Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 708404 times)

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1900 on: February 02, 2018, 02:09:18 PM »
Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes.  The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions.  Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1901 on: February 02, 2018, 02:15:20 PM »
Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes.  The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions.  Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

wait - I'm confused.  Is this a satirical thread or a serious one...? Because that sounds like suspiciously good advice...

MrMoneyMullet

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1902 on: February 02, 2018, 02:19:07 PM »
Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes.  The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions.  Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

wait - I'm confused.  Is this a satirical thread or a serious one...? Because that sounds like suspiciously good advice...

I think Sol is playing the straight man while most others are being satirical.

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1903 on: February 02, 2018, 02:26:50 PM »
"Could go up, could go down" ??? What is this nonsense? :D

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1904 on: February 02, 2018, 02:33:23 PM »
Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes.  The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions.  Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

wait - I'm confused.  Is this a satirical thread or a serious one...? Because that sounds like suspiciously good advice...

Hard to say.  I personally can't take any post seriously if it doesn't at least mention bacon

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1905 on: February 02, 2018, 02:34:22 PM »
I got a little bit of cash sloshing around in retirement accounts.. think I might roll that into VTSAX today.

I sold 1200 shares of VTI at close, down 3.7% from the peak, err I mean the top.
 About 11% of my stock Market assets, If I had more time, I might have sold some VTSAX.
This made me decide to get my AA more in line for an almost 63 year old.

What AA you aiming for out of interest?

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1906 on: February 02, 2018, 02:46:13 PM »
The start of a much needed correction........

thorstach

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1907 on: February 02, 2018, 02:50:18 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

caracarn

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1908 on: February 02, 2018, 02:53:44 PM »
The start of a much needed correction........
Agreed.  I'm sick of soggy, limp bacon.  It must be cooked until crispy.  If that is the correction we are seeing, count me in.

the_gastropod

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1909 on: February 02, 2018, 02:57:43 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Thorstach! The prodigal son returns! Top is in

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1910 on: February 02, 2018, 03:00:37 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Are you sure this time?

Are you more sure this time than they you were the previous 22 times you've called the top in this thread?

If you're sure this time, can you tell me when to get back in, too?


*As a side note: which one of you jokesters is behind the thorstach sock puppet account?  Ready to come clean yet?
« Last Edit: February 02, 2018, 03:02:43 PM by sol »

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1911 on: February 02, 2018, 03:17:03 PM »
I kinda assumed it was you...

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1912 on: February 02, 2018, 03:26:39 PM »
I kinda assumed it was you...

Nay!  I already post too much as myself, I don't have time for secret double lives.

brooklynguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1913 on: February 02, 2018, 03:34:25 PM »
My forensic analysis has conclusively determined that it is dragoncar.

dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1914 on: February 02, 2018, 03:38:02 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Aren't you a few days behind, thorstach?

Eric

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1915 on: February 02, 2018, 03:49:28 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Does the mother of all tops give birth to future tops as well?  With a big enough top family, the top could always be in!

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1916 on: February 02, 2018, 03:52:23 PM »
Does the mother of all tops give birth to future tops as well?  With a big enough top family, the top could always be in!

Now this is sounding suspiciously incestuous.

Travis

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1917 on: February 02, 2018, 03:53:52 PM »
Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes.  The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions.  Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

This drop happening on payday is just a coincidence....

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1918 on: February 02, 2018, 04:02:56 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

What about the father top? 

Has the market gone matriarchal? 

Was it a virgin birth?

via Imgflip Meme Generator

MrMoneyMullet

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1919 on: February 02, 2018, 04:17:47 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

*As a side note: which one of you jokesters is behind the thorstach sock puppet account?  Ready to come clean yet?

Was just starting to wonder this myself!

Market commentary: I predict a "Rocky Top" in which the market will experience a series of ups and downs within a tight range in a month-long period, followed by going winless in conference play.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_n9prNixjbg

Mr. Green

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1920 on: February 02, 2018, 04:42:34 PM »
Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes.  The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions.  Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.
Just a coincidence is all. Just sold the property and cleared the check. Convenient!

hadabeardonce

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1921 on: February 02, 2018, 04:50:20 PM »
The headlines today are great:

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years"
"It might be time for some investors to take cover"
"Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up"
"If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried"
"Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

Mr. Boh

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1922 on: February 02, 2018, 05:10:30 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Thorstach thank God you're back! Not for your market prognostications or anything, it's just that you've been gone for so long I was starting to worry about your wellbeing. Are you feeling okay?

the_fixer

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1923 on: February 02, 2018, 05:40:00 PM »
Merrill Lynch advises customers Friday that it was time to sell.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/02/merrill-lynch-sell-signal-triggered-as-market-faces-more-losses-ahead.html

Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1924 on: February 02, 2018, 06:28:44 PM »
Well gosh.. do they tell you when to get back in with 100% accuracy too?

StacheInAsia

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1925 on: February 02, 2018, 06:35:56 PM »
The headlines today are great:

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years"
"It might be time for some investors to take cover"
"Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up"
"If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried"
"Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

And they were not saying these things a month ago, when the market was still lower than it is now. So confuse.

Edit: bacon.

markbike528CBX

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1926 on: February 02, 2018, 06:38:18 PM »
The headlines today are great:

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years"
"It might be time for some investors to take cover"
"Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up"
"If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried"
"Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

OMFG. the Dow has crashed, sunk, imploded to levels not seen since......wait for it.... January 11, 2018!!!!!!

Sorry about the excessive use of exclamation points and words beginning with exc...

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1927 on: February 02, 2018, 06:52:30 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

HE RETURNS!!!!  We missed you soooooooooo much!  Please let us know when the bottom is in

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1928 on: February 02, 2018, 07:04:29 PM »
I kinda assumed it was you...

Nay!  I already post too much as myself, I don't have time for secret double lives.

Hmm, sounds like something someone with secret double-lives would say...

On the other hand, I have the feeling you'd have made the posts more interesting than "top is in" for like the last 10 times or so

Now excuse me while I hunt for some change in the cushions so I can throw a few extra bucks in market before we get a new top.  Thorstach did jinx it after all. 

Travis

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1929 on: February 02, 2018, 07:07:28 PM »
The headlines today are great:

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years"
"It might be time for some investors to take cover"
"Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up"
"If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried"
"Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

And they were not saying these things a month ago, when the market was still lower than it is now. So confuse.

Edit: bacon.

The only time a CNBC commentator is going to advise you to sell is when the stock is already plummeting.  They're so used to bulls that when the market stops to catch its breath they have no fucking clue what to say.

swashbucklinstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1930 on: February 02, 2018, 07:20:02 PM »
The rate of change of the rate of change of the rate of change of upward progress towards real arbitrage-neutral pareto-optimized COLA rates of neo-classical meltup is increasing at a heretofore unforeseen, momentous if you will, rate, per unit of trailing 5 week altcoin median bid/ask spread. The charts don't lie.

Clear as day folks, the top has been in for some time now. Wake up sheeple.

If you can't see this, and didn't see this coming, honestly you're just not paying attention at this point:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jUWeKe7QLLg

swashbucklinstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1931 on: February 02, 2018, 07:23:57 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

*As a side note: which one of you jokesters is behind the thorstach sock puppet account?  Ready to come clean yet?

Was just starting to wonder this myself!

Market commentary: I predict a "Rocky Top" in which the market will experience a series of ups and downs within a tight range in a month-long period, followed by going winless in conference play.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_n9prNixjbg

Disappointed Thorstash hasn't popped in to to give us an update today.  Is the top in?

Come on the top was in two days ago.  Two huge drops now.  We missed the top.

Well, luckily there's still Bitcoin.

Not only am I selling ALL my VTSAX to plow into Bitcoin, I'm getting a HELOC equal to all the equity in my house to do the same.  Can't lose!!!
Don't forget to borrow heavily from your 401(k). Otherwise you are just leaving money on the table.

Bitcoin is a waste of time.  I'm putting my home on the blockchain


These two posts and a few others really gave me a laugh today on a bit of a rough day, having missed the top and all you know, so thanks y'all

BTDretire

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1932 on: February 02, 2018, 07:26:53 PM »
I got a little bit of cash sloshing around in retirement accounts.. think I might roll that into VTSAX today.

I sold 1200 shares of VTI at close, down 3.7% from the peak, err I mean the top.
 About 11% of my stock Market assets, If I had more time, I might have sold some VTSAX.
This made me decide to get my AA more in line for an almost 63 year old.

What AA you aiming for out of interest?

 I'm aimimg for less stock exposure, but don't want bonds.
I might end up holding cash for a while. But I do like the REIT preferreds
as a proxy for bonds, especially after the hit they have taken lately.
Although, I'm not sure it is over for them, with expected interest rate increases.
At the end of 2017 I had,
83% stocks, VTSAX, VTI, Several REITs or Preferred REITs.
 9% land contract paying me 8%
2.7% bond fund
 5% cash, some of this is cash and some is business inventory.
 

facepalm

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1933 on: February 02, 2018, 07:35:26 PM »
The headlines today are great:

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years"
"It might be time for some investors to take cover"
"Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up"
"If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried"
"Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.
This was my favorite:

"Bitcoin, Ripple, And Other Cryptocurrency Sell-off Spreads To Stocks"

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1934 on: February 02, 2018, 07:55:54 PM »
The headlines today are great:

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years"
"It might be time for some investors to take cover"
"Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up"
"If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried"
"Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.
This was my favorite:

"Bitcoin, Ripple, And Other Cryptocurrency Sell-off Spreads To Stocks"


Bwahahaha!  Right.. that's what happened..

DTaggart

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1935 on: February 02, 2018, 09:22:17 PM »
The headlines today are great:

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years"
"It might be time for some investors to take cover"
"Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up"
"If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried"
"Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

Yup, yesterday was my last day of work, and the above is what I saw today on my first day of FIRE. So... my bad, sorry guys. That was definitely the top!

StacheInAsia

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1936 on: February 02, 2018, 09:47:45 PM »
... pareto-optimized COLA rates of neo-classical meltup is increasing ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jUWeKe7QLLg

Not the dreaded neo-classical meltup!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TaV-I5C90zk



Bicycle_B

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1937 on: February 02, 2018, 09:49:59 PM »
(claps)

Way to go, DTaggart! 

For some reason your screen name seems especially amusing at this moment.  When, clearly, the top is in.

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1938 on: February 02, 2018, 11:20:42 PM »
My forensic analysis has conclusively determined that it is dragoncar.

We are not yet thorstach, but we will add his biological and technological distinctiveness to our own.

swashbucklinstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1939 on: February 03, 2018, 09:47:48 AM »
I've done some additional analysis and consulted experts. It seems clear we're near a level 8 S-Class meltup, likely to be followed by a fade from the high top.



































DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1940 on: February 03, 2018, 10:35:51 AM »
I've done some additional analysis and consulted experts. It seems clear we're near a level 8 S-Class meltup, likely to be followed by a fade from the high top.


Do you have any DCF analysis to back this kind of claim up?

tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1941 on: February 03, 2018, 11:26:13 AM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Gentlemen, I give you:  The Mother of All Tops.


swashbucklinstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1942 on: February 03, 2018, 12:44:14 PM »
I've done some additional analysis and consulted experts. It seems clear we're near a level 8 S-Class meltup, likely to be followed by a fade from the high top.


Do you have any DCF analysis to back this kind of claim up?

UGH. Aside from the (frankly pretty definitive) charts I posted above, AND the earlier youtube link FROM 2015 titled "topisin", the only thing I'm at liberty to say is that if proof is what you seek then you might want to look in to what the government never wants you to look into in times like these, by which I of course mean pudding futures.

Topioca is in.

Financial.Velociraptor

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1943 on: February 03, 2018, 01:53:59 PM »
(Bacon) Top is in.


TomTX

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1944 on: February 03, 2018, 06:24:58 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Dude!

You're like a week late.

Or 9 months early, whichever.

Welcome back!
« Last Edit: February 03, 2018, 06:28:32 PM by TomTX »

TomTX

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1945 on: February 03, 2018, 06:29:43 PM »
I kinda assumed it was you...

Nay!  I already post too much as myself, I don't have time for secret double lives.
Suuuure.  Bringing up the secret thorstache puppet account to try and get us looking at others!

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1946 on: February 03, 2018, 07:05:30 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

Woohoo, bottom is near!

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1947 on: February 03, 2018, 07:21:08 PM »
I kinda assumed it was you...

Nay!  I already post too much as myself, I don't have time for secret double lives.
Suuuure.  Bringing up the secret thorstache puppet account to try and get us looking at others!

If you look at the thorstach account post history, you can see that it has only participated in TWO threads on the forum, both about market timing.  How many other people do you know on the forum who have only ever posted in two threads?  About the same topic, one of which they started themselves and then kept alive for a year? 

This person has got to be a forum regular.  Their regular account probably has thousands of posts.  They've been around a long time, probably while using their primary account to periodically express a very strong opinion (pro or con, 50/50 chances IMO) about market timing.  I think that limits it to a hundred or so possible people, at most.  The average poster just doesn't think to make sock puppet accounts.

I would find it hard to believe the thorstache account belongs to an individual who has never posted elsewhere on the forum.  The mods could check IPs, of course, but at this point it's kind of like a great magic trick and I'm not sure I really want to know how it's done. 

thorstach, please tell me when to get back in the market.  I sold it all on your advice and am patiently waiting in cash for you to give me the go-ahead to get back in.

TomTX

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1948 on: February 03, 2018, 08:02:42 PM »
I kinda assumed it was you...

Nay!  I already post too much as myself, I don't have time for secret double lives.
Suuuure.  Bringing up the secret thorstache puppet account to try and get us looking at others!

If you look at the thorstach account post history, you can see that it has only participated in TWO threads on the forum, both about market timing.  How many other people do you know on the forum who have only ever posted in two threads?  About the same topic, one of which they started themselves and then kept alive for a year? 

This person has got to be a forum regular.  Their regular account probably has thousands of posts.  They've been around a long time, probably while using their primary account to periodically express a very strong opinion (pro or con, 50/50 chances IMO) about market timing.  I think that limits it to a hundred or so possible people, at most.  The average poster just doesn't think to make sock puppet accounts.

I would find it hard to believe the thorstache account belongs to an individual who has never posted elsewhere on the forum.  The mods could check IPs, of course, but at this point it's kind of like a great magic trick and I'm not sure I really want to know how it's done. 

thorstach, please tell me when to get back in the market.  I sold it all on your advice and am patiently waiting in cash for you to give me the go-ahead to get back in.

I do note that someone looking at you could check all the requirement boxes you listed ;)

Back on topic: Sock Tops are IN!


shuffler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1949 on: February 03, 2018, 09:06:32 PM »
This person has got to be a forum regular.
If he is a regular, it seems odd that he'd login (presumably to read this thread) without posting.
You'd think that a forum-regular would use their primary identity for reading, and only occasionally login as the shill account in order to immediately make a post.