Author Topic: FTSE in the future...  (Read 644 times)

skip207

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FTSE in the future...
« on: September 20, 2017, 07:39:55 AM »
So we are at c.7200 today.

6 months ago we were also at c.7200.

12 months ago we were at c.6800.

So for a bit of fun post your predictions for mid March 2018 and mid September 2018.

They say you cant time the market but we find it very difficult not too so lets see if anyone has a crystal ball!

My own guess:

March - 6900
Sept - 7300

Monkeytennis

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Re: FTSE in the future...
« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2017, 12:07:13 PM »
I think the main driver of the draw price in the short and medium term will be the value of the pound().

I personally dont pick stocks or markets, just use low fee globally diversified tracker funds invested for the next 40-50 years (hopefully) so the price of one stock market in the short term should be of limited interest.

That said, Id guess the FTSE and all global markets are probably over valued vs historic measures and weve not had a global shock for a while, so Id guess the ftse will be below where it is now.

frugledoc

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Re: FTSE in the future...
« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2017, 02:46:56 PM »
Not a prediction but just like to play.

FTSE 100 has a dividend yield of about 4%

Inflation is ~ 3%

So about 5% total return in a year would be 7500 - 7600.

However,  if the pound continues to rally it will be much lower (or much higher if the pound slumps).

All my money is in Vanguard All World so I only have about 5% exposure to the UK.

TartanTallulah

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Re: FTSE in the future...
« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2017, 01:54:59 PM »
A guessing game! I love guessing games!

March: 7,200
September: 5,600




cerat0n1a

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Re: FTSE in the future...
« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2017, 01:56:33 AM »
March: 8000
September: 8200

Why anybody would have more than 10-20% of their net worth in the FTSE, I don't know, given that we can buy shares from global stock markets (and have world index trackers in ISA, pension etc.)

If you look at spreadbetting prices, the current end of year FTSE spread is 7190-7280, not much different to today's price.

poppydog

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Re: FTSE in the future...
« Reply #5 on: September 23, 2017, 05:34:13 PM »
Seriously?  I have absolutely no idea!