This quote from Biden makes no sense: "I think we can break the package up"
https://www.eenews.net/articles/biden-resets-bbb-i-think-we-can-break-the-package-up/Maybe some of my assumptions are wrong:
(1) Only one bill per year can be passed through budget reconciliation
(2) With budget reconciliation, a 50/50 split allows the Vice President to break the tie
(3) All other bills are up against a filibuster, needing 60 votes when 50 Republicans will vote against it
If they break it up, one bill could pass through reconciliation while the rest will be blocked by filibuster. Midterms often favor the party out of power (Republicans), and Biden's popularity has weakened in his first year. Everything points to Democrats losing seats in the Senate, after which they can't even pass anything through reconciliation.
The most pressing issue is climate change, but any climate bill is dead on arrival. Machin earns more from his son's coal company than from his government salary. He's going to keep objecting, and that objection prevents reconciliation.
So they can't even get their biggest priority through. I don't think BBB will be passed, and at best some fraction of it might get through in a much smaller bill. Which also means I think the IRA provisions will be dramatically different than the original BBB bill.