Leaks from the French Ministry of Defense.
https://www.marianne.net/monde/europe/guerre-en-ukraine-endurance-russe-echec-de-la-contre-offensive-ce-que-cache-le-virage-de-macron
Archive (https://archive.is/rPZ2s)
They don't believe that Ukraine can win. Ukraine will need 35,000 new troops a month for survival. Ukraine is also unable to build fortifications like the Surovikin line because of a lack of equipment and materials.
I didn't see the part about Ukraine needing 35,000 new troops a month in the translated link. Maybe it was linked to your link.
I do believe the sanctions work. The sanctions I am talking about are the Ukrainian sanctions. When Ukrainians blow up Russian oil supplies and refineries, they are sanctioning Russian oil. It may not be permanent, but they can't sell oil they cannot ship. They cannot use that oil for the "Special Military Operation." Unlike the financial sanctions, human resources are needed to repair / rebuild such sanctions.
Let's imagine the worst. What if Russia wins this war? Will the people who fled the country go back? Will the European market return to purchasing Russian oil and gas? Will Russia need to spend trillions of dollars rebuilding Ukraine? Will Russia be able to develop the gas fields in Ukraine which it covets? If Russia does begin to rebuild Ukraine, won't that take needed resources that have long been needed for the crumbling infrastructure of Russia? Unless they kill the bulk of the Ukrainian population, won't they be facing guerrilla fighters for many years to come? How will they face a Europe that now appears largely united and hostile to Russia?
I just kind of wonder. What will they have really won?
How long can Putin keep his people subjugated in this modern age? It appears he has to keep tightening the social control screws and is quickly returning to the techniques of Stalin.
Who may have really won? China. China is in the catbird's seat when it comes to any negotiations with Russia. Russia is dependent on China today and not the other way around.
Machine Translation
The combativity of Ukrainian soldiers is deeply affected », mentions a prospective report on’year 2024.« Zelensky would need 35,000 men a month, he n’en is not recruiting half, while Putin pickaxe in a pool of 30,000 monthly volunteers », a soldier returned from Kiev.
OK - It' always hard to argue with a French speaking machine.
So -35,000 a month. Why so many? Are that many dying? 35,000 X 12 = 420,000 That's lot of casualties.
Here's today's list of Russian casualties.
13.03.2024
Tanks — 6752 (+5)
Armored fighting vehicle — 12921 (+20)
Artillery systems — 10554 (+32)
MLRS — 1017 (+1)
Anti-aircraft warfare — 715 (+2)
Planes — 347
Helicopters — 325
UAV — 8205 (+22)
Cruise missiles — 1919
Ships (boats) — 26
Submarines — 1
Cars and cisterns — 13932 (+62)
Special equipment — 1699 (+8)
Military personnel — aprx. 426870 people (+980)
Looks like Mr.Putin has to get maybe 800/ day X 30 days per month = 24,000 each month to replace his losses.
35,000 < 24,000 Good thing he doesn't care about his troops or his potential victory could be painful.
I do hope the French speaking machine s wrong.