I work in an industry that is being directly impacted by COVID-19, and I will be pretty shocked if I am not let go in the next couple months.
I have about one year of expenses in emergency cash, before I'd have to start selling off investments (at depressed prices!)
I'm questioning whether that is enough.
Edit to add:
I think this situation highlights the major problem with the primary argument against OMY's of: "I can always return to work for a while if necessary."
Well, when shit hits the fan, it all happens at once. Your stocks go down. You can't sell il-liquid assets like real-estate. Everyone is in a liquidity crunch. You try to ride it out by using the cash savings you have available. And yes, you can't get a job, because nobody is hiring. My employer was interviewing potential new hires just a couple weeks ago! Now, all of those openings are closed, and big layoffs are on the horizon. There will be millions of people searching for a new job at the same time, with no new jobs available. This can take a LONG time to recover -- even after the virus pandemic passes.
I always like to come back to this kind of point when it's made, because it misses a lot of key issues.
If someone is debating OMY, then by definition, they already have a fuck ton of assets. In that case, going back to work at some point is not even remotely a rushed concept.
Not only that, but they have plenty of time and resources to retrain if necessary, or buy into one of the many, many, MANY remarkable opportunities that come up during recessions.
For example, in my case, everyone in my entire industry is laid off with no possibility of work. In fact, my licensing body sent out a stern email earlier this week saying that if anyone of us work, we can be reported to public health.
I have a few side hustles, but I can't really lean on those at this exact moment, because my clients are my colleagues, and since they were all abruptly closed, none of them have any cash flow.
All in all, I'm just shit out of luck for income at the moment, which is fine because I engineer my life to never urgently need my own income.
I'm good for at least a year or two, so in that time, I could invest some of my ample resources into further training to make my services even more marketable once we get back to work.
Oh wait...that's exactly what I'm doing right now! Actually, it's exactly what I had already planned to do, so even before shit hit the fan I was prepared for a year with no income, hunkered down at home studying for yet another credential.
When your timelines for needing cash are measured in years, not weeks, it's incredible how flexible and dynamic your employment options are.
A FIREd person looking for opportunities to add to their stache is a completely different reality than someone desperate for work so they can feed their kids.
My not being able to work at this moment is a very temporary situation. The demand hasn't actually disappeared, I'm just temporarily banned from meeting it.
The long-term consequences will be to the economy at large, and I've carefully curated my skills and experience to be *more* valuable during economic down times, which anyone with some time and resources can do.