Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 338830 times)

thd7t

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2700 on: April 05, 2018, 09:27:54 AM »
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-05/crash-course-in-market-timing-shows-cost-of-being-wrong-at-tops

Awesome.  That article is just TheTopIsInTheTopIsInTheTopIsInTheTopIsIn for like three pages, broken up by some graphics.  Maybe they read the forum?
Given the activity on this forum thread (and threads like it) people who search ER and MMM probably encounter a lot of this and RED DOW.

the_fixer

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2701 on: April 05, 2018, 09:57:27 AM »
How about a top is in Bear Hug

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JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2702 on: April 05, 2018, 01:30:19 PM »
Is the mother of all bottoms in yet?

hadabeardonce

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2703 on: April 05, 2018, 01:47:35 PM »
Is the mother of all bottoms in yet?
How does she keep having kids?
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dividendman

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2704 on: April 05, 2018, 08:27:04 PM »
Trump just announced another $100B in tariffs.... so that means something to the markets i guess

aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2705 on: April 05, 2018, 08:51:30 PM »
Trump just announced another $100B in tariffs.... so that means something to the markets i guess

In the famous words of Rex Tillerson "top is in." No wait, the quote is Trump is a "fucking moron." Definitely one, maybe both are true.

plainjane

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2706 on: April 06, 2018, 08:00:55 AM »
I am trying. I am glad some of you realize how hard this is to do. Just frustrated I put so much in a 2018's peak.

KTG - it's probably really tough to find them among the volume in his journal, but @Prospector had a series of posts a year or two ago when he was really frustrated about poor performance, wanting to be more actively chasing specific industries instead of sticking with indexes.
Using procrastination to my advantage since 2001.

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JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2707 on: April 06, 2018, 12:50:48 PM »
Is the mother of all bottoms in yet?
How does she keep having kids?

The Top was in?

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2708 on: April 06, 2018, 01:10:47 PM »
Just the top.

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2709 on: April 06, 2018, 01:12:55 PM »
Just did a bit of rebalancing.

I'm out of money to invest =(

MrMoneyMullet

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2710 on: April 06, 2018, 05:16:44 PM »
Are we sure Thorstach isn't actually Trump?

Probably got frustrated calling the top and not being right, then decided to give the economy/market a "Trump Bump" off a cliff in order to actually be correct at calling a top.
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swashbucklinstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2711 on: April 06, 2018, 06:12:30 PM »
Just the top.

Just to see how it feels?
hey hey

Savin' like i got a cape on

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2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2712 on: April 06, 2018, 07:53:46 PM »

MrMoneyMullet

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2713 on: April 07, 2018, 10:05:59 AM »
Quote
Nope, he went all in on beanie babies

So like $30M?

I thought the top for Beanie babies was over 15 years ago!

If the they are still valuable I think my wife has a box of them in the basement... we could be rich.

TOP IS NOT IN on beanie babies. They have experienced a local top (the past 15 years) and are poised for a breakout based on my technical analysis. Charts clearly show a reverse bear hug forming.

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tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2714 on: April 07, 2018, 03:00:30 PM »
TOP IS NOT IN on beanie babies. They have experienced a local top (the past 15 years) and are poised for a breakout based on my technical analysis. Charts clearly show a reverse bear hug forming.


Reverse bear hug is already upon us, however we might struggle against it:

Frugalite in training.

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2715 on: April 08, 2018, 01:48:38 AM »

TOP IS NOT IN on beanie babies. They have experienced a local top (the past 15 years) and are poised for a breakout based on my technical analysis. Charts clearly show a reverse bear hug forming.

The babies are all grown up, fool.  Beanie fogies are where the money is.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2716 on: April 09, 2018, 12:12:05 PM »
Are we sure Thorstach isn't actually Trump?

Probably got frustrated calling the top and not being right, then decided to give the economy/market a "Trump Bump" off a cliff in order to actually be correct at calling a top.

Can't be, it would have gone something like

"Big news, MOST YUGE TOP of all the TOPS is in.  Sad.  Dems and Obama planned for years. Not covered by fake news media.  Sad. 

MrStash

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2717 on: April 09, 2018, 12:23:00 PM »
This thread will never end! Forever top!

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2718 on: April 09, 2018, 12:35:59 PM »
Yuge!

Maenad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2719 on: April 10, 2018, 11:45:32 AM »
Great news headline on Marketwatch: "Dow surges nearly 400 points, defying bearish sell signal - here's a theory as to why"

My first thought? "What's your theory - Technical Analysis is b.s.?"


Second thought was, of course - "Top is NOT in!"

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2720 on: April 10, 2018, 01:46:08 PM »
Great news headline on Marketwatch: "Dow surges nearly 400 points, defying bearish sell signal - here's a theory as to why"

My first thought? "What's your theory - Technical Analysis is b.s.?"


Second thought was, of course - "Top is NOT in!"

Hereís why:  the top industrial complex only works when they keep producing new tops


JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2721 on: April 10, 2018, 06:09:25 PM »
Great news headline on Marketwatch: "Dow surges nearly 400 points, defying bearish sell signal - here's a theory as to why"

My first thought? "What's your theory - Technical Analysis is b.s.?"


Second thought was, of course - "Top is NOT in!"

Hereís why:  the top industrial complex only works when they keep producing new tops

So I think I'm getting a better picture how the Top Economy works.  They make a new top, the top gets called and more people rush out to get new tops before the top is in.  Kind of like how gun sales go up right after a mass shooting because people stock up on guns in case they get banned.  Also explains why thorstach calls the Top right before the market goes up, except for this time, because the GOAT MOAT IS IN. 

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2722 on: April 10, 2018, 06:13:04 PM »
Great news headline on Marketwatch: "Dow surges nearly 400 points, defying bearish sell signal - here's a theory as to why"

My first thought? "What's your theory - Technical Analysis is b.s.?"


Second thought was, of course - "Top is NOT in!"

Hereís why:  the top industrial complex only works when they keep producing new tops

So I think I'm getting a better picture how the Top Economy works.  They make a new top, the top gets called and more people rush out to get new tops before the top is in.  Kind of like how gun sales go up right after a mass shooting because people stock up on guns in case they get banned.  Also explains why thorstach calls the Top right before the market goes up, except for this time, because the GOAT MOAT IS IN.

It's all controlled by the top lizard people

Optimiser

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2723 on: April 10, 2018, 06:33:47 PM »


Lizard top(hat) is in

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2724 on: April 10, 2018, 06:48:13 PM »


Lizard top(hat) is in

This guy again.  I'll never forgive him for what he did to my father.

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2725 on: April 10, 2018, 07:35:47 PM »
The April Top is IN!

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2726 on: April 11, 2018, 07:57:02 AM »
Happy Top Day Everyone!

MrDelane

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2727 on: April 11, 2018, 07:59:02 AM »


Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

Happy anniversary, Top!

A year ago today the S&P opened at 2353.92,
and Thorstach let us all know the top was in.

Today the S&P will open at 2656.87,
an increase of 12.87% from a year ago.

Thanks for the gains, the laughs, and all the failed predictions.
Happy Anniversary to us all.

Optimiser

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2728 on: April 11, 2018, 08:11:52 AM »
« Last Edit: April 11, 2018, 08:14:15 AM by Optimiser »

grandep

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2729 on: April 11, 2018, 08:30:34 AM »
Happy anniversary, Top!

Here's to another year of tops!

dreadmoose

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2730 on: April 11, 2018, 09:42:27 AM »


To every year being as down as last year was!
Just starting on my FIRE journey, hopefully posting here creates accountability and eventually lowers my very anti-mustachian life habits.

jlcnuke

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2731 on: April 11, 2018, 12:25:21 PM »
Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

S&P 500 1 year return +12.68% since the 'top" last year, in case anyone was wondering.
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JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2732 on: April 11, 2018, 05:04:45 PM »
Happy anniversary, Top!

Here's to another year of tops!

Alternatively, here's to the bottom!  I for one can't wait to hear when the bottom is in

hadabeardonce

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2733 on: April 11, 2018, 05:33:19 PM »
Happy anniversary, Top!

Here's to another year of tops!

Alternatively, here's to the bottom!  I for one can't wait to hear when the bottom is in
What if bottoms were past tops?
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aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2734 on: April 11, 2018, 06:56:45 PM »
Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

S&P 500 1 year return +12.68% since the 'top" last year, in case anyone was wondering.

Add another 2 and change percentage points to that return from dividends invested.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2735 on: April 11, 2018, 07:55:05 PM »
Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

S&P 500 1 year return +12.68% since the 'top" last year, in case anyone was wondering.

Add another 2 and change percentage points to that return from dividends invested.

No way!  I refuse to believe anyone here has stayed invested over the last year when we've clearly been warned the Top is in

Basenji

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2736 on: April 11, 2018, 07:59:17 PM »
Is someone running around topless?

aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2737 on: April 11, 2018, 08:39:23 PM »
Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

S&P 500 1 year return +12.68% since the 'top" last year, in case anyone was wondering.

Add another 2 and change percentage points to that return from dividends invested.

No way!  I refuse to believe anyone here has stayed invested over the last year when we've clearly been warned the Top is in

Not for us, just for all those losers who didn't realize the to was in! We all listened to the great and wise thorstach so we scored 1.5% in our high yield savings accounts, minus taxes of course.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2738 on: April 11, 2018, 09:56:33 PM »
Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

S&P 500 1 year return +12.68% since the 'top" last year, in case anyone was wondering.

Add another 2 and change percentage points to that return from dividends invested.

No way!  I refuse to believe anyone here has stayed invested over the last year when we've clearly been warned the Top is in

Not for us, just for all those losers who didn't realize the to was in! We all listened to the great and wise thorstach so we scored 1.5% in our high yield savings accounts, minus taxes of course.

Suit yourself, clearly the wiser choice was gold coins buried in the backyard. 

Radagast

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2739 on: April 11, 2018, 09:56:33 PM »

Radagast

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2740 on: April 11, 2018, 10:10:39 PM »
I can't believe this hasn't come up yet, it's so topical.

Mac: Can a twink be a top or is that reserved for bears?

Dennis Reynolds: I'm sure there's a great deal of switching back and forth but I think more often then not bears are tops, unless they happen to be power bottoms.

Frank Reynolds: What's a power bottom?



JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2741 on: April 11, 2018, 10:23:24 PM »
Happy anniversary, Top!

Here's to another year of tops!

Alternatively, here's to the bottom!  I for one can't wait to hear when the bottom is in
What if bottoms were past tops?

Hmm.  Looks at chart.  Turns head upside down.  Mind. Blown.

Radagast

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2742 on: April 11, 2018, 10:27:57 PM »
Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

S&P 500 1 year return +12.68% since the 'top" last year, in case anyone was wondering.

Add another 2 and change percentage points to that return from dividends invested.

No way!  I refuse to believe anyone here has stayed invested over the last year when we've clearly been warned the Top is in

Not for us, just for all those losers who didn't realize the to was in! We all listened to the great and wise thorstach so we scored 1.5% in our high yield savings accounts, minus taxes of course.

Suit yourself, clearly the wiser choice was gold coins buried in the backyard.
Yeah that's what I did. I can prove it. I have written evidence back on page 2 or something.

ILikeDividends

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2743 on: April 11, 2018, 10:40:08 PM »

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2744 on: April 11, 2018, 10:51:10 PM »
FYI: itís wednesday.  Wednesday is Opposite Day. 

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2745 on: April 11, 2018, 11:29:19 PM »
Happy anniversary, Top!

A year ago today the S&P opened at 2353.92,
and Thorstach let us all know the top was in.

Today the S&P will open at 2656.87,
an increase of 12.87% from a year ago.

If you had told me a year ago that the market was going to be up 12.9% over the next 12 months, I probably would have said "Sure, sounds reasonable.  I like your optimism!"

If you had told me a year ago that the market was going to be up 23% and then crash 10% in a week, I would have been skeptical about the proposed volatility but still pretty happy about the end result.  "You're going to scare people, but I see you're still an optimist at heart."

If you had told me a year ago that the top was in, I would have said you were wrong.

The past 12 months have been fantastic to stock buyers, volatility and all.  I'm riding the wave all the way to the bank.  Thorstach, Mrpercentage, and all the rest of you permabears, please continue to cry loudly about the coming Armageddon.  I need more willing sellers to make my retirement strategy work, and your voices are making it much easier to get rich these days.  We are living in the golden age of early retirement.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2746 on: April 11, 2018, 11:45:41 PM »
Well I for one am happy I sold everything and went 100% to cash and gold bullion thanks to Thorstach's advice. Thorstach can clearly tell the difference between an uptrend and a downtrend without the need to wait for data from the future.

And here it is!  i wonder what the data from one year in the future holds

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2747 on: April 12, 2018, 10:02:08 AM »
Happy belated topoversary!

grandep

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2748 on: April 12, 2018, 02:58:04 PM »
What if bottoms were past tops?

Hmm.  Looks at chart.  Turns head upside down.  Mind. Blown.

A bottom is the top in the Upside Down.

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2749 on: April 12, 2018, 03:36:02 PM »