Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 3134518 times)

Maenad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2300 on: February 14, 2018, 11:47:44 AM »
Looks like another big drop on the horizon today.

I thought this was going to be the case, too. And yet as of almost 2PM Eastern time, the S&P is up just over 1%. And VIX has dropped below 20 (historical average, though still above most of 2017).

If I understood this, I wouldn't be in index funds, and would be a billionaire. *shrug*

Davids

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2301 on: February 14, 2018, 01:13:52 PM »
Looks like another big drop on the horizon today.

I thought this was going to be the case, too. And yet as of almost 2PM Eastern time, the S&P is up just over 1%. And VIX has dropped below 20 (historical average, though still above most of 2017).

If I understood this, I wouldn't be in index funds, and would be a billionaire. *shrug*
Glad to be wrong today. Right now we are basically at January 2 numbers.

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2302 on: February 15, 2018, 09:26:47 AM »
What happened to the melt up?

Tyson

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2303 on: February 15, 2018, 09:37:49 AM »
Looks like another big drop on the horizon today.

I thought this was going to be the case, too. And yet as of almost 2PM Eastern time, the S&P is up just over 1%. And VIX has dropped below 20 (historical average, though still above most of 2017).

If I understood this, I wouldn't be in index funds, and would be a billionaire. *shrug*
Glad to be wrong today. Right now we are basically at January 2 numbers.

Why are you even trying to be "right" at all?  Aren't you buy/hold long term index?

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2304 on: February 15, 2018, 09:43:08 AM »
What happened to the melt up?
It was tasty with bacon. 

retireatbirth

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2305 on: February 15, 2018, 10:21:42 AM »
FOMO is back

OurTown

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2306 on: February 15, 2018, 11:24:32 AM »
Found on my Oreos?

GuitarStv

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2307 on: February 15, 2018, 12:16:00 PM »
Funky old man odor

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2308 on: February 15, 2018, 12:22:00 PM »
Fear Of Missouri.

Mr. Green

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2309 on: February 15, 2018, 12:32:39 PM »
Full On Mustache Oogling

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2310 on: February 15, 2018, 12:43:56 PM »
First Of Many Options

alanB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2311 on: February 15, 2018, 12:54:09 PM »
Frontload on margined options

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2312 on: February 15, 2018, 12:56:14 PM »
I'm pretty sure FOMO is a lifestyle brand of some sort.


frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2313 on: February 15, 2018, 01:02:21 PM »
I love this thread and you guys.  No FOMO.

Maenad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2314 on: February 15, 2018, 01:22:07 PM »
Far Out Martian Observer

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2315 on: February 15, 2018, 02:36:57 PM »
FOMO

   Fear of missing out



Starting to smell like a repeat melt up!

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2316 on: February 15, 2018, 03:16:57 PM »
Fudge Our Marmot's Obese

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2317 on: February 15, 2018, 03:56:23 PM »
Fudge Our Marmot's Obese

For Only Mustachian Observers.

wienerdog

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2318 on: February 15, 2018, 05:04:12 PM »
Did anyone catch when Thorstach said to get back in?  I have been waiting the call but haven't seen anything and I feel I have missed out the last couple days.

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2319 on: February 15, 2018, 05:19:59 PM »
  Looking up from the new bottom doesn't seem so bad.  It seems like we have a way to go before reaching theprevious top


Financial.Velociraptor

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2320 on: February 15, 2018, 07:25:10 PM »
Did anyone catch when Thorstach said to get back in?  I have been waiting the call but haven't seen anything and I feel I have missed out the last couple days.

NEVER GET BACK IN!!!  Top is in.  The mighty Thorstach has foreseen it.

aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2321 on: February 15, 2018, 08:37:12 PM »
The mother of all tops is in.

S&P at the time of this posting: 2,768.69
S&P now, less than two weeks later: 2,731.20

Delta: -1.35%

Clearly that was THE MOTHER OF ALL TOPS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1!!!!1!!!



Phenix

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2322 on: February 15, 2018, 09:28:39 PM »
A confirmed downtrend from all time highs is anything but noise, fellow. Anyway, there goes support and VXX breakout going into a long weekend.

If you're not going to put your money where your mouth is, at least add your concrete prediction to this thread so we can all laugh at how bad it is. (along with all the others too, including mine, so there won't be any reason to feel bad about being wrong)  And hey, maybe you'll actually be right!  Stranger things have happened.


https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/investor-alley/calling-the-top/


Mine is not a prediction but an analysis based on facts and charts to conclude that we have already seen the top of this bull rally. Posting in that thread would be "cheating" since i've made the call after the fact.

Still one of my favorite thorstach posts.  We certainly don't want any "cheating" since he had already made his conclusion.

Stache-O-Lantern

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2323 on: February 15, 2018, 10:37:40 PM »
Did anyone catch when Thorstach said to get back in?  I have been waiting the call but haven't seen anything and I feel I have missed out the last couple days.

I'm waiting for him to tell us that we're headed for a double mother of all tops.  But in that way that only he can.

ILikeDividends

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2324 on: February 15, 2018, 11:06:09 PM »
Did anyone catch when Thorstach said to get back in?  I have been waiting the call but haven't seen anything and I feel I have missed out the last couple days.

I'm waiting for him to tell us that we're headed for a double mother of all tops.  But in that way that only he can.

Thorstach has moved on to a greater calling, and I am eagerly awaiting the forecast of his latest thesis: The looming collapse of the known universe.

The expansion is in! Prepare for the Doppler crash.  Everything will be blue-tinted soon. Be the trend-setter of the apocalypse. Beat the panic buyers, and get your tiny blue shoes at a bargain now! 

Caveat: depending on the location of your home planet, it could take a millennia or two for the blue light and gravitational effects to reach you.  Plan your style changes accordingly.
« Last Edit: February 15, 2018, 11:45:33 PM by ILikeDividends »

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2325 on: February 16, 2018, 07:08:06 AM »
^^^ Good advice. But I have a question -

Should the blue shoes I select be suede? What happens if someone steps on them before the apocalyptic top?

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2326 on: February 16, 2018, 07:46:57 AM »




techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2327 on: February 16, 2018, 07:52:07 AM »
Calling the top is hard to do. I think "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" explains it well.

Quote
Quote
There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here, it will instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable.

There is another theory mentioned, which states that this has already happened



The only thing we can do is to know where your towel is.

Thanks for the all the fish!

dandarc

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2328 on: February 16, 2018, 07:54:27 AM »
Calling the top is hard to do. I think "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" explains it well.

Quote
Quote
There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here, it will instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable.

There is another theory mentioned, which states that this has already happened



The only thing we can do is to know where your towel is.

Thanks for the all the fish!
Forgot the towel today for a 4.1 mile on-foot commute.  Still not dry.  Wish I could blame it on rain.

matchewed

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2329 on: February 16, 2018, 08:35:29 AM »
Calling the top is hard to do. I think "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" explains it well.

Quote
Quote
There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here, it will instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable.

There is another theory mentioned, which states that this has already happened



The only thing we can do is to know where your towel is.

Thanks for the all the fish!
Forgot the towel today for a 4.1 mile on-foot commute.  Still not dry.  Wish I could blame it on rain.


Rufus.T.Firefly

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2330 on: February 16, 2018, 08:42:03 AM »
I call the Mother of All Tops for this thread. It doesn't get any better than what has already been posted. All comments are going downhill from here.

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2331 on: February 16, 2018, 09:18:10 AM »
We have not yet discussed the possibility of having reached the lip sync top and how it affects the imminent inverted yield Fibonnacci sequence approaching its 200-day moving average.

Girl, you know it's true.

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2332 on: February 16, 2018, 09:30:48 AM »
I call the Mother of All Tops for this thread. It doesn't get any better than what has already been posted. All comments are going downhill from here.

Translation: Top is in

retireatbirth

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2333 on: February 16, 2018, 10:29:30 AM »
S&P has broken through the 50 day MA and is heading for the 20. Godspeed, Mustachians!

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2334 on: February 16, 2018, 01:14:31 PM »
Can we get a poll up in here?

thd7t

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2335 on: February 16, 2018, 02:08:56 PM »
Hi all,
I've taken about a year off from posting here, but had to come with a burning question:
Is the top in?

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2336 on: February 16, 2018, 02:18:00 PM »
Can we get a poll up in here?

Sure.

What is the status of the market currently?

A) Top is in
B) Top is in
C) Top is in
D) Top is in
E) All of the above

dandarc

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2337 on: February 16, 2018, 02:23:09 PM »
I'll go with ZZ) Top is in.

PathtoFIRE

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2338 on: February 16, 2018, 02:39:13 PM »

Sure.

What is the status of the market currently?

A) Bacon
B) Bacon
C) Bacon
D) Bacon
E) All of the bacon
[/quote]

FTFY

DavidAnnArbor

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2339 on: February 16, 2018, 03:58:06 PM »
Naturally blue corn chips are blue because they are aflatoxin flavored.  Not recommended.



A regular diet including apiaceous vegetables, such as carrots, parsnips, celery, and parsley may reduce the carcinogenic effects of aflatoxin

Money Maker Mike

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2340 on: February 16, 2018, 08:17:39 PM »
Naturally blue corn chips are blue because they are aflatoxin flavored.  Not recommended.



A regular diet including apiaceous vegetables, such as carrots, parsnips, celery, and parsley may reduce the carcinogenic effects of aflatoxin
I feel like this entire corn discussion is being promoted by Wall Street insiders trying to distract us from the fact that THE TOP IS IN!!!!

maizefolk

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2341 on: February 17, 2018, 10:43:42 AM »
I feel like this entire corn discussion is being promoted by Wall Street insiders trying to distract us from the fact that THE TOP IS IN!!!!

No no no, you're missing the point. The top is in for corn. It's all downhill since summer 2016. It's the only possible interpretation of the data.


Laserjet3051

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2342 on: February 18, 2018, 09:43:36 AM »
Naturally blue corn chips are blue because they are aflatoxin flavored.  Not recommended.



A regular diet including apiaceous vegetables, such as carrots, parsnips, celery, and parsley may reduce the carcinogenic effects of aflatoxin

Sounds like the the utility of doing cocaine to reduce the potential of heroin to depress heart function and cause death. We already know how such a combination worked out for John Belushi and his speedball approach to balancing the dangers of a toxin.

Maenad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2343 on: February 19, 2018, 04:56:25 AM »
If carrots are like cocaine I've been doing these eating thing all wrong.

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2344 on: February 19, 2018, 10:28:19 AM »
Carrots are a hell of a vegetable.

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2345 on: February 19, 2018, 11:29:18 AM »
The Carrot Top is in!


sovereign

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2346 on: February 19, 2018, 01:40:54 PM »
S&P has broken through the 50 day MA and is heading for the 20. Godspeed, Mustachians!

The market rejected the 20 day moving average and slammed down hard (back to the 50DMA).

How often does the S&P 500 have a sharp correction and rebound making a sharp V bottom and then continue to climb like nothing happened?  Extremely rarely.  The correction isn't over yet.  It's the eye of the storm.

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2347 on: February 19, 2018, 01:48:25 PM »
Nonsense. Can't you see how eerily calm it is?

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2348 on: February 19, 2018, 02:17:44 PM »
Past results are predictive of future performance

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #2349 on: February 19, 2018, 05:50:35 PM »
S&P has broken through the 50 day MA and is heading for the 20. Godspeed, Mustachians!

The market rejected the 20 day moving average and slammed down hard (back to the 50DMA).

How often does the S&P 500 have a sharp correction and rebound making a sharp V bottom and then continue to climb like nothing happened?  Extremely rarely.  The correction isn't over yet.  It's the eye of the storm.

I mean, if we're drawing lines on charts, see below.  Looks like we are right where we should be.  Top is in.