@lemanfan To what extent are Swedes observing precautions voluntarily? That may be a big factor.
It varies, of course. But from what I see most people are. The elderly (70+) especially so. 90% of my friends and colleagues are working from home.
The bigs risk that people talk about now are crows of young people (18-25-ish). Up until a week ago the big fear was the high school graduation which is this week (grade 12) where the kids want to party - and do party. This however is mostly limited to 100 or 200 at a time. Since last week we have also seen crowds of thousands protesting and rioting in an american spirit in the big cities... During the
Valpurgis celebrations (last of April), my city and several other spread chicken manure in the parks where the teenagers normally party to stop them. It didn't stop them but it moved them and then the rain made them go home :)
So drunk kids and political protests aside, people are to a large extent following the recommendations, from what I can see.
The next challenge starts soon, when people will probably migrate to rural areas for vacation. They can usually be more isolated there, but the hospital capacity in these areas is also very very limited. The official recommendation to avoid internal travel was lifted last week, but we're still obliged to socially distance and wash our hands.
Very few, perhaps 1 in 500 that I see wear a mask. Masks are not mandated, not even recommended for non-care workers.