During the housing bubble, a developer bought a bunch of land to build an HOA community with nice amenities. They did improvements and built a big clubhouse, tennis court, and swimming pools.
At the time, banks were doing 100% financing on land. People bought lots for $90,000 - $300,000 each and started building houses.
Then the housing bubble burst and the building stopped. About three years ago there were bank owned lots in the development for sale for under $10K. I bought one. I was very greedy and thought I would hold on to the lot for a year (for long-term capital gains), double my money, and get out.
A couple of months later, I bought another lot in a less desirable location in the same development for under $5000. Around the same time, DH bought three lots for under $25,000 total. He bought two of those in a self-directed IRA.
In 2015, we had some investment losses that reduced our AGI. We were looking at doing Roth conversions on some of our IRA money. Our accountant said we should convert any IRA investments we thought would increase drastically in value. DH converted the self-directed IRA with the lots to a Roth IRA. At that time, the lots were appraised for about what he paid.
The prices didn’t skyrocket in one year (or even two) as I had envisioned. Meanwhile, we had to pay HOA fees for five lots. The longer it took to sell the lots, the more they would cost us. I was beginning to worry that we would be saddled with these costs for years and that the HOA costs would eat up any gains we might eventually have. This is the speculative part.
Recently the economy in the area started improving and people are building again. Last month, the original developer bought up all the lots in the development that were listed for sale under $30,000. Things were starting to move finally.
A couple of weeks ago I listed my less expensive (and less nice) lot and it sold in a few days (to a private party, not the developer). We closed today. After closing costs, we got about $25,000. That’s roughly a 40% per year return over three years (where the investment is the purchase price + HOAs paid + property taxes paid). The proceeds will go towards paying off a rental house we own.
We might have gotten more money if we had waited longer but I’m happy with what we got and happy to drop the HOA costs on that lot. We are watching listings and sales. We’ll probably list the other, nicer lot soon.
Bonus: I want to do a small bit of charitable giving out of the proceeds of this sale. I just applied for a mileage rewards credit card and I’ll need to spend $3000 in the first 3 months. I’ll put the charitable giving on the card. Win-win.
tl;dr: I got about a 40% annual return buying a vacant lot in an HOA development & selling it about 3 years later.