Nice to see our likely cohort here. Spouse & I are aiming for mid-June 2017. Ish.
We don't have so much a FIRE date as a potential FIRE range, from an optimistic January 2017 through a more cautious August 2019. It depends on how all the ifs line up: if investment returns are at least x, if inflation is no more than y, if we can keep our spending under z, if we count home equity, if major unexpected expenses hit, if we want to travel, etc.
At January 2017, we're not FI by the 4% rule (more like an average of 6% annual spending), but our money won't run out until we're both 100. At August 2019, we're well within the 4% rule.
By the beginning of next year, spouse will likely have finished a final freelance contract. My job is currently great, but it's in an industry with a lot of uncertainty and upheaval. If it stays great, I will likely stay there until mid-June 2017, when spouse starts collecting SS. At our ages, we'll be more FIR than FIRE. :)
August 2019 is when our mortgage will be paid off if we don't kill it early. After that point, we'd definitely be FI. We're just not sure we want to wait that long. And we both foresee some modest future income streams: spouse from maybe working part-time somewhere fun, me from writing fiction and consulting for indie videogame companies.
Kind of exciting. It's not that far away. But it's also hard not to be impatient when you can actually see the gold ring in the distance.