Happy New Year All!
This month was my first mortgage payment on my brand new 30 year mortgage. Back to square one and happy about it :)
Not paying off my mortgage over that last 8+ years has been great! I'm almost FI and will probably quit my day job sometime next year. I wouldn't have gotten there quite so fast if I'd paid down the mortgage. Mostly luck. The stock market has been pretty damn great over the last 8 years. Definitely better than my 3.5% mortgage. Which is now refinanced at an even lower 3.125%.
For anyone that may be worried about a mortgage in retirement, don't forget that the 4% rule doesn't really apply for mortgages because you don't need to adjust for inflation annually, and also the mortgage will eventually be paid off (unless you keep refinancing!). The way I think of it, I have my estimate of all expenses excluding the mortgage. These are all expenses affected by inflation, so I calculate my FIRE number based on these expenses at ~3.5% WR (since I have a long potential retirement so 4% is a little too risky for me). Then I add my expected remaining mortgage balance at planned FIRE date to this number, which I think should be pretty conservative. I could theoretically pay off the mortgage in a lump sum on my FIRE date. Or I could keep the money invested and be better off approximately 98% of the time (according to cFIREsim). I think I'll take my chances. :)
Example: $250k loan at 3%. Payment is $1054/mo or $12,648/yr.
Plug this in cFIREsim for 30 years with "Not Inflation Adjusted" checked for spending plan. Result is 98% success rate (2 of 118 failed), with a median balance of $409k, highest balance of $1.5M. I think I'd rather have $409k and a paid off mortgage in 30 years rather than just a paid off mortgage now!
https://www.cfiresim.com/8daadb27-0d6a-496f-9506-5c48ffee4ed9I'm sure I'm mostly preaching to the choir at this point, but I hope maybe some newcomers can be helped by thinking about mortgages in retirement in this way. It sure helped me when I read it here on this forum somewhere many years ago!