USA % of the worldwide population. 331 Million of 7.8 Billion = 4.24%
3/26/20 -1070 deaths of 22993 deaths worldwide = 4.65%
4/2/20 -5148 US deaths of 49236 deaths worldwide = 10.46%
4/9/20 -16129 US deaths of 94807 deaths worldwide = 17.01%
4/16/20 -32826 deaths of 143725 deaths worldwide = 22.84%
4/23/20 -46851 deaths of 185434 deaths worldwide = 25.27%
4/30/20 -61547 deaths of 230615 deaths worldwide = 26.69% ---> Why isn't this going down yet? Because we are STILL SURGING as a country despite measures to open up the economy right now.
5/07/20 -73573 deaths of 264602 deaths worldwide = 27.81%
5/14/20 -84144 deaths of 297682 deaths worldwide = 28.26% -->
still surging, folks5/21/20 -93606 deaths of 329300 deaths worldwide =28.42% --> have we hit a peak relative to the rest of the world?
5/28/20 -100442 deaths of 356131 deaths worldwide = 28.20%
6/4/20 -107685 deaths of 387634 deaths worldwide = 27.78%
6/11/20 -113038 deaths
6/18/20 -117783 deaths of 449965 deaths worldwide = 26.17%
6/25/20 -126823 deaths
7/2/20 -128184 deaths of 517162 deaths worldwide = 24.79 %
7/9/20 -132498 deaths of 550689 deaths worldwide = 24.06 %
7/16/20 -137420 deaths of 584990 deaths worldwide = 23.49 %
7/23/20 -143224 deaths of 624370 deaths worldwide = 22.94 %
7/30/20 -151077 deaths of 667935 deaths worldwide = 22.62 %
8/7/20 -160111 deaths of 715555 deaths worldwide = 22.38 %
8/13/20 -166361 deaths of 750744 deaths worldwide = 22.16%
8/20/20 -173241 deaths of 788803 deaths worldwide = 21.96%
8/27/20 -179977 deaths of 827110 deaths worldwide = 21.76%
9/3/20 -186018 deaths of 864153 deaths worldwide = 21.53%
9/10/20 -191168 deaths of 905089 deaths worldwide = 21.12%
9/17/20 -196912 deaths of 941862 deaths worldwide = 20.91%
9/24/20 -202170 deaths of 977881 deaths worldwide = 20.67%
10/1/20 -207331 deaths of 1016050 deaths worldwide = 20.41%
10/08/20 -212420 deaths of 1058698 deaths worldwide = 20.06%
10/15/20 -217155 deaths of 1093921 = 19.85% ***Between India first wave and European second wave, I doubt our ratio will rise again any time soon.
10/22/20 -222234 deaths of 1133699 = 19.60%
10/29/20 -227897 deaths of 1176328 = 19.37%
11/5/20 -234225 deaths of 1229671 = 19.04%
11/12/20 -241495 deaths of 1283612 =18.81%
11/19/20 -250898 deaths of 1354205 = 18.53%
11/26/20 -263218 deaths of 1428951 = 18.42% *There may be another inflection point coming up as Covid19 rages on in the USA as the Indian 1st wave and the European 2nd wave become gradually controlled.
12/3/20 -273746 deaths of 1496247 = 18.30%
12/10/20 -289970 deaths of 1574294 = 18.42% ***See inflection point above. Curving upwards again. This is
REALLY BAD NEWS for the United States.
12/17/20 -308098 deaths of 1654461 = 18.62%
12/24/20 -326271 deaths of 1732755 = 18.83%
12/31/20 -343233 deaths of 1811128 = 18.95%
1/7/2021 -361900 deaths of 1887970 = 19.17%
1/14/2021 -385503 deaths of 1983691 = 19.43%
1/21/2021 -406536 deaths of 2080009 = 19.55%
1/28/2021 -429870 deaths of 2180867 = 19.71%
2/4/2021 -451454 deaths of 2273515 = 19.86%
2/11/21 -472450 deaths of 2359200 = 20.02%
US and Worldwide death data is taken from the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center site.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 10 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] on 4/23/20
1. Belgium [540]
2. Spain [464]
3. Italy [415]
4. France [327]
5. UK [267]
6. Netherlands [244]
7. Sweden [237]
8. Switzerland [192]
9. Ireland [156]
10. USA [144]
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 6/4/20
1. Belgium [824]
2. UK [588]
3. Spain [580]
4. Italy [557]
5. Sweden [452]
6. France [445]
7. Netherlands [350]
8. Ireland [337]
9. USA [332]
10. Switzerland [222]
11. Canada [202]
12. Ecuador [198]
13. Brazil [156]
14. Peru [149]
15. Portugal [143]
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 6/11/20
1. Belgium [832]
2. UK [608]
3. Spain [580] -no change in the last week!!! Congratulations to Spain!
4. Italy [564]
5. Sweden [477] -still rising
6. France [449]
7. Netherlands [353]
8. USA [348]
9. Ireland [343] -slowing down nicely
10. Switzerland [224]
11. Canada [211]
12. Ecuador [211] -soon to pass Canada and Switzerland
13. Brazil [187] +31 deaths per million in the last week, easily the highest riser
14. Peru [179] +30
15. Portugal [147]
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 6/18/20
1. Belgium [835]
2. UK [621]
3. Spain [580] -no change
again in the last week!!! Congratulations to Spain!
4. Italy [570]
5. Sweden [499] +22 in the last week
6. France [453]
7. USA [362]
8. Netherlands [355] -almost no change! Congrats Netherlands!
9. Ireland [346] -also almost no change
10. Ecuador [227]
11. Switzerland [226]
12. Brazil [220] +33 deaths per million in the last week, with acceleration
13. Peru [220] +31
14. Canada [219]
15. Chile [189] + at least 40
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 7/2/20
1. Belgium [842]
2. UK [647]
3. Spain [607]
4. Italy [576]
5. Sweden [532]
6. France [457]
7. USA [396]
8. Netherlands [357]
9. Ireland [352]
10. Chile [310]
11. Peru [299]
12. Brazil [288]
13. Ecuador [259]
14. Canada [229]
15. Switzerland [227]
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 7/9/20
1. Belgium [844] +2 only
2. UK [657] +12
3. Spain [607] -zero change!
4. Italy [578]
5. Sweden [545] +13 dpm in the last week
6. France [459] +2 only
7. USA [408] +12 dpm
8. Netherlands [358] +1 only
9. Ireland [352] -zero change!
10. Chile [349] +39!!!
11. Peru [338] +39!!!
12. Brazil [320] +32!!
13. Ecuador [278]+19
14. Mexico [254] OMG this is accelerating in Mexico
15. Canada [232] +3 only despite proximately to noxious USA Covid policies
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 7/16/20
1. Belgium [845] +1 only
2. UK [664] +7
3. Spain [608] +1
4. Italy [579] +1
5. Sweden [552] +7
6. France [461] +2 again
7. USA [424] +16 dpm --> I expect this to continue accelerating 8. Peru [376] +38 !!!
9. Chile [376] +27 !!!
10. Netherlands [358]
11. Brazil [355] +35 !!!
12. Ireland [354] +2
13. Ecuador [292] +14
14. Mexico [286] +34 !!!
15. Canada [233] + 1 Congratulations to you Canadians on your policies
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 7/23/20
1. Belgium [846] +1 again
2. UK [670] +6
3. Spain [608] ZERO (Yay Spain!)
4. Italy [580] +1 again
5. Sweden [561] +9 still uncontrolled in Sweden. Failed Experiment, unfortunately. 6x mortality greater than Nordic neighbors.
6. Peru [529] +153 Massive bump, suggests back end data adjustment here
7. France [462] +1
8. Chile [456] +80
9. USA [442] +18 *acceleration of deaths continues as expected
10. Brazil [390] +35 !!!
11. Netherlands [358] -Zero change
12. Ireland [355] +1
13. Mexico [319] still rising rapidly
14. Ecuador [292] +15
15. Panama [273] **new to the list
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 7/30/20
1. Belgium [848] +2
2. UK [677] +7
3. Spain [608] ZERO
4. Italy [581] +1 again
5. Peru [570] +41 -continues to rise rapidly. Don't see anything in the media about Peru and Chile, sadly.
6. Sweden [568] +7
7. Chile [485] +31
8. USA [466] +24 ***acceleration of deaths for 4th straight week
9. France [463] +1
10. Brazil [424] +34
11. Netherlands [359] +1
12. Ireland [357] +2
13. Mexico [352] + 33 and will surpass Netherlands and Ireland by next week
14. Ecuador [318] +26
15. Panama [318] +45 -->acceleration here is very concerning
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 8/7/20
1. Belgium [850] +2
2. UK [683] +6
3. Peru [619] +49 -hopped over both Italy and Spain, continues to accelerate
4. Spain [610] +2 -but new rapid increase in Spain is VERY concerning. Watch out Spain!
5. Italy [582] +1 again
6. Sweden [570] +2 Slowing down finally in Sweden. Congrats!
7. Chile [517] +32
8. USA [492] +26 ***acceleration of deaths for 5th straight week
9. France [464] +1
10. Brazil [464] +40 *Oh Brazil just getting slammed, still. Almost at 100K deaths.
11. Mexico [385] + 33 again and moving up the list
12. Panama [364] +46 -->zooming up the list as well
13. Netherlands [359] +0
14. Ireland [358] +1
15. Ecuador [333] +15
*Biggest movers are Peru, Panama, Brazil, Chile, and the USA. Western Hemisphere is getting crushed right now.
**Bolivia and Columbia are coming on strong and may yet make the top 15. I would also note that the continent of Africa has now reached 1 million cases in total.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 8/13/20
1. Belgium [854] +4
2. Peru [657] +38 -hopped over UK, has decelerated just a bit
3. Spain [611] +1
4. UK [608] -75 ??? Data Correction in the UK? Dropped from 2nd place to 4th
5. Italy [583] +1 again
6. Sweden [571] +1 Congrats!
7. Chile [538] +21
8. USA [512] +20 decelerated for first time in 6 weeks. But school is starting so....
9. Brazil [491] +27 *over 100K deaths and outside chance of eventually catching up to USA
10. France [465] +1
11. Mexico [423] +38
12. Panama [394] +30
13. Netherlands [360] +1
14. Ireland [359] +1
15. Ecuador [340] +7
***Bolivia and Colombia are coming on strong, will likely displace Ireland and Holland from the top 15 in the next month or so
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 8/20/20
1. Belgium [860] +6 uptick noted
2. Peru [812]
+155!!! -almost inconceivable rise by Peru suggests retroactive data collection and dump
3. Spain [616] +5 uptick noted
4. UK [609] +1
5. Italy [586] +3 slight uptick
6. Sweden [574] +3
7. Chile [553] +15 slowing down
8. USA [533] +21 rate increase remains elevated. 1K deaths per day or so
9. Brazil [523] +32 accelerating again. At this rate Brazil will surpass USA in Covid death rate by next week
10. France [467] +2
11. Mexico [453] +30
12. Panama [423] +29
13. Bolivia [362] Joins the list a little earlier than expect
14. Netherlands [361] +1
15. Ireland [359] +0
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 8/27/20
1. Belgium [852] -8 appears to be a correction of date
2. Peru [851] +39 still darn high, soon to reach #1 in the world [will the US News Networks care about Peru?] Stay Tuned this week.
3. Spain [620] +4
4. UK [610] +1 Boris is getting it.
5. Italy [587] +1
6. Chile [578] +25 accelerating again
7. Sweden [575] +1 only
8. USA [555] +22 with 1K deaths per day or so
9. Brazil [555] +32 "Dead Heat" with the USA (I know, awful morbid humor). Brazil may eventually surpass USA for total deaths, believe it or not.
10. Mexico [481] +28
11. France [468] +1
12. Panama [447] +24
13. Bolivia [404] +44, continues to rise fast
14. Netherlands [363] +2
15. Ecuador [362] Rejoins the fray
*Wow Brazil and the USA. Just... wow.
**Columbia is the only other country challenging the top 15 as Ireland has moved on.
***Nice to see the European uptick last week was just that.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 9/3/20
1. Peru [884] +34 -takes over the 1st spot
2. Belgium [853] +1
3. Spain [625] +5
4. UK [611] +1
5. Chile [597] +19
6. Italy [587] +0
7. Brazil [583] +33 *jumped two spots
8. Sweden [577] +2
9. USA [574] +19 *a foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds
10. Mexico [510] +29
11. France [470] +2
12. Panama [469] +22
13. Bolivia [445] +41
14. Colombia [399] -officially joins the top 15
15. Ecuador [376] +14
*Netherlands has dropped off the list. Brazil is a train wreck. USA is a train wreck. Trends suggest that both Brazil and USA will be in the top 5 of deaths per capita due to Covid in the next month or so.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 9/10/20
1. Peru [915] +31 -still rising rapidly
2. Belgium [855] +2
3. Spain [634] +9 -uptick again
4. Chile [615] +18
5. UK [612] +1
6. Bolivia [445] +166 !!! WHOA. Data Dump in Bolivia is apparent (to 6th place from 13th in a week)
7. Brazil [605] +22
8. Ecuador [605] +229 !!! WHOA. Another Data Dump. Why now?
9. USA [590] +16
10. Italy [589] +2 *Almost out of the Top 10 for Italy. It's been a long road for them, so congrats.
11. Sweden [578] +1
12. Mexico [535] +25
13. Panama [489] +20
14. France [472] +2
15. Colombia [433] +34
*Data Dumps in Bolivia and Ecuador puts them both in the Top 10 all of a sudden. Maybe they compile data on a quarterly basis or monthly basis? Brazil, Bolivia, and Ecuador have all now hopped over the USA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 9/17/20
1. Peru [939] +24
2. Belgium [856] +1
3. Spain [647] +13 -rising quickly
4. Bolivia [639] -rapidly going up the ranks still
5. Chile [634] +19
6. Brazil [630] +25
7. Ecuador [621] +16
8. UK [613] +1
9. USA [608] +18
10. Italy [590] +1
11. Sweden [580] +2 *** There's been some chatter out there about how Sweden's approach is a "success". I just don't see it. Keeping company with the top 15 Covid death toll countries cannot possibly be considered a success in my mind. Now Canada, Switzerland, Germany, Denmark? Those are real successes.
12. Mexico [557] +22
13. Panama [508] +19
14. France [475] +3
15. Colombia [460] +27
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 9/24/20
1. Peru [964] +25
2. Belgium [858] +2
3. Spain [664] +17 *continues to accelerate for what is clearly their second wave
4. Bolivia [660] +21
5. Brazil [653] +23
6. Chile [651] +17
7. Ecuador [631] +10
8. USA [624] +16 **USA hops the UK
9. UK [616] +3
10. Italy [592] +2
11. Sweden [581] +1
12. Mexico [580] +23
13. Panama [529] +21
14. Colombia [485] +20
15. France [482] +7 ***Also in their second wave now
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 10/01/20
1. Peru [981] +17
2. Belgium [863] +5
3. Spain [684] +4
4. Bolivia [680] +20
5. Brazil [677] +24
6. Chile [669] +18
7. Ecuador [641] +10
8. USA [640] +16
9. UK [621] +5
10. Mexico [601] +21 *Mexico cracks the Top 10
11. Italy [594] +2
12. Sweden [583] +2
13. Panama [548] +19
14. Colombia [510] +25
15. France [490] +8
***Unless there is a huge data dump, I don't see any other country getting into the top 15 anytime soon. Argentina is closest at 374.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 16 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 10/08/20
1. Peru [997] +16
2. Belgium [871] +8
3. Spain [699] +15 *Definitely 2nd wave in Spain, France, UK now. Concerning to the max.
4. Bolivia [699] +19
5. Brazil [697] +20
6. Chile [687] +18
7. Ecuador [685] +44
8. USA [656] +16
9. Mexico [640] +39
10. UK [627] +6
11. Italy [597] +3
12. Sweden [582] -1
13. Panama [565] +17
14. Colombia [533] +23
15. France [498] +8
16. Argentina [491] ***Huge data dump as warned above, up 117 in just 1 week.
Check out the Worldometer site for Spain, UK, France trends which will show you that their deaths are picking up and will continue to accelerate in the next month.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 16 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 10/15/20
1. Peru [1012] +15
2. Belgium [886] +15 -2nd wave
3. Spain [715] +16 -2nd wave
4. Bolivia [715] +16
5. Brazil [713] +16
6. Chile [701] +14
7. Ecuador [692] +7
8. USA [670] +14 -2nd wave coming now with 20% increase in daily infections over the last 2 weeks. Deaths will come 2-6 weeks from now.
9. Mexico [656] +16
10. UK [637] +10 -2nd wave
11. Italy [602] +6 -slower 2nd wave
12. Sweden [584] +2
13. Panama [581] +16
14. Colombia [555] +22
15. Argentina [550] +69 *still data dumping in Argentina. They must have changed how they are recording deaths to better reflect the pandemic in real time.
16. France [506] +8 -2nd wave
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 16 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 10/22/20
1. Peru [1025] +13
2. Belgium [908] +22 -2nd wave
3. Spain [735] +20 -2nd wave
4. Bolivia [730] +15
5. Brazil [730] +17
6. Chile [720] +19
7. Ecuador [705] +13
8. USA [687] +17 -2nd wave coming now with 30% increase in daily infections over the last 2 weeks. Death rate is beginning to accelerate.
9. Mexico [676] +20
10. UK [652] +15 -2nd wave
11. Italy [612] +10 -2nd wave
12. Argentina [607] +57 -is this real? or is this continued data corrections week to week? Anyone know the details from Argentina?
13. Panama [599] +18
14. Sweden [586] +2 ***I would note that Sweden is having a second wave in infections just like the rest of Europe, but they are NOT YET having a second wave in deaths due to Covid.
If Herd Immunity was the original goal, the numbers clearly show that this has not been achieved for Sweden.
Per my nonofficial read of the data, they are about 2 weeks behind France and 3-4 weeks behind Spain for the death count to start rising.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/15. Colombia [577] +22
16. France [521] +17 -2nd wave
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 16 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 10/29/20
1. Peru [1036] +11
2. Belgium [962] +54 -2nd wave HUGE bump for Belgium
3. Spain [758] +23 -2nd wave accelerating
4. Brazil [744] +14
5. Bolivia [742] +12
6. Chile [732] +12
7. Ecuador [711] +6
8. USA [704] +17
9. Mexico [698] +22
10. UK [672] +20 -2nd wave accelerating
11. Argentina [663] +56 -still rising rapidly
12. Italy [627] +17 -2nd wave accelerating
13. Panama [614] +15
14. Colombia [602] +25
15. Sweden [586] +0 -is second wave of deaths coming in the next 1-3 weeks for Sweden? We will see.
16. France [548] +27 -2nd wave accelerating
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 16 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 11/5/20
1. Belgium [1062] +100 -2nd wave another HUGE bump for Belgium
2. Peru [1047] +11
3. Spain [823] +65 -2nd wave HUGE acceleration as well
4. Brazil [757] +13
5. Chile [751] +19
6. Bolivia [747] +5
7. USA [725] +21 death rate accelerating. Each death/million translates to about 300 USA deaths in the previous week.
8. Mexico [720] +22
9. Argentina [717] +54 -still rising rapidly. Technically first wave in Argentina, I think
10. Ecuador [716] +5
11. UK [702] +20 -2nd wave still accelerating
12. Italy [665] +38 -2nd wave
13. Panama [633] +19
14. Colombia [627] +25
15. France [598] +50 -2nd wave HUGE acceleration
16. Sweden [593] +7 -second wave has begun in Sweden as well as predicted above (If this follows the rest of Europe, it will lead to 12 and then 25, and then 50 in the next 4-5 weeks)
***Biggest movers last week were Belgium, Spain, Argentina, and France. Italy and UK close behind. Meanwhile I'm all but certain that on average at least 1000 US citizens will be dying daily for at least the next 6 weeks.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 16 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 11/12/20
1. Belgium [1158] +96
2. Peru [1056] +9
3. Spain [858] +35 -rapid deceleration in pain is encouraging
4. Brazil [769] +12
5. Chile [767]+3
6. Argentina [757] +40 -still rising rapidly.
7. USA [746] +21 again
8. UK [739] +37 -2nd wave still accelerating in the UK
9. Bolivia [751] +4
10. Mexico [741] +21
11. Ecuador [727] +11
12. Italy [711] +46 -2nd wave still accelerating in Italy
13. France [651] +53 -2nd wave
14. Colombia [650] +23 -decelerating in Columbia
15. Panama [633] +18
16. Sweden [604] +11 -second wave accelerating in Sweden continues. I predicted 12 (we got 11 deaths/million this week, if trend continues will be 23-25 or so next week, and then approx 45-50 in the 2 weeks after).
*Note that I'm not including smallish countries less than 4 Million or so. This is fairly arbitrary on my part. The next up and coming country is Czechia with >10 million people and a death rate of >550/million.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 11/19/20
1. Belgium [1294] +136
2. Peru [1068] +12
3. Spain [899] +41
4. Argentina [801] +44
5. Italy [792] +81 -2nd wave with scary acceleration (Italy all the way up to #5 from #12 in just 1 week!)
6. UK [791] +52 -2nd wave
7. Brazil [786] +17
8. Chile [780] +13
9. USA [774] +28 with concerning acceleration (+>40 next week?). I feel that half the country is trying to mitigate things, so that leads to a lower acceleration rate than the 2nd wave in Europe.
10. Mexico [769] +28
11. Bolivia [756] +5
12. Ecuador [736] +9
13. France [715] +64 -2nd wave with continued acceleration
14. Colombia [677] +27
15. Panama [670] +37 -doubled in rate
*** Sweden [626] +22 [predicted was +23-25. Probably 40+ in another week]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 11/26/20
1. Belgium [1385] +91
2. Peru [1079] +11
3. Spain [949] +50 -2nd wave reaching peak deaths (I think)
4. Italy [875] +83 -2nd wave reaching peak deaths
5. UK [838] +47 -2nd wave
6. Argentina [836] +35
7. USA [812] +38 -with continued scary acceleration
8. Brazil [805] +19
9. Mexico [800] +31
10. Chile [794] +14
11. France [780 715] +65 -2nd wave reaching peak deaths
12. Bolivia [761] +5
13. Ecuador [750] +14
14. Czechia [723] *new to top 15
15. Colombia [705] +28
16. Panama [691] +21
17.*** Sweden [654] +28 [predicted +40, so they are mitigating things and there was lots of press about this in the international news, congrats Sweden on seeing the light]
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 12/3/20
1. Belgium [1456] +71 -2nd wave decelerating
2. Peru [1088] +9
3. Spain [979] +30 -2nd wave decelerating
4. Italy [961] +86 -2nd wave still peaking
5. UK [884] +46 -2nd wave still peaking
6. Argentina [863] +27 decelerating
7. USA [844] +32 -still high, relative deceleration may be Thanksgiving artifact, we shall see.
8. Mexico [831] +31 -still rising rapidly, but may have reached peak
9. France [824] +44 -2nd wave decelerating
10. Brazil [819] +14
11. Chile [805] +11
12. Czechia [795] +72 ***Czech Republic acceleration over the last few weeks is very alarming.
13. Ecuador [764] +14
14. Bolivia [764] +4
15. Colombia [726] +21
16. Panama [717] +26
17. Sweden [692] +38 -still accelerating in Sweden.
***Czech Republic's rise is alarming, but this is not an isolated issue. ALL of eastern Europe is getting crushed right now. North Macedonia, Bosnia, Montenegro, Slovenia, and Armenia would all make the list above if not for my arbitrary 4 million people population cutoff. Why are these trends never covered in our national news?
*****Russia update. Those liars. Russia documents about the same number of Covid cases as France (2.3 million), but has a death rate that is 3x lower/million. If you buy that, I have an oceanfront property to sell you in Utah.
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 12/10/20
1. Belgium [1516] +60 -2nd wave decelerating
2. Peru [1099] +11
3. Italy [1036] +75 -2nd wave decelerating
4. Spain [1005] +26 -2nd wave decelerating
5. UK [927] +43 -2nd wave still peaking
6. USA [897] +53 -accelerating again
7. Argentina [886] +23 decelerating
8. France [867] +43 -2nd wave decelerating
9. Mexico [862] +31 -same peak
10. Czechia [861] +66 -decelerating a tiny bit
11. Brazil [840] +21
12. Chile [822] +17
13. Ecuador [780] +16
14. Bolivia [767] +3
15. Bulgaria [763] *New to list
-----
18. Sweden [726] +34 -2nd wave deceleration noted. ICU capacity in Stockholm is 99% per the BBC.
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 12/17/20
1. Belgium [1574] +58 -2nd wave decelerating
2. Italy [1113] +77 -2nd wave still high
3. Peru [1111] +12
4. Spain [1039] +34 -2nd wave continues
5. UK [971] +44 -2nd wave still peaking
6. USA [950] +63 -2nd wave acceleration continues with no signs of slowing down
7. Czechia [936] +75 -staying very high
8. Argentina [911] +25
9. France [908] +41 -2nd wave slowly decelerating
10. Bulgaria [895] +132 !!! Eastern Europe continues to get hit very hard right now.
11. Mexico [894] +32 -very steady in Mexico
12. Brazil [863] +23
13. Chile [834] +12
14. Panama [791] *back on list
15. Ecuador [783] +3
16. Hungary [781] *heating up and soon to join the list
17. Sweden [779] +53 -ICU capacity has been maxed out, leading to huge increase in the last week.
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 12/25/20
1. Belgium [1639] +60
2. Italy [1173] +60
3. Peru [1124] +13 *Why do we NEVER here any media reports about Peru? Home to 33 million people.
4. Spain [1065] +26
5. UK [1023] +20 -still rising
6. USA [1015] +65 -2nd wave hitting a plateau? Lets home the vaccines start decreasing the death rate in about 2-3 weeks as the most at risk folks get the vaccine 1st.
7. Bulgaria [1014] +119
8. Czechia [1013] +77
9. France [953] +45
10. Mexico [935] +41
11. Argentina [934] +23
12. Hungary [915 ] +134 ***Top riser. Eastern Europe is getting decimated.
13. Brazil [891] +28
14. Croatia [867] *new to the list
15. Panama [855] +64
---
17. Sweden [817 779] +38 -decreasing finally
Congrats to Chile, Colombia, Ecuador who have all dropped off the list!
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 12/31/20
1. Belgium [1674] +35
2. Italy [1227] +54
3. Peru [1133] +9
4. Bulgaria [1086] +72
5. Spain [1084] +19
6. UK [1080] +57
7. Czechia [1080] +67
8. USA [1059] +44
9. France [989] +36
10. Hungary [988] +73
11. Mexico [964] +29
12. Croatia [958] +91 *biggest riser this week
13. Argentina [951] +17
14. Panama [914] +59
15. Brazil [910] +19
---
18. Sweden [861] +44
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 01/07/2021
1. Belgium [1712] +38
2. Italy [1279] +52
3. Czechia [1177] +97 -no signs of slowing down in the Czech Republic. Biggest riser 2 weeks in a row.
4. UK [1153] +73 -ohoh UK, entire country locked down with the new strain as well
5. Bulgaria [1150] +64
6. Peru [1144] +11 -has done relatively well in the last 6 weeks to fall down the list
7. USA [1116 ] +57 Accelerating again and moving up the list!!!
8. Spain [1100] +16 Well done Spain
9. Hungary [1070] +82 still accelerating
10. Croatia [1043] +85 -add an earthquake to their troubles
11. France [1019] +30
12. Mexico [1003] +39
13. Panama [985] +71 Accelerating in Panama
14. Argentina [968] +17
15. Switzerland [938] *back on the list after a 6 month absence
16. Brazil [934] +24 *Brazil has dropped so far down I'm beginning to think they are juking the stats ala Mr. Putin
17. Sweden [914] +53 -accelerating in Sweden
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 01/14/2021
1. Belgium [1743] +31
2. Italy [1338] +59
3. Czechia [1293] +116 -whoa
4. UK [1245 1153] +73 -ohoh UK, entire country locked down with the new strain as well
5. Bulgaria [1206] +56
6. USA [1189] +73 *moving up on this list again
7. Peru [1158] +14
8. Hungary [1147] +77 decelerating
9. Spain [1131] +31 *another bump
10. Croatia [1104] +61
11. France [1056] +37 ***Three way tie for 11th place
12. Mexico [1056] +53
13. Panama [1056] +71
14. Sweden [1005] +91 -continues to accelerate in Sweden and now officially back on top 15 list
15. Argentina [990] +22
17. Brazil [966] +32 *Brazil continues to drop down off the list. ??? Real numbers?
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 01/21/2021
1. Belgium [1771 1743] +28
2. Czechia [1397] +104 -whoa
3. UK [1389] +144 -WHOA!
4. Italy [1385] +47
5. USA [1254] +65 *up another notch. Past 400K deaths. Vaccine roll out slower than expected.
6. Bulgaria [1250] +44
7. Hungary [1214] +67
8. Peru [1179] +21
9. Spain [1168] +37
10. Croatia [1158] +54
11. Panama [1129] +73
12. Mexico [1113] +57
13. France [1096] +40 ***Three way tie for 11th place
14. Sweden [1078] +73
15. Switzerland [1029] -back on the list
17. Brazil [998] +32 *??? Real numbers?
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 01/28/2021
1. Belgium [1802] +31
2. UK [1515] +126 -still pretty damn high. If this persists for another 3-4 weeks, UK will be top of the list.
3. Czechia [1397] +90 -decelerating
4. Italy [1446] +61
5. USA [1326] +72 -accelerating
6. Bulgaria [1250] +43
7. Hungary [1214] +60
8. Spain [1225] +57
9. Peru [1212] +33
10. Croatia [1208] +50
11. Panama [1189] +60
12. Mexico [1184] +71
13. Portugal [1140] *back on list
14. France [1139] +43
15. Sweden [1137] +59
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 2/4/2021
1. Belgium [1826] +24
2. UK [1619] +104 -still pretty damn high. UK variant has since passed to multiple other countries.
3. Czechia [1569] +172 -WHOA, I though they has crested the top, but I was wrong.
4. Italy [1494] +48
5. USA [1392] +66 -minimal change, but coming down at least
6. Bulgaria [1333] +83 -doubled acceleration (aka exponential) in the last week
7. Hungary [1330] +116 -also doubled
8. Portugal [1324] +184 *WHOA, biggest riser of the last couple weeks
9. Spain [1291] +66
10. Peru [1250] +32
11. Croatia [1248] +40
12. Mexico [1243] +59
13. Panama [1232] +43
14. France [1187] +48
15. Sweden [1187] +50
Country to country data is taken from Worldometer Coronavirus Tracking site. I do not include countries with less than 4 million people. This is arbitrary on my part, but initially was a way of avoiding confounding trends just because, say, San Marino or Gibraltar didn't skew the results. Because of this cutoff, neither Solvenia, Bosnia, North Macedonia, or Montenegro (all in the Balkans) have made the top 15 list although they would qualify otherwise.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 2/11/2021
1. Belgium [1851] +25
2. UK [1686] +67
3. Czechia [1658] +89
4. Italy [1535] +41
5. Portugal [1462] +138 *WHOA Highest riser of the week
6. USA [1455] +63 -still damn high consideration our vaccination progress. +1 point = 330 more US deaths/wk
7. Hungary [1394] +64
8. Bulgaria [1378] +45
9. Spain [1362] +71
10. Mexico [1308] +65
11. Peru [1289] +39
12. Croatia [1287] +39
13. Panama [1274] +42
14. France [1231] +44
15. Sweden [1220] +33
Country to country data is taken from Worldometer Coronavirus Tracking site. I do not include countries with less than 4 million people. This is arbitrary on my part, but initially was a way of avoiding confounding trends just because, say, San Marino or Gibraltar didn't skew the results. Because of this cutoff, neither Slovenia, Bosnia, North Macedonia, or Montenegro (all in the Balkans) have made the top 15 list although they would qualify otherwise.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total USA Deaths [New Weekly Deaths]
3/26/20 -1070
4/2/20 -5148 [4078 new deaths in the previous week]
4/9/20 -16129 [10981]
4/16/20 -32826 [16697]
4/23/20 -46851 [14025]
4/30/20 -61547 [14696]
5/07/20 -73573 [12026]
5/14/20 -84144 [10571]
5/21/20 -93606 [9462 new deaths in the previous week]
5/28/20 -100442 [6836 new deaths]
6/4/20 -107685 [
7243 new deaths] -are we beginning to have a second wave?
6/11/20 -113038 [5353]
6/18/20 -117783 [4745] -continues to improve
6/25/20 -120,800 [3017] -*** corrected using Johns Hopkins data
7/2/20 -128,184 [7384] -
7/9/20 -132,498 [4314] -hospitals and ICU units hitting capacity in Florida, Texas, Arizona is not reassuring. I suspect deaths to pick up now. How high? Who knows?
7/16/20 -137,420 [4922] -trend is not encouraging at all. Here comes the slowly rising wave...
7/23/20 -143,224 [5804] -yup, getting into the 1K deaths per week territory again
7/30/20 -151,077 [7853] -pretty big bump. No sign of this slowing down as Texas and Florida just beat their previous deaths per day records.
8/6/20 -160,111 [9034]
8/13/20 -166,361 [6250]
8/20/20 -173,241 [6880]-about 1K per day on average over the last 4 weeks noted. At this rate we will have 250K deaths by election day on Nov 3rd.
8/27/20 -179,977 [6736] -remains about 1 K per day. No real change of late, unfortunately. Oh, and school has restarted in most areas of the USA.
9/3/20 -186,018 [6041] -trend *may be decreasing. We will see how things go.
9/10/20 -191,168 [5150] -trend is encouraging compared to South America. I would have taken this 2 weeks ago knowing school was about to start. Take the win.
9/17/20 -196,912 [5744] -last 3 weeks have been fairly steady
9/24/20 -202170 [5258]
10/1/20 -207331 [5161]
10/8/20 -212420 [5089] -US is nothing if not consistent
10/15/20 -217155 [4735] -BUT, infection rates are
rising again throughout the country. Get ready for the second wave.
10/22/20 -222234 [5079]
10/29/20 -227897 [5663] ->11% rise in US deaths in the last 7 days. I don't think this is artifact, I think things are accelerating. We are
averaging 75K new infections per day over the last week. On a more positive note, case fatalities per infection appear to be coming down in the US.
11/5/20 -234225 [6328] -number of deaths continue to rise as expected. God help us if local health systems get overwhelmed again like in NYC, New Orleans, Detroit early in the Pandemic.
11/12/20 -241495 [7270] -back to 1K per day deaths and rising. 75K new infections per day now seems quaint. We have averaged over 130K in the last 7 days.
11/19/20 -250898 [9403] -10 K per week is next milestone. 6 weeks till New Years, will we hit 300K? Seems likely at this point.
11/26/20 -263218 [12320] -WHOA. Avg >170K cases per week. And it seems like no one except my family are following Thanksgiving distancing recommendations by the CDC. Keep your elders safe everyone!
12/3/20 -273746 [10528] -suspect reporting lag due to the holidays. If I'm right, then this will bump up a bit in the following week, and then come down, and then steadily rise for a while thereafter. We reached 100 K current Covid admissions nationwide with no sign of this slowing down. The previous peak was 60 K.
12/10/20 -289970 [16224] -!!!
12/17/20 -308098 [18128] -!!!!! That's the all-time peak, folks. Hospitalizations due to Covid continue to peak as well at 113 K.
12/24/20 -326271 [18173] -Well, at least it's not accelerating.
12/31/20 -343233 [16962]
1/07/2021 -361900 [18667] -New Peak again. Sadly these are just abstract numbers in my head right now. Not sinking in that 4K Americans died just yesterday.
1/14/2021 -385503 [23603] -huge bump in the last week!!! Way worse than NYC in the Spring of 2020. Avg 3300+ deaths per day.
1/21/2021 -406536 [21033] -still ridiculously high. Should eventually come down with national infection trends and vaccine rollouts.
1/28/2021 -429870 [23334] -yup, still high. Since infections till death takes about 2-6 weeks, and infections appear to be coming down nationwide now (with hot pockets, of course). I suspect deaths should begin to come down in the next 2-6 weeks. Hopefully 2 weeks.
2/4/2021 -451454 [21584] -continues to average >20K deaths per week in the USA. Hopefully begins to truly trend down this upcoming week, following the case data.
2/11/21 -472450 [20996] -no trending down as of yet. I'm beginning to get worried that people are just testing a lot less, thus case counts are going down but deaths are not. Are we taking our feet off the gas?
JGS
