Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 338815 times)

swashbucklinstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2450 on: March 01, 2018, 04:46:25 PM »
No, it's just that with the top actually being in*, we've all found religion.

*just to clarify, I don't actually believe this

Shun the non-believer! Shun!
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MrMoneyMullet

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2451 on: March 01, 2018, 08:56:19 PM »
No, it's just that with the top actually being in*, we've all found religion.

*just to clarify, I don't actually believe this

Shun the non-believer! Shun!

SHUUUUnnnnnnn. N.
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JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2452 on: March 01, 2018, 10:59:00 PM »
Happy 50th page Top Is In

Maenad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2453 on: March 02, 2018, 06:40:28 AM »
No, it's just that with the top actually being in*, we've all found religion.

*just to clarify, I don't actually believe this

A scarlet U for the Unbeliever! Let all who see their posts know that they are apostate!


KTG

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2454 on: March 02, 2018, 07:40:51 AM »
Well, it seems to me Top was in for awhile. I don't see things bouncing back to Jan numbers for awhile.

I just raised my stake bigtime in VTI in Jan too. Now I feel like an idiot.

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2455 on: March 02, 2018, 08:18:54 AM »
It will never recover!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Cobaka

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2456 on: March 02, 2018, 08:38:46 AM »
The mother of all tops is in.

We have no recovered from the mother of all tops (across all indexes) in less than 24 days and less than 15 trading days.

You lose.  Again.

Don't jinx us! we are not back at the top yet!

I recall reading a post (this thread?) saying market would be back to top by Feb 22nd, I can't seem to find it anymore. Anyway, close but not yet.

What did I say about jinxing? Called it! I am greatpariahprophet #1! 40%! so smrt!

I'm confused.  You think the jinx is in because today the market gave back half of yesterday's gains?  We're still up compared to two days ago, and ten days ago, and three weeks ago.  I'm not seeing the problem here.

In fact, I'm not even sure the February "correction"should really count at all.  Yes, it technically dropped 10% from the peak, but that peak came after a 10% run up the previous month, the recovery was sharply V shaped, and now we're right back on the steady upward trend of the last two years, which have been incredible.  Right now, February just looks like random noise in the growth chart.

it looks like noise if you do not know classic support and resistance. it went down to the 200 mda and bounced up to the 50 and made 3 attempts to breakthrough that ressitance and has now failed, so we are going back down to test the lows again.

now, given the talk of raising rates over the past few weeks, you wanted to be cautious but now with both the fed and boj talking about reducing qe wijich is scheduled in april to start and trump's tariff talk and raising rates; you can expect more downside. all of those will have to be reversed for new highs now.

not calling for a recession but for stocks, having everything in stocks or an index now is a bad idea.
« Last Edit: March 02, 2018, 08:40:42 AM by Cobaka »

dandarc

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2457 on: March 02, 2018, 08:40:54 AM »
still accumulating, so hope you're right Cobaka.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2458 on: March 02, 2018, 08:45:55 AM »
Personally I don't mind a dip in March, but it would be hilarious to see a new top exactly on this threads one year anniversary in April

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2459 on: March 02, 2018, 08:47:41 AM »
Lol @ actual analysis being performed anywhere in this thread

Mr. Boh

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2460 on: March 02, 2018, 08:50:44 AM »
Personally I don't mind a dip in March, but it would be hilarious to see a new top exactly on this threads one year anniversary in April

I hope things happen exactly as you describe.

Wintergreen78

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2461 on: March 02, 2018, 08:59:14 AM »
Personally I don't mind a dip in March, but it would be hilarious to see a new top exactly on this threads one year anniversary in April

This thread exists outside of time. It has no beginning and no end. Oh, and the top is always in.

tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2462 on: March 02, 2018, 09:28:47 AM »
it looks like noise if you do not know classic support and resistance. it went down to the 200 mda and bounced up to the 50 and made 3 attempts to breakthrough that ressitance and has now failed, so we are going back down to test the lows again.

now, given the talk of raising rates over the past few weeks, you wanted to be cautious but now with both the fed and boj talking about reducing qe wijich is scheduled in april to start and trump's tariff talk and raising rates; you can expect more downside. all of those will have to be reversed for new highs now.

not calling for a recession but for stocks, having everything in stocks or an index now is a bad idea.

Pffttt!  Get outta here with your weak @SS QE concerns.  REALLY fearful people know it's NEVER the right time to own stocks.  See, here's proof:




I mean, LOOK at all the MAJOR crap that went down throughout history.  Holding stocks was clearly the wrong move!!! [/sarcasm]
Frugalite in training.

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2463 on: March 02, 2018, 09:33:41 AM »

I mean, LOOK at all the MAJOR crap that went down throughout history.  Holding stocks was clearly the wrong move!!! [/sarcasm]

Haha I see this thread as an Onion article where people comment on it as if it isn't satire /should be viewed as satire

aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2464 on: March 02, 2018, 09:44:23 AM »
Personally I don't mind a dip in March, but it would be hilarious to see a new top exactly on this threads one year anniversary in April

This thread exists outside of time. It has no beginning and no end. Oh, and the top is always in.


fattest_foot

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2465 on: March 02, 2018, 09:58:10 AM »
it looks like noise if you do not know classic support and resistance. it went down to the 200 mda and bounced up to the 50 and made 3 attempts to breakthrough that ressitance and has now failed, so we are going back down to test the lows again.

now, given the talk of raising rates over the past few weeks, you wanted to be cautious but now with both the fed and boj talking about reducing qe wijich is scheduled in april to start and trump's tariff talk and raising rates; you can expect more downside. all of those will have to be reversed for new highs now.

not calling for a recession but for stocks, having everything in stocks or an index now is a bad idea.

I can't wait for your post about how you were able to take advantage of this super obvious information and make your billions.

Is there a way to subscribe to a certain user so I don't miss that write up?

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2466 on: March 02, 2018, 10:19:57 AM »
Personally I don't mind a dip in March, but it would be hilarious to see a new top exactly on this threads one year anniversary in April

This thread exists outside of time. It has no beginning and no end. Oh, and the top is always in.




Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2467 on: March 02, 2018, 11:00:23 AM »
A circle is a simple closed shape. It is the set of all points in a plane that are at a given distance from a given point, the centre; equivalently it is the curve traced out by a point that moves so that its distance from a given point is constant. The distance between any of the points and the centre is called the radius.

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2468 on: March 02, 2018, 11:23:45 AM »
Looking up Flat Circles I came across this...



"Your first crochet round with the adjustable magic loop, also known as the magic circle or ring. Crocheting a flat circle of any size can be done with the help of a very simple and predictable formula.—"

This formula could be used to explain and predict when the "Top is In!"

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2469 on: March 02, 2018, 01:26:51 PM »


The head is clearly at the top.  Snake top is in

Mr. Green

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2470 on: March 02, 2018, 01:36:20 PM »


The head is clearly at the top.  Snake top is in
I guess that snake is never hungry. Would that be a snake appetite top?
RE in June 2016. Wife is joining me at the end of June!

ILikeDividends

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2471 on: March 02, 2018, 02:01:10 PM »
Möbius says: "The top is dead ahead.  Just keep going until you get there."


Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2472 on: March 02, 2018, 03:38:47 PM »


The head is clearly at the top.  Snake top is in
Ouroboros top!

JG in Hangzhou

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2473 on: March 03, 2018, 01:59:04 AM »

I mean, LOOK at all the MAJOR crap that went down throughout history.  Holding stocks was clearly the wrong move!!! [/sarcasm]

Haha I see this thread as an Onion article where people comment on it as if it isn't satire /should be viewed as satire

Seems we still haven't recovered from Y2K!   

Mr. Boh

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2474 on: March 06, 2018, 06:34:22 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?

Gary Cohn is out, top is in!

Radagast

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2475 on: March 06, 2018, 07:19:24 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?

Gary Cohn is out, top is in!
Trump is in

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2476 on: March 06, 2018, 09:38:02 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?

Nothing!  Top of thread was in.  Posts down, memes falling below critical support levels confirming a downtrend.  Personally I'm considering rebalancing to a 60/40 AntiMustachian Wall of Shame and Comedy/ Share your Badassity portfolio

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2477 on: March 07, 2018, 07:42:42 AM »
Cohn is down (out) - top is in.

we're in for a wild few days...
"Do not confuse complexity with superiority"

dreadmoose

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2478 on: March 07, 2018, 09:32:54 AM »
I for one have not accepted our new way too large of a picture ouroboros overlords and was hoping we'd hit a new page soon.

So like top is soon to be in?
Just starting on my FIRE journey, hopefully posting here creates accountability and eventually lowers my very anti-mustachian life habits.

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2479 on: March 07, 2018, 09:49:15 AM »
Things are happening!! Events, occurring!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! SELL BUY SELL TOP BOTTOM TOP

tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2480 on: March 07, 2018, 09:50:02 AM »
Top is in

Bottom is in.

S&P 500:
October 23, 2017 - 2564
March 7, 2018     - 2716

More importantly - My Stache:

October 23, 2017 - $346,860
March 7, 2018     - $373,223

I'm getting tired of so much winning!
« Last Edit: March 07, 2018, 09:56:58 AM by tyort1 »
Frugalite in training.

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2481 on: March 07, 2018, 10:46:58 AM »
Top is in

Bottom is in.

S&P 500:
October 23, 2017 - 2564
March 7, 2018     - 2716

More importantly - My Stache:

October 23, 2017 - $346,860
March 7, 2018     - $373,223

I'm getting tired of so much winning!

You beat the S & P by almost 2%. Nice!

Dicey

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2482 on: March 07, 2018, 11:13:13 AM »
I know we're not supposed to market time, but index funds are boring as shit. We fuck around with our Roth contributions just for fun. 2017 and 2018 for each of us have just been deployed into the market from their standby positions in cash. Pease note that we are FI, I am FIRE, and this $26k "gamble" is less than a drop in our actual bucket. We know it's bad to market time, but it's the only fun we allow ourselves in the market. Whee! Look ma, no hands!
I did it! I have a journal!
A Lot Like This
And hell yes, I am still moving confidently in the direction of my dreams...

tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2483 on: March 07, 2018, 11:32:30 AM »
Top is in

Bottom is in.

S&P 500:
October 23, 2017 - 2564
March 7, 2018     - 2716

More importantly - My Stache:

October 23, 2017 - $346,860
March 7, 2018     - $373,223

I'm getting tired of so much winning!

You beat the S & P by almost 2%. Nice!

Thanks!!  It's because I'm shoving about $24k per year into my investments as I'm still in accumulation phase.
Frugalite in training.

MrMoneyMullet

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2484 on: March 07, 2018, 12:21:23 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?

Nothing!  Top of thread was in.  Posts down, memes falling below critical support levels confirming a downtrend.  Personally I'm considering rebalancing to a 60/40 AntiMustachian Wall of Shame and Comedy/ Share your Badassity portfolio

Right now we're just testing the technical support level of Bacon and haven't yet broken through the 200-day moving "Cat meme" average.



Edit: Top is in.
Mullet-related tagline courtesy of forum member Miss Piggy.

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dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2485 on: March 07, 2018, 12:24:26 PM »
I for one have not accepted our new way too large of a picture ouroboros overlords and was hoping we'd hit a new page soon.

So like top is soon to be in?

Don’t worry he’ll get smaller once he catches his tail

anisotropy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2486 on: March 07, 2018, 12:32:58 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?


At the risk of jinxing my own track record, I will provide a quick explanation as to why no one posted for three days based on empirical observation:

Because someone (not saying whom, but someone) actually called the local top and the local bottom. On the plus side, now we know how this thread will finally die: as soon as someone called the major top/bottom.

Enjoy.

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2487 on: March 07, 2018, 12:45:46 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?


At the risk of jinxing my own track record, I will provide a quick explanation as to why no one posted for three days based on empirical observation:

Because someone (not saying whom, but someone) actually called the local top and the local bottom. On the plus side, now we know how this thread will finally die: as soon as someone called the major top/bottom.

Enjoy.

So basically... we each take turns randomly calling the top and bottom; then when one of us is finally right he or she or it gets crowned the winner?

Seems sound.
"Do not confuse complexity with superiority"

tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2488 on: March 07, 2018, 12:57:55 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?


At the risk of jinxing my own track record, I will provide a quick explanation as to why no one posted for three days based on empirical observation:

Because someone (not saying whom, but someone) actually called the local top and the local bottom. On the plus side, now we know how this thread will finally die: as soon as someone called the major top/bottom.

Enjoy.

So basically... we each take turns randomly calling the top and bottom; then when one of us is finally right he or she or it gets crowned the winner?

Seems sound.

They also get to host a financial TV show.
Frugalite in training.

anisotropy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2489 on: March 07, 2018, 01:00:21 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?


At the risk of jinxing my own track record, I will provide a quick explanation as to why no one posted for three days based on empirical observation:

Because someone (not saying whom, but someone) actually called the local top and the local bottom. On the plus side, now we know how this thread will finally die: as soon as someone called the major top/bottom.

Enjoy.

So basically... we each take turns randomly calling the top and bottom; then when one of us is finally right he or she or it gets crowned the winner?

Seems sound.

You can calculate each person's right/wrong call ratio if you prefer, or even add other variables such as # of calls made total, the tools are ready-made, just take them from sports stats analytics. There are people who can time (better than chance), and there are people who can't time (worse than chance). Just like there are people who can shoot hoops better than others.

The crowd often makes the mistake of grouping them in the same category and say "omg on average the chances of anyone getting things right are below 50%!!!"

Yes, we can't always tell who's whom at first glance, but the clues are there, if you know where to look. Think of it as talent scouts and drafters.
« Last Edit: March 07, 2018, 01:06:49 PM by anisotropy »

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2490 on: March 07, 2018, 01:13:10 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?


At the risk of jinxing my own track record, I will provide a quick explanation as to why no one posted for three days based on empirical observation:

Because someone (not saying whom, but someone) actually called the local top and the local bottom. On the plus side, now we know how this thread will finally die: as soon as someone called the major top/bottom.

Enjoy.

So basically... we each take turns randomly calling the top and bottom; then when one of us is finally right he or she or it gets crowned the winner?

Seems sound.

You can calculate each person's right/wrong call ratio if you prefer, or even add other variables such as # of calls made total, the tools are ready-made, just take them from sports stats analytics. There are people who can time (better than chance), and there are people who can't time (worse than chance). Just like there are people who can shoot hoops better than others.

The crowd often makes the mistake of grouping them in the same category and say "omg on average the chances of anyone getting things right are below 50%!!!"

Yes, we can't always tell who's whom at first glance, but the clues are there, if you know where to look. Think of it as talent scouts and drafters.

Quoted to have a long quote

Top is in

Mr. Boh

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2491 on: March 07, 2018, 02:15:02 PM »
No one has posted here in three days. Whats wrong with you slackers?

Nothing!  Top of thread was in.  Posts down, memes falling below critical support levels confirming a downtrend.  Personally I'm considering rebalancing to a 60/40 AntiMustachian Wall of Shame and Comedy/ Share your Badassity portfolio

Right now we're just testing the technical support level of Bacon and haven't yet broken through the 200-day moving "Cat meme" average.



Edit: Top is in.


This picture is so perfect I wish I had a giant poster of it.

maizeman

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2492 on: March 07, 2018, 02:52:22 PM »
Right now we're just testing the technical support level of Bacon and haven't yet broken through the 200-day moving "Cat meme" average.



Edit: Top is in.

I think it's pretty clear the market won't make it over this latest hurdle.


Rubyvroom

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2493 on: March 07, 2018, 03:08:10 PM »
I'm fairly certain the next page of this thread will be 49.

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2494 on: March 07, 2018, 03:39:39 PM »
I'm fairly certain the next page of this thread will be 49.

Hmm.... since we are already on page 50?  Are you counting on a mass-deletion of posts?
"Do not confuse complexity with superiority"

Rubyvroom

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2495 on: March 07, 2018, 04:55:37 PM »
I'm fairly certain the next page of this thread will be 49.

Hmm.... since we are already on page 50?  Are you counting on a mass-deletion of posts?

Thread top is in! It's all downhill from here folks.


tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2496 on: March 07, 2018, 06:18:59 PM »
I'm fairly certain the next page of this thread will be 49.

Hmm.... since we are already on page 50?  Are you counting on a mass-deletion of posts?

This thread is not a flat circle, its a palindrome.
Frugalite in training.

solon

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2497 on: March 07, 2018, 06:24:40 PM »
I'm fairly certain the next page of this thread will be 49.

Hmm.... since we are already on page 50?  Are you counting on a mass-deletion of posts?

Thread top is in! It's all downhill from here folks.




aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2498 on: March 07, 2018, 08:20:16 PM »
I'm fairly certain the next page of this thread will be 49.

Hmm.... since we are already on page 50?  Are you counting on a mass-deletion of posts?

This thread is not a flat circle, its a palindrome.

Regarding this and other posts in this thread:

¿Was it a cat I saw?

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2499 on: March 08, 2018, 05:20:36 AM »
Top is in

Bottom is in.

S&P 500:
October 23, 2017 - 2564
March 7, 2018     - 2716

More importantly - My Stache:

October 23, 2017 - $346,860
March 7, 2018     - $373,223

I'm getting tired of so much winning!

You beat the S & P by almost 2%. Nice!

Thanks!!  It's because I'm shoving about $24k per year into my investments as I'm still in accumulation phase.

In that case, you're under performing. Tsk Tsk!