Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 127603 times)

Davids

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1250 on: November 25, 2017, 07:37:03 AM »
Many of these same analysts who claimed market would crash if Trump won or have been saying top is in are now thinking the market will increase at least 10% in 2018. Some have the S&P getting up to 2950. Have not seen a 3000 prediction yet for 2018.

FireLane

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1251 on: November 25, 2017, 09:25:02 AM »
After reading 25+ pages of this thread, I'm picturing thorstach as Captain Ahab, forever sailing the oceans in obsessive pursuit of the elusive Great White Top.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1252 on: November 25, 2017, 09:35:32 AM »
Jeff Bezos just flipped his top.  >$100B NW. 
Top will be delivered free in 2 days?

Only if you have Top Prime, if not you get a dead cat in the mail in 8-10 business days

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1253 on: November 27, 2017, 12:38:21 PM »
After reading 25+ pages of this thread, I'm picturing thorstach as Captain Ahab, forever sailing the oceans in obsessive pursuit of the elusive Great White Top.
found the big white top....don't know if it is great


aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1254 on: November 28, 2017, 10:46:32 AM »
2616 but the top is not in

fattest_foot

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1255 on: November 28, 2017, 10:48:55 AM »
So we're now at the point where even a massive 20% drop would only take us to mid-2016 levels.

Your average 10% correction would be where we were in March or April of this year.

Retire-Canada

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1256 on: November 28, 2017, 10:51:08 AM »

OurTown

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1257 on: November 28, 2017, 01:37:23 PM »
If they (Congress) muck up their proposed tax cuts, we will likely get a correction.  TOP IS IN!  If they pass something, I suspect it's already "baked in" to the current market.  Will we continue to glide upward?  Or will we get a little profit-taking, TOP IS IN!

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1258 on: November 28, 2017, 03:11:15 PM »

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1259 on: November 28, 2017, 03:42:41 PM »
« Last Edit: November 30, 2017, 02:03:27 PM by aboatguy »

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1260 on: November 28, 2017, 05:57:39 PM »
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Wasn't this a scene from a movie about Vietnam?.. Yeah Victory, thats what it was!

ILikeDividends

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1261 on: November 28, 2017, 06:03:57 PM »
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Wasn't this a scene from a movie about Vietnam?.. Yeah Victory, thats what it was!
Called "Apocalypse Now."  Actually a really good movie.  Robert Duval (pictured above).  The actual quote was, "I love the smell of napalm in the morning."  Marlon Brando.  Martin Sheen.

Dial it up on Netflix, if you haven't seen it yet.  Great movie.

tyort1

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1262 on: November 28, 2017, 07:26:03 PM »

Called "Apocalypse Now."  Actually a really good movie.  Robert Duval (pictured above).  The actual quote was, "I love the smell of napalm in the morning."  Marlon Brando.  Martin Sheen.

Dial it up on Netflix, if you haven't seen it yet.  Great movie.

It's an adaption of Joseph Conrad's Heart of Darkness moved to Vietnam during the war.  Agreed it's a great film - Brando's insane portrayal of Kurtz is something he never topped.  Martin Sheen's character is pretty insane too.  Hell, the whole movie is a study in insanity. 
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Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1263 on: November 28, 2017, 07:27:59 PM »

Called "Apocalypse Now."  Actually a really good movie.  Robert Duval (pictured above).  The actual quote was, "I love the smell of napalm in the morning."  Marlon Brando.  Martin Sheen.

Dial it up on Netflix, if you haven't seen it yet.  Great movie.

It's an adaption of Joseph Conrad's Heart of Darkness moved to Vietnam during the war.  Agreed it's a great film - Brando's insane portrayal of Kurtz is something he never topped.  Martin Sheen's character is pretty insane too.  Hell, the whole movie is a study in insanity.

Just like the entire war.. European perspective.

ILikeDividends

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1264 on: November 28, 2017, 07:45:45 PM »

Called "Apocalypse Now."  Actually a really good movie.  Robert Duval (pictured above).  The actual quote was, "I love the smell of napalm in the morning."  Marlon Brando.  Martin Sheen.

Dial it up on Netflix, if you haven't seen it yet.  Great movie.

It's an adaption of Joseph Conrad's Heart of Darkness moved to Vietnam during the war.  Agreed it's a great film - Brando's insane portrayal of Kurtz is something he never topped.  Martin Sheen's character is pretty insane too.  Hell, the whole movie is a study in insanity.

Just like the entire war.. European perspective.
History suggests there is an abundance of Americans that share that perspective.  Probably no small part of the reasons for the success of the film.  ;)
« Last Edit: November 28, 2017, 07:53:44 PM by ILikeDividends »

Financial.Velociraptor

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1265 on: November 29, 2017, 07:29:03 PM »
Is the top in?  Can I short SPY yet?
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ILikeDividends

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1266 on: November 29, 2017, 07:31:19 PM »
Is the top in?  Can I short SPY yet?
You should have done that yesterday.

Bottom is in!!!!  Yay!

afuera

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1267 on: November 30, 2017, 07:59:27 AM »
I said a tip top
Tippie to the tippie
The tip, tip a top, and you don't stop, a rock it out


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Retire-Canada

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1268 on: November 30, 2017, 08:04:07 AM »
Top is in.

Timodeus

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1269 on: November 30, 2017, 08:11:49 AM »

Called "Apocalypse Now."  Actually a really good movie.  Robert Duval (pictured above).  The actual quote was, "I love the smell of napalm in the morning."  Marlon Brando.  Martin Sheen.

Dial it up on Netflix, if you haven't seen it yet.  Great movie.

It's an adaption of Joseph Conrad's Heart of Darkness moved to Vietnam during the war.  Agreed it's a great film - Brando's insane portrayal of Kurtz is something he never topped.  Martin Sheen's character is pretty insane too.  Hell, the whole movie is a study in insanity.

I see what you did there....

solon

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1270 on: November 30, 2017, 09:07:26 AM »
2600 is a distant hazy memory. Can 2700 be far off?

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1271 on: November 30, 2017, 09:43:28 AM »
Dow breaks above 24,000, on track for longest streak of monthly gains in 22 years

The top is in!

December could be lower with investors taking some of the profit off the table. 

...Or I could be wrong and December will bring new highs with the Santa Claus Rally

BTDretire

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1272 on: November 30, 2017, 10:39:10 AM »
Dow breaks above 24,000, on track for longest streak of monthly gains in 22 years

The top is in!

December could be lower with investors taking some of the profit off the table. 

...Or I could be wrong and December will bring new highs with the Santa Claus Rally
  Investors may wait to see if the tax law passes, then decide if they would be better off waiting until January.

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1273 on: November 30, 2017, 11:40:18 AM »
I find it hilarious that some people on this forum have been advocating dumping all stocks since 2013.  I bet they're kicking themselves now.

Stay the course, people!  Keep your asset allocation constant through the ups AND the downs.  Always be buying, no matter what happens, because you never know when the next corner will arrive.

Personally, I'm hoping for a dramatic stock pullback in the near future just to ease the emotional tension from skyrocketing prices.  I'll feel better once it's over and I don't have to steel my resolve against the next recession.

dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1274 on: November 30, 2017, 11:49:23 AM »
I find it hilarious that some people on this forum have been advocating dumping all stocks since 2013.  I bet they're kicking themselves now.

Stay the course, people!  Keep your asset allocation constant through the ups AND the downs.  Always be buying, no matter what happens, because you never know when the next corner will arrive.

Personally, I'm hoping for a dramatic stock pullback in the near future just to ease the emotional tension from skyrocketing prices.  I'll feel better once it's over and I don't have to steel my resolve against the next recession.

Apparently steeling your resolve against skyrocketing prices can be difficult too.  It's getting tough to keep convincing myself to keep buying in.  I hope the market gives us working stiffs a break soon, but who knows when that will actually happen. 

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1275 on: November 30, 2017, 11:56:31 AM »

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1276 on: November 30, 2017, 01:57:35 PM »
2600 is a distant hazy memory. Can 2700 be far off?

Just passed 2650 and fluctuating in the high 40s, so 2700 is either really close or the Top is in.  Too bad my TSP contributions go in tonight instead of last week when prices were lower.

My gut feeling is the TOP is not in



Mike
« Last Edit: November 30, 2017, 02:05:42 PM by aboatguy »

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1277 on: November 30, 2017, 02:13:38 PM »


You might want to get those molars examined.

mies

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1278 on: November 30, 2017, 03:57:27 PM »
2600 is a distant hazy memory. Can 2700 be far off?

Just passed 2650 and fluctuating in the high 40s, so 2700 is either really close or the Top is in.  Too bad my TSP contributions go in tonight instead of last week when prices were lower.

My gut feeling is the TOP is not in



Mike

I was bummed to see the high S&P 500 value today too. I was hoping for a nice drop today, not a .8% increase. Life is so unfair! :(

I'm kidding. I know it's a privilege to be able to invest anything at all.
Less is more.

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1279 on: November 30, 2017, 08:46:04 PM »
2600 is a distant hazy memory. Can 2700 be far off?

Just passed 2650 and fluctuating in the high 40s, so 2700 is either really close or the Top is in.  Too bad my TSP contributions go in tonight instead of last week when prices were lower.

My gut feeling is the TOP is not in



Mike

I don't think you properly considered 5th dimensional momentum effects

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1280 on: November 30, 2017, 09:37:30 PM »
Well the GOP have hit a problem with the tax bill.. pullback tomorrow

dividendman

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1281 on: November 30, 2017, 09:45:33 PM »
Well the GOP have hit a problem with the tax bill.. pullback tomorrow

So wait.... you're saying the Top is in?

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1282 on: November 30, 2017, 10:12:16 PM »
Well the GOP have hit a problem with the tax bill.. pullback tomorrow

So wait.... you're saying the Top is in?

Yeah I sold everything today..;)

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1283 on: November 30, 2017, 10:15:32 PM »
Well the GOP have hit a problem with the tax bill.. pullback tomorrow

So wait.... you're saying the Top is in?

Yeah I sold everything today..;)
Did you put it all in bitcoin, like me?

It's a sure thing. Guaranteed success.

Cookie78

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1284 on: November 30, 2017, 10:42:39 PM »
Well the GOP have hit a problem with the tax bill.. pullback tomorrow

So wait.... you're saying the Top is in?

Yeah I sold everything today..;)
Did you put it all in bitcoin, like me?

It's a sure thing. Guaranteed success.

It's got nowhere to go but up! Or so I heard today.

Bitcoin is topless!

keyvaluepair

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1285 on: December 01, 2017, 09:03:34 AM »
Well the GOP have hit a problem with the tax bill.. pullback tomorrow

So wait.... you're saying the Top is in?

Yeah I sold everything today..;)
I'm waiting for MSFT to start doing their asset repatriation before changing my position.

thorstach

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1286 on: December 01, 2017, 09:13:43 AM »
Top is in

afuera

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1287 on: December 01, 2017, 09:17:22 AM »
"The price of anything is the amount of life you exchange for it" - Henry David Thoreau

6/2017: INV-3.4x, NW-5.0x
Projected FIRE date: 2025
Journal.

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1288 on: December 01, 2017, 11:45:58 AM »

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1289 on: December 01, 2017, 12:23:31 PM »
Top is in

This time it's for real!  Maybe.


sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1290 on: December 01, 2017, 12:30:38 PM »

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1291 on: December 01, 2017, 01:33:44 PM »
Top is in

It's time to update my chart!
An interesting pattern emerges - Thorstach has commented roughly a half-dozen times before taking a ~6 week hiatus. If the pattern holds he'll make several more postings before going dormant again.

Struggling with the conclusion though.  What explains gaps of 6 weeks? Mini-hibernations? 
"Do not confuse complexity with superiority"

Clean Shaven

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1292 on: December 01, 2017, 01:44:34 PM »
An interesting pattern emerges - Thorstach has commented roughly a half-dozen times before taking a ~6 week hiatus. If the pattern holds he'll make several more postings before going dormant again.

Struggling with the conclusion though.  What explains gaps of 6 weeks? Mini-hibernations?

via Imgflip Meme Generator

keyvaluepair

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1293 on: December 01, 2017, 01:48:18 PM »
Thorstach has to travel to the North Pole to get updated top values from Santa and his deputy Elvis. Santa is kinda busy since he has toy factories to run. Elvis is completely unreliable.

I believe that we need a small prize for the best explanation of Thorstachian inter-arrival times.

solon

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1294 on: December 01, 2017, 01:53:03 PM »
If I was thorstach I'd post here every once in a while just to see how long I could keep the thread going. Did you ever see those experiments with lab rats where they get one reward every 1000 presses on the lever? It's just enough to keep the rat busy.

ILikeDividends

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1295 on: December 01, 2017, 01:57:21 PM »
Thorstach has to travel to the North Pole to get updated top values from Santa and his deputy Elvis. Santa is kinda busy since he has toy factories to run. Elvis is completely unreliable.

I believe that we need a small prize for the best explanation of Thorstachian inter-arrival times.

His interplanetary visa needs to be renewed and stamped every six weeks, which equals one year on his home planet, and the nearest embassy is 0.0576 light years away.

He could have opted for a permanent residency permit, but he's waiting for the fees to come down.  Unfortunately the fees just keep going up.
« Last Edit: December 01, 2017, 02:08:37 PM by ILikeDividends »

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1296 on: December 01, 2017, 02:00:43 PM »
It's just enough to keep the rat busy.

This is the obvious simple answer.  We long ago established that thotstach doesn't actually believe any of his own calls and just started this thread for the lulz.  He's a benevolent and entertaining troll.  Don't take any of it too seriously.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1297 on: December 01, 2017, 02:11:42 PM »
Thorstach has to travel to the North Pole to get updated top values from Santa and his deputy Elvis. Santa is kinda busy since he has toy factories to run. Elvis is completely unreliable.

I believe that we need a small prize for the best explanation of Thorstachian inter-arrival times.

His interplanetary visa needs to be renewed and stamped every six weeks, which equals one year on his home planet, and the nearest embassy is 0.0576 light years away.

He could have opted for a permanent residency permit, but he's waiting for the fees to come down.  Unfortunately the fees just keep going up.

This is hilarious

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1298 on: December 01, 2017, 02:25:47 PM »
It's just enough to keep the rat busy.

This is the obvious simple answer.  We long ago established that thotstach doesn't actually believe any of his own calls and just started this thread for the lulz.  He's a benevolent and entertaining troll.  Don't take any of it too seriously.
If i took this seriously I wouldn't bother participating.  Because that would just be dull.
"Do not confuse complexity with superiority"

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #1299 on: December 01, 2017, 04:43:40 PM »
An interesting pattern emerges - Thorstach has commented roughly a half-dozen times before taking a ~6 week hiatus. If the pattern holds he'll make several more postings before going dormant again.

Struggling with the conclusion though.  What explains gaps of 6 weeks? Mini-hibernations?

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ps. frankly I am surprised our dear thorstach didn't post yesterday, given that it was the first "sizeable" drop in awhile

That can only mean the top is truely in, if he calls it, he jinxes it and the market goes up to new highs, if he stays silent, the market must be about to tank

He's the S&P groundhog