Statistics? More men than women in Tech.
Statistically speaking, men supported Trump and women didn't, so I think it's more likely that the person who shut down Trump's twitter feed for 11 minutes was female. And Hispanic. And queer. And an overweight immigrant veteran small business owner with a belief in democracy and civil liberties.
Well... That statement has been making me laugh over and over. Though have we ruled out Clinton's personal emails and the FBI?
Are we sure the Potus account was specifically targetted? Is it possible that someone threw a switch deactivating all accounts that start with a "P" because of an ex-romantic partner or something, and didn't even realize it would get the one account everyone watches?
I'm pretty sure we're not sure, since there's only one case and we're applying population-level statistical level generalizations plus Sol-level humor.
Personally I'm intrigued by the statistical "reasoning" but suspect the reasoning given is incorrect. I wish I knew Bayesian analysis better and could apply it somehow before the actual identity of the person emerges. More primitively, my first take is to apply case rates (actual numbers out of the air, better research welcome):
80% male/female ratio in tech
60% males vote Trump, 60% women Clinton
Resultant tech voters: 48% male for Trump, 32% male for Clinton, 8% female for Trump, 12% female for Clinton.
Combined result: Of 44% for Clinton, 32 male to 12 female, giving 8 to 3 odds that the Twitter quitter is male.
Obviously a less gender rigid analysis would be better. Nonetheless the heavy skew toward men in tech appears to predominate, making it more likely that the Twitter quitter is male.
Thoughts?