I have the unpopular opinion that the root cause of much hate and violence is religion. People will blame racism and nationalism of course and give religion a free pass as usual. Unfortunately, I don't see any non-violent answers for the "promised holy lands" as long as people are worshipping bronze and iron age ideologies. The real answer is to ditch the myths and just go and grab a good meal together. One can imagine, right?
The swords of David and Mohammad are drawn once again, and the horror is relived as it has been for centuries. It is no accident that the worse places for humans to thrive and grow are always the most religious.
I thought it was a decades-old dispute about territory, security and rights of Palestinians.
Trying to boil the unrest in the region down to a religiously motivated conflict is really simplistic and doesn´t explain much of what is going on there.
(For that matter, if this was a religious conflict, it would be between Shia and Sunni muslims both of whom actually do not have much of a problem with Judaism when compared to their own sectarian divisions.)
This is not the place to rehash the complicated history of the near east but a few pointers to develop a perspective for further study may be given.
First and most importantly, the near east cannot be understood if the effects of decolonialization are not taken into account.
Basically, with the fall of the British and other empires, a bunch of nation states were created by the colonizers, with borders taking into account the interests of the former colonizers which often meant cutting right through ethnic and prior historical political entities. Egypt is a notable exception. (Iran also is largely in the area of its historical territories but was never colonized.)
As former colonies that were intentionally left behind weakened, the newly created nation states were ill equipped to develop efficient bureaucratic states with democratic representation. As a consequence, largely incompetent autocracies (that´s redundant of course) took a hold over the entire region.
Now, the special case of Israel is due to a number of factors: The borders of Israel were not drawn by a former colonizer and the nascent Israeli nation actually fought the British occupiers.
The influx of diaspora Jews to the territories of the future Israel brought with it a highly educated and motivated nationalistic elite that was well equipped to create a modern nation state with all the bells and whistles and democratic representation to beat.
The open conflict with the British soon ended and the nation of Israel began to receive massive western support. This was due to a variety of reasons of which the cold war was not an unimportant one.
But the most important factor was that western liberal democracies see themselves in the state of Israel and western populations reward that familiarity with sympathy, which, in turn, allows western governments to support Israel with little pushback.
Israel belongs to the club of liberal democracies and, as these go, has a strong civil society, a decent economy with a homegrown high tech sector, extensive international trade relations, effective anti-corruption policies, an independent judiciary, a powerful military with important alliances, and, tellingly, the ability and willingness to use overwhelming military force if necessary.
Again, these characteristics are not so much an Israel special case but rather how liberal democracies conduct business - looking at Israel, western liberal democracies are looking in a mirror of sorts.
Israel is surrounded by autocracies with weak administrative states and civil societies.
The weakness typical for autocracies relying on internal repression to keep the autocrats in power makes them no match for a modern liberal democracy with well developed international relations.
The autocrats, who live in fear of their own populations, have for generations stoked anti-Israel and antisemitic sentiments in their populations as part of their strategies to deflect attention from their own shortcomings.
Unfortunately, autocratic tendencies in the western democracies as well as in Israel have begun to seriously weaken civil society and, consequently, the competences and diplomatic relations arising from an empowered civil society.
Next thing that happened is that wannabe autocrats from the US as well as Israel began to negotiate among themselves ignoring their own populations as well as the Palestinians in the process.
This strengthened the hands of countries not part of the negotiations, i.e. Iran, and non-state actors such as Hamas or Hezbollah with the abandoned Palestinian population in the Gaza strip subjected to ever increasing repression by Hamas in the face of deteriorating living conditions.
Ironically, the terrorist attacks most likely put a hard stop to the Trumpian dismantling of civil society in Israel by getting rid of the wannabe incompetent autocrats (again redundancy here) in the current government.
Just to be clear, all populations in question have put or are going to put pressure on their respective governments: Gaza strip Palestinians are suffering from Hamas governing incompetence, the Israeli government has been under serious pressure, and the populations of the other autocracies could take to the streets any time, and imperil their own governments that could become victims of their own propaganda.
In short, all that backroom dealing of the rulers, Israeli and previous US governments, Hamas, and assorted autocratic rulers, is blowing up as we speak.
There are more holes in what I wrote than anything, but regional history is so complicated that it is really difficult to make sense of anything. And this is compounded by ignorance or the the agenda of many who write about it.
So adopting the perspective outlined above will certainly be helpful to sort out the many issues at hand.
In a nutshell, a perspective that looks at the matter as one of a postcolonial situation makes the conflicts appear to be of a modern sort and not a situation created by conditions that are impossible to effectively address because they are supposedly rooted in ancient history or religion - which is actually a fatalistic take as differences based on such things are almost by definition unsolvable.
Here are a couple of articles addressing current events:
Netanyahu Is Losing the War at Home Incompetence against Hamas and indifference to Israeli suffering has the public boiling over.
OCT. 12, 2023, By Noga Tarnopolsky
“The bunch of imbeciles leading the country we live in, the country where my beloved little brother was killed protecting the homeland that forgot us — not because it was inevitable but because this disgraceful government is involved in everything it should not be involved in. My beloved brother was murdered by hate-filled terrorists, but those who disgracefully opened the door for them are the Israeli government, from the minister of national security and his messianic friends — clowns who busy themselves creating violent, idiotic slogans — to the prime minister, who is doing everything in his power to disintegrate the State of Israel.”
Shay was referring to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his far-right government’s minister of national security, Itamar Ben-Gvir, a racist provocateur elevated to high office with several other extremists to cobble together a government after the last election. That government is facing a growing chorus of criticism from all corners of Israeli society since Hamas’s surprise attack with the military caught off guard and taking hours to reach towns where terrorists massacred over 1,200 people.https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/10/in-the-israel-hamas-war-netanyahu-is-losing-at-home.html What Iran Stands to Gain From Hamas’s Attack
OCT. 12, 2023, By Benjamin Hart
Hamas’s calculations may have been slightly different. Hamas is not Hezbollah — it has its own agenda and its own objectives. In that sense, it’s different in terms of its relationship with Iran. Their motivation may have been, to some extent, to scuttle what is happening, to inflict damage on Israel, which always works for them. So the two sides may have overlapping motivations and slightly different ones, but the conclusion that they both arrived at would be that they should do something on the Israel front. They both sense regional politics, I think, better than Israelis or the Saudis or the Americans, because they seem to have understood that what’s agreed on in conference rooms can be undone by the street. They understood that street politics still mattered. A lot of people in America didn’t.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/10/what-iran-stands-to-gain-from-the-israel-hamas-war.html