1a. FIRE is impossible for normal people because normal people can't save more than a trivial part of their income
I mean, depending on how low the income threshold is for "normal people," this may be true. I make around 50 grand a year and I have struggled, even in a LCOL area, to keep up a 15% savings rate. There is absolutely a bottom for being able to FIRE. There is a bottom for being able to meet basic life expenses.
That said-- I am 100% familiar with the attitude of the VICE article author and it is probably the predominant attitude among people in my circle, people I date. I have an ongoing Facebook feud going with a woman about a decade younger than me who is an academic in an extremely HCOL area. In her mind it is impossible for millennials like she and I to 1. buy a home 2. retire, ever 3. have families. I am doing 1 and 3 and am (marginally) on track to do #2, albeit not early, but that's really only because I had a complete financial disaster in 2019.
The attitude behind it is sort of like: "If I had to move somewhere outside my HCOL area, I would die. Literally die. There is not a single place on earth I could live safely or with any happiness at all, apart from my current HCOL city. Similarly, I can never work any job that isn't this extremely specific one, and it is underpaid and so I am not even going to try to save."
I've told people about my plans to eventually own a rental house; what I hear from dates, friends, and colleagues is: Landlords are evil bastards who are ruining the world. If I talk about wanting to eventually own a business, they talk about how the profession I want to enter shouldn't be a business and people should go into it for altruistic reasons.
I keep trying to find new and more friendly ways to say, "Hey, it can be true that capitalism is rigged, it can be true that many vital jobs are drastically underpaid, it can be true that fundamental injustices are occurring and significant structural impediments are working against you. But it can also be true that you can do some things to dramatically better your own situation?"
I've observed the same about financially-stressed HCOL people. It's apparently a privilege and luxury to live in a way that leaves one on a constant treadmill just to make ends meet. When pressed on why they live in a place where housing costs 4-5X what it costs in other places, they cite various "amenities" that apparently don't exist elsewhere, like culture, weather, and parks. So their choice of locale is a lifestyle decision to buy a very specific luxury they perceive to exist in only their place.
You'd think they would be self-aware of the tradeoff between financial well-being and these perceived luxuries. No, actually. The same people who will have the above conversation with you will immediately pivot to saying "FIRE is impossible for normal people because normal people can't save more than a trivial part of their income."
What about those of us who aren't paying for the supposed luxury of living in a HCOL area?
It is explained to us - without actually looking up facts on sites like salary.com or a hundred COL calculators - that "there are no jobs" in places where big houses can be bought for less than $250k, or that the jobs all pay minimum wage. This conversation can go on for a while because you can drag out all sorts of data, links, facts, whatever and show that the unemployment rate is low, salaries are a lot higher than costs of living, etc. and you'll just see this wall of denial go up.
That's when you realize you're not talking to a person who is lacking information or can't find information on the internet, you're talking to a coping mechanism.
It's not that they need your help finding the simple solution to everything they want - a home of their own, ability to start a family, financial security, free time. It's that their vision of an acceptable life is so narrow that they cannot imagine being happy having all those things if they also cannot live in their HCOL area. If you try to disassemble that assumption, the rationalizations pile up like a brick wall to protect them.
So back to your first paragraph
@getsorted , we too must be careful not to construct too narrow a vision. If we say there is absolutely a bottom to be able to fire, which of the following housing situations are we thinking about?
1) living alone in a 3BR suburban SFH
2) living alone in a 2BR modular home
3) living alone in a 1BR apartment
4) living with a roommate in a 2BR apartment
5) living with two roommates in a 3BR apartment
6) living in an old RV that you own outright on a lot you own outright (see earlyretirementextreme.com)
I'm not even sure if #6 is the actual bottom. People in lifestyle #1 often call their lifestyle the bare minimum way to live, when in fact there are lots of people living on each of 5 layers below them in terms of expensiveness.
We'll sometimes cite our budget as the bare minimum to possibly survive, without applying any imagination about how we could configure our lives differently in terms of housing, transportation, energy usage and production, food usage and production, entertainment, data fees, or the other unquestioned bills and purchases that comprise our lifestyles.
If thinking this way causes us to raise our own wall of rationalizations and denial, we can understand how people in HCOL areas fall into the same trap.