hairshirt environmentalism makes my eye twitch.
isn't it possible that there might be a way to live on this planet, all 7 billion of us, and have access to goods and services and forms of energy that not only do not continue to destroy the planet, but in fact prop it up? might it be possible to redesign the way we do things in such a way that adds value and diversity to the biosphere instead of destroying it?
i believe it is possible. more than that, it is happening already. see:
worldchanging and
whole earth discipline and google "bright green environmentalism."
now, if sacrifice-based environmentalism could work, then i'd be all for it. but the thing is --
no one is buying it. and you absolutely cannot expect folks in the developing world, who've never had access to the kind of affluence we have, to give it up before they even taste it. to me, THAT is immoral. they deserve every opportunity for comfort and education and health that we've had.
the trick is to create a new kind of prosperity that is not based on having a massive house and owning every last thing in the world, but is based on freedom and mobility and opportunity. these are all things that cities help create, and things that are already happening. more than previous generations,
millennials are uninterested in driving and owning stuff. a new kind of prosperity is emerging.
now, there's a possibility that everything may crash, and we'll have to pick up the pieces, but i'm more optimistic than that. i think that we can embrace clean energy, cradle-to-cradle design, high-population-density living, genetic engineering, and all the other tools of 21st century technology and culture to not only stop doing bad things to the environment, but also to actually support its healing and growth.
now for some replies.
Along the same lines, many people would rather consume Big Macs & beer than a healthy diet, sit on the couch watching TV rather than exercising, and indeed, max out their credit cards on consumer spending rather than saving & investing. Does that mean these things are good for them? Neither is it good for children to be raised in cities.
Note that I mean good in an objective sense: the consequences of people doing what they'd rather do are measureable adverse effects on health (or wealth).
what evidence do you have to support the statement that it's objectively better for children to not grow up in cities? it sounds a lot like an opinion to me, and not one that more than half of the world's people -- who voluntarily live in cities -- support.
people doing subsistence farming in rural areas all over the world are saying fuck that and voting with their feet and moving to cities. if it's objectively so much better for children to grown up in the country, why would they do that?
i have seen evidence that children need to spend time in nature, but there are ways to achieve that and still maintain the population density that's needed for public transport and shared resources.
This is false. It only applies (if in fact it does, as the studies I've seen seem to leave out a lot in order to bias the results in favor of cities) to cities versus suburbia, when in my view suburbia is only another kind of city.
again, show me something that supports this. are you saying that the way human beings "should live" is loosely packed and rural? if so, how are these people supposed to access the goods and services they need to support their lives without driving?
there are more reasons to bank on cities than just logistics, too. when you live in a city, you bump up against people who don't look like you or think like you. new ideas and projects and breakthroughs are born from these interactions. not gonna happen living with your family on a farm.
This is not true. Look at real population growth figures. As for why France has pro-natal policies, perhaps it's because their politicians are jingoistic nativist idiots. Why do so many American politicians oppose any sort of family planning?
"It takes 2.1 live births per mother to keep a population stable. Here are the total fertility rates in the world's most populous countries: China (1.54); India (2.62); the United States (2.06); Indonesia (2.25) and Brazil (2.18).
From my hometown paperAlso on
Wikipedia, stats from the World Bank.
Dropping doesn't matter, unless and until it drops to or below replacement rate. Otherwise the growth's still exponential.
that is a nonsensical statement. of COURSE a dropping birth rate matters. it shows the trends and the machinations of how a developing society works. look at figure 2 on
this page -- birth rates in india are dropping rapidly as the country develops.
this is the pattern -- it happened in europe, it happened in the states, it it how things work. countries develop, birth rates drop. judging by the shape of the graph, at some point fairly soon those birth rates will dip below replacement levels.
Get rid of age discrimination, and "retirement" policies that convince people to voluntarily toss themselves on the trash heap long before they wear out.
funny, when you say age discrimination, i think of the fact that far more resources are spent on old people in our country than on the young. in fact, over the past couple of decades, the old have been methodically selling out the younger generations.
"In 1984, American breadwinners who were sixty-five and over made ten times as much as those under thirty-five. The year Obama took office, older Americans made almost forty-seven times as much as the younger generation."
Read more in
The War Against Youth in Esquire.
tl;dr: the future is not about getting everyone to agree to consume less. it works for some of us, but the vast majority of people are 100% uninterested. so, if we want to work with that reality, we need to figure out ways to close the loop, redesign our wasteful industrial processes, and deliver prosperity to every human being on the planet. me and my magic wand are interested in nothing less.