brand cars. A headlight CAN be about 20 mins of work depending on the brand. 

Lastly there are companies online that specialize in repairing things like vehicle modules (cruise control for example) and entertainment systems.

What you need is an internet search for a brand specific forum where folks are working together to document these vehicles, their parts sources, and so forth. VW Vortex is one such place for VWs.

Looks like Maxima wheel bearings are available as an entire hub assembly, so no press required. $65 front / $93 rear for Timken bearings.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Goldielocks on May 09, 2019, 04:26:11 PM
This is about in line with what I'm paying for my car.  About $580x63 for a 2019 Subaru Ascent.

 I am so sorry for you.

ETA  Ack. Necro post.  Appologies.  March =/= May
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on May 10, 2019, 07:51:00 AM
Looks like Maxima wheel bearings are available as an entire hub assembly, so no press required. $65 front / $93 rear for Timken bearings.

That's even easier.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: sliverstorm on May 11, 2019, 04:06:43 PM
or repair the blown engine on my no-frills base F350 diesel-guzzler (at least $5K to $6K), a 2007 XL that has only 40,000 original miles.

I'm not sure I'd opt to repair an engine that failed in only 40,000 miles
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on May 11, 2019, 05:45:04 PM
or repair the blown engine on my no-frills base F350 diesel-guzzler (at least $5K to $6K), a 2007 XL that has only 40,000 original miles.

I'm not sure I'd opt to repair an engine that failed in only 40,000 miles

The 6.0's in those trucks do not have a great reputation...for good reason, it seems.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: TomTX on May 12, 2019, 07:31:37 AM
My car payment was £500, that's about $650

It was only one payment though. I'm quite happy with my 12 year old VW

Years ago a few months after started my first engineering job after college a coworkers gave me some good natured crap about my old (admittedly junky) car. He told me I was an engineer now and could afford a new car... I

"I am an engineer now, and perfectly capable of maintaining and repairing a junky old car"
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: TomTX on May 12, 2019, 07:48:56 AM
The sad part is that in 5-10 years the market is going to be absolutely flooded with nothing but used crossovers, and there'll be almost no small, efficient sedans available :(

Tesla is pumping out thousands of Model 3 sedans every week. Quite efficient.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: TomTX on May 12, 2019, 07:56:56 AM
My co-worker said his daughter (who is 21) asked him to co-sign a loan with her for a 2017 Honda Civic (34,000 miles). I told him to do it. Worst case scenario is that she doesn't pay, and he gets a nice, gently used Honda Civic. Could be worse!
No, the worst case scenario is they miss their payments without the co-signer knowing. The co-signer does not have ownership rights over the car. The co-signer would be on the hook for any costs remaining at the time of repossession.

"Unfortunately, if the primary borrower defaults on the car loan, you won’t be able to take possession of the vehicle as a cosigner, even though you'll be responsible for any payments."
https://www.autocreditexpress.com/blog/can-a-cosigner-take-possession-of-the-car/

Yes. The co-worker should just buy the car in their name and let the daughter use it as long as she pays him the monthly payment on time.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Enigma on May 13, 2019, 12:37:30 PM
Another option to reduce liablity is to buy the car in full and go to the tag office (clerk office) with her and put a lien against the title in your name.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: K-ice on May 19, 2019, 09:28:37 AM
So what’s are you paying per month to drive your car?

The formula I am using is purchase price/months driven.

I’m at $370 for a Subaru I bought new. But it needs pretty serious repairs which will bump this price up if we want to keep driving it.

If I had more meticulous maintenance receipts you could have a fancier formula.
Adding an estimated sale price might be necessary if you haven’t owned your car long. I never consider mine in my net worth.

(Purchase price + maintenance - estimated sale price)/month’s driven.

Cars are expensive. I really hoped to get 12 years out of mine but we will see.

Next time I will pay more attention to the true monthly costs.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Montecarlo on May 19, 2019, 10:25:39 AM
Considering a car as part of your networth, no matter how fancy it is or what the market value is, is stupid.

Sure, you can exchange it for cash (I did with my clown SUV and bought a Honda fit).

But until you do that, it's a depreciating liability and not an asset.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: JLee on May 19, 2019, 10:32:08 AM
Considering a car as part of your networth, no matter how fancy it is or what the market value is, is stupid.

Sure, you can exchange it for cash (I did with my clown SUV and bought a Honda fit).

But until you do that, it's a depreciating liability and not an asset.

You could largely say the same thing about a house, except sometimes it doesn't depreciate.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Montecarlo on May 19, 2019, 10:38:13 AM
Considering a car as part of your networth, no matter how fancy it is or what the market value is, is stupid.

Sure, you can exchange it for cash (I did with my clown SUV and bought a Honda fit).

But until you do that, it's a depreciating liability and not an asset.

You could largely say the same thing about a house, except sometimes it doesn't depreciate.

Yes, and you would largely be right.  I'm not sure if we are agreeing or disagreeing?
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Montecarlo on May 19, 2019, 10:42:02 AM
Actually the more I extrapolate that concept, the more I realize it kind of applies to stocks as well.

I just realized we all have zero net worth.  Fuck.  I need another mimosa.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: PDXTabs on May 19, 2019, 11:24:29 AM
I had no idea car loans lasted for so long. I thought a car loan was typically 2-3 years?

It's commonly available (https://www.autonews.com/article/20160420/FINANCE_AND_INSURANCE/304069994/ford-credit-joins-the-crowd-with-84-month-loans). I don't know how many people actually take that option (see above, mean loan is 67 months). When I financed my 2014 Ford Focus I could get 0% APR if I financed for 60 months, so I financed for 60 (instead of 72) months.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: zolotiyeruki on May 19, 2019, 11:50:34 AM
The formula I am using is purchase price/months driven.

I’m at $370 for a Subaru I bought new. But it needs pretty serious repairs which will bump this price up if we want to keep driving it.
Heh, that's a fun calculation to run.  I bought my car 16 years ago for $4500, which makes my monthly cost a bit under $24/mo!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Buffaloski Boris on May 19, 2019, 11:58:08 AM
All this talk of $30k cars is insane.

I'll stick with my 2 week rule. Never spend more than 2 weeks (after tax) earnings on  a car, and just replace them every 2 years when they get scrapped

I like that rule, even if it’s a bit spendy. 😁
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: scottish on May 19, 2019, 12:24:53 PM
Wonder what the average used car payment is? Yea, $550 is bad but at least you are getting a car that could last awhile and is nicer. Used car payments are usually inflated due to bad credit.

About half a year ago the average used car payment was $378.
https://jalopnik.com/the-average-used-car-payment-is-now-378-per-month-1828725332

I think it's important to note the inherent statistical bias in these numbers. The $550/month figure is an average of Americans that buy a new car and finance it. That number doesn't go down when more people buy their cars in cash. Or when fewer people buy new cars (new vehicle sales are up 20% over the last five years so maybe we should ridicule that instead). Because those people are not part of the dataset. It will only go down when the people choosing to finance their new cars choose cheaper cars. And inflation obviously is working against that. Even a new Corolla is $300+/month now.

Ironic, I was just telling someone similar yesterday.  Manufacturers keep jacking the cost up at a crazy rate, adding new trim lines to really jack up the cost, and diminish previous trim lines value (looking at you Mazda), and extending the loan term to keep asses in new leatherette seats.  "C'mon man, what monthly payment can you swing"...  Fucking madness, and cash does nothing for you/no cut for the dealer via their financing/financing provider. 

I know about all of the great 'tech' (blech), and safety BS new cars come with...  But a base new RAV4 AWD with steel wheels, plastic hubcaps, no pwr seat anywhere, and a 4 cyl engine is $30k...  $30k for that shit?  Hey, at least you get a urethane gear shift knob to enjoy for the next 8 years of your loan.  Oh well, record number of folks 90 days or more late on their payments, maybe my cash can get spent soon for pennies on the dollar.

I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

I'd say about 10 years is when the road salt starts tearing at the frame. cosmetic rust is one thing but stick your fingers through the side wall is another

And repairs become far more difficult and expensive due to rust seized parts that break off, rather than unbolt.  Oh yeah, ask Toyota about frame rust.  I have seen several times behind a Toyota service building, stacks of new frames ready to be installed for their trucks.  Literally a frame up replacement, where all parts are stripped from the old truck, and bolted to the new frame.  Man, did Toyota eff that one up.

I had one of those new frames installed.    I regularly oil-spray my vehicles to keep the rust at bay, so the old frame lasted 10 years before it had a rust perforation and was eligible for the warranty.

I think it was a pretty good deal.   That was 5 years ago and the new frame should be good for another 5-10 years.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: FIREstache on May 19, 2019, 01:13:35 PM
I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

They "start" to rust before you ever buy them.  I live in an area that uses salt on the winter roads, but my car is over 150 months old, and it's not rusted out at all.  It does seem to be more of an issue with trucks - I see a lot more of them rusting out than cars.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: 2sk22 on May 25, 2019, 02:45:21 AM
I just spotted this reader submitted question on the Jalopnik website:

https://jalopnik.com/whats-the-best-way-to-get-a-car-loan-if-i-have-the-inco-1835003025

Quote
...Now I have an extra $2,000 per month to spare. I have been driving a 2011 Honda Accord for the last 5 years, that thing is still working flawlessly (mind, just a couple noises here and there), however, I do want to upgrade to something nicer. I really like the Volvo XC40 and the Mercedes Benz GLA 250. My budget can go up to $40k for a new car, however, my main issue is that my credit score is just not the best at the moment...

So he has a perfectly good car and a terrible credit rating but still wants to buy an expensive luxury car - gah!
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Alternatepriorities on May 25, 2019, 11:02:20 AM
I just spotted this reader submitted question on the Jalopnik website:

https://jalopnik.com/whats-the-best-way-to-get-a-car-loan-if-i-have-the-inco-1835003025


All three of those questions could qualify for the wall of shame and comedy. At least the first comment contained technically sound advise on screwing his credit score further...
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: John Galt incarnate! on May 25, 2019, 11:46:02 AM
I've never lived up north in the salty states but after 84 months or 96 months, aren't cars starting to rust away?

I live in a snowy state with lots of salt on the road.  We consistently keep our cars 10-15 years. And the dealers happily take them as trades.
We just rinse them off at the end of the season.

One of my friends used to live in Chicago.

He had a  "good car" that he drove in spring, summer, and fall.

 In the winter when the roads were salted he drove his "junk car."
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Just Joe on May 28, 2019, 08:27:31 AM
I just spotted this reader submitted question on the Jalopnik website:

https://jalopnik.com/whats-the-best-way-to-get-a-car-loan-if-i-have-the-inco-1835003025


All three of those questions could qualify for the wall of shame and comedy. At least the first comment contained technically sound advise on screwing his credit score further...

I liked the comment that questioned why he was going from a car he could afford straight to luxury vehicles. That fellow is driving a Honda a decade newer than one of our cars.
Title: Re: Why Americans are suddenly paying $550 per month for new cars
Post by: Goldielocks on May 28, 2019, 09:48:15 AM
The formula I am using is purchase price/months driven.

I’m at $370 for a Subaru I bought new. But it needs pretty serious repairs which will bump this price up if we want to keep driving it.
Heh, that's a fun calculation to run.  I bought my car 16 years ago for $4500, which makes my monthly cost a bit under $24/mo!
I'll bite.

Bought my highlander 6 years ago, for $13k.   Maintenance has been around $3000 so far (brakes, tires, radiator, plus small stuff). $222/mo.   And it is still running so hopefully no repairs over $2k per year and that number will go down.   

Bought the mazda 11 years ago for $24k.  Maintenance (tires, small stuff) $3000.  $204/mo. 

It's the insurance at close to $150/mo/car that is the killer for me.