Top is in

[dividendman]

Let's see... 3 months into the Republican Congress/Administration we have S&P 500 down ~13%, NASDAQ about 20%.

Based on my calculations, stocks will be at zero before the end of Trump's term... Top is in!

[EscapeVelocity2020]

Let's see... 3 months into the Republican Congress/Administration we have S&P 500 down ~13%, NASDAQ about 20%.

Based on my calculations, stocks will be at zero before the end of Trump's term... Top is in!

You must be using that proprietary 'reciprocal tariff' math... 

[techwiz]

Hold on The Top is in!

[use2betrix]

egg bottom is in...anyone buying the dip?

I have around $60-$70k in a high interest savings right now that I’m debating tossing into VTSAX. I won’t need it any time soon.

Obviously no idea if the bottom is in or what’s gonna happen. Going to chew on that decision for a bit today.

[dividendman]

I have around $60-$70k in a high interest savings right now that I’m debating tossing into VTSAX. I won’t need it any time soon.

Obviously no idea if the bottom is in or what’s gonna happen. Going to chew on that decision for a bit today.

I'm going to go ahead and say this is not anywhere near the bottom. I think we have 30% to go, minimum.... not that I'm doing anything about it.

[ChpBstrd]

egg bottom is in...anyone buying the dip?

I have around $60-$70k in a high interest savings right now that I’m debating tossing into VTSAX. I won’t need it any time soon.

Obviously no idea if the bottom is in or what’s gonna happen. Going to chew on that decision for a bit today.

Careful. Might end up with egg on your face.

[malachite]

I have around $60-$70k in a high interest savings right now that I’m debating tossing into VTSAX. I won’t need it any time soon.

Obviously no idea if the bottom is in or what’s gonna happen. Going to chew on that decision for a bit today.

I had a similar amount amount in cash as part of a recent HSA transfer (don't get me started on the Optum transfer process). I set up a few limit purchases for $5k of VTI at increasingly low prices (two of which have already been triggered). If none of these hit, I was just going to DCA the money in over the next 6 months.

[thorstach]

top is in

[ATtiny85]

top is in

I prostrate myself before you

[EscapeVelocity2020]

top is in

Better late than never!

[MrGreen]

Thorstach appears athe the futures markets tremble in fear! Tomorrow might well make Thursday and Friday's drops look tame.

[Wolfpack Mustachian]

top is in

Better late than never!

But this time he didn't capitalize his t in top. What does that mean for the future stock valuation?!?

[partgypsy]

"we are a nation whose stock market's continued success is contingent upon MAGA winning the next election" Trump, New Hampshire.
"If we don't win the next election, the stock market will crash just like it did in 1929". Trump, South Carolina.  See it would have been much worse with the other guy..

[mistymoney]

the ride continues tomorrow.

buckle up dorothy!

[moof]

If you don't check the market, it exists in a state of top and bottom being in simultaneously.

Does the dead cat both bounce and not bounce simultaneously until you check?

[ChpBstrd]

"we are a nation whose stock market's continued success is contingent upon MAGA winning the next election" Trump, New Hampshire.
"If we don't win the next election, the stock market will crash just like it did in 1929". Trump, South Carolina.  See it would have been much worse with the other guy..

Serious stuff, and makes perfect sense! Vote MAGA, everybody, so we can all get rich.

[jeromedawg]

https://www.cnn.com/2025/03/28/investing/us-stocks-tariff-uncertainty-volatility/index.html

Tracking major US stock indexes since President Donald Trump took office
As of the last market close, the S&P was down 7.7%, the Dow was down 5.5% and the Nasdaq was down 12.3% in Trump's second term.

speaking of flammable piles....

Trump just threw the match...  fwoom!  Goodbye pile of cash

That's too bad - now I am no longer able to fund my planned Cybertruck purchase...

Purchasing cybertrucks is a suckers bet.  You can just cruise the highways looking for pieces that have flown off and assemble your own like a kit car.

Great idea... all my friends have been telling me that I'll be the laughing-stock of town if I am caught driving one around though. I wonder if wrapping it would help mitigate that problem.... that might actually help with keeping the pieces from flying off again too.

[solon]

top is in

We got it. Don't you have anything new for us?

[EscapeVelocity2020]

top is in

Better late than never!

But this time he didn't capitalize his t in top. What does that mean for the future stock valuation?!?

The almighty obviously knew that the market would plummet at the outset, then rebound.  OP is saving the capital T for the big one!

[solon]

Not sure what thread to put this in...
I took advantage of the dip to max out my IRA for the year. That money was supposed to go to the mortgage, I guess I'm a sucker for dips.

[EscapeVelocity2020]

Not sure what thread to put this in...
I took advantage of the dip to max out my IRA for the year. That money was supposed to go to the mortgage, I guess I'm a sucker for dips.

bottom is in?  LOL, are you are on Trump's Signal chat?  Hope this works out well for you but I'm still sitting on the sidelines.  10 year yield rocketed higher today, so it's not the worst place to be while waiting for (self imposed) inflation to kick back in...  Losing 5% sucks

[mistymoney]

the ride continues tomorrow.

buckle up dorothy!

wow! I nailed it!

[mistymoney]

"we are a nation whose stock market's continued success is contingent upon MAGA winning the next election" Trump, New Hampshire.
"If we don't win the next election, the stock market will crash just like it did in 1929". Trump, South Carolina.  See it would have been much worse with the other guy..

Serious stuff, and makes perfect sense! Vote MAGA, everybody, so we can all get rich.

Trump was right about one thing, I'm tired of 'winning'.....if in fact this is what he calls winning......

are we winning?

who's winning?

what is winning? idk anymore!

[Zamboni]

top is in, bottom is in, none of it matters to Charlie. His is still winning.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9QS0q3mGPGg

[41_swish]

The real question is where is the bottom? I wish I knew, but sadly I do not. Time to dump money in every month and ride it out

[AuspiciousEight]

The bottom will be where the top previously was at a previous time.

So really we're all just going back in time.

So much winning. I am so tired of winning....

[41_swish]

Okay, so maybe I should have actually gone all in on beanie babies instead of the U.S. economy

[Tyson]

Good time to buy some stocks.

[dividendman]

Good time to buy some stocks.

Once the S&P500 is down another 30% then I'll agree. I think it'll happen.

[tooqk4u22]

thorstach calling the "top is in!" is well proven indicator of being near a bottom.

Good time to buy some stocks.

Once the S&P500 is down another 30% then I'll agree. I think it'll happen.

Be careful what you wish for!    S&P 500 down to 4000 - 4500 is not crazy and really your 30% down from here threshold (approx. 3500) isn't crazy either.  Decision making for companies has come to a halt because nobody knows what today looks like. let alone tomorrow.   Q1 earnings will see a nice bump as the it started good and ended with pull forward.  But the rest of the year is going to be tough.   2025 estimates were $280/sh and S&P500 peaked out at 22 p/e forward.   Now earnings will likely come in lower (what I don't know) but lets say 5% over 2024, so $245/sh and due to interest rates and instability a lower P/E of 14 (P/Es typically get to 14 at recessionary lows)......so S&P 500 of $3,430 (56% off all time high). 

I don't think it gets there but fundamentally it is not crazy, but from there it will be a great time to invest.    And the orange guy will proclaim that he created the best stock market in History but he will leave out it was from a crazy low solely due to his actions.   

[ChpBstrd]

The bottom will be where the top previously was at a previous time.

So really we're all just going back in time.

So much winning. I am so tired of winning....

I always wanted to redo high school with all the knowledge and confidence I have today.

We do get younger as a part of this deal, right?

[dandarc]

The bottom will be where the top previously was at a previous time.

So really we're all just going back in time.

So much winning. I am so tired of winning....

I always wanted to redo high school with all the knowledge and confidence I have today.

We do get younger as a part of this deal, right?

I'd personally settle for just the confidence.

[Poundwise]

The bottom will be where the top previously was at a previous time.

So really we're all just going back in time.

So much winning. I am so tired of winning....

I always wanted to redo high school with all the knowledge and confidence I have today.

We do get younger as a part of this deal, right?

I'd personally settle for just the confidence.

Our government now consists of the top confidence men.

[GuitarStv]

The bottom will be where the top previously was at a previous time.

So really we're all just going back in time.

So much winning. I am so tired of winning....

I always wanted to redo high school with all the knowledge and confidence I have today.

We do get younger as a part of this deal, right?

I'd personally settle for just the confidence.

Our government now consists of the top confidence men.

Somehow that doesn't inspire confidence though, does it?

[aloevera1]

so, is the top in or is the bottom in?

[Kapyarn]

so, is the top in or is the bottom in?

Both, we have flatlined.

[41_swish]

It will trade sideways and then go down and then go up with no rhyme or reason

[vand]

sudden jump on mutterings of a 90 day pause.. just utterly ridiculous how trillions of $$$ comes and goes depending on what side of his bread this orange moron decides to butter each day.

[Tigerpine]

Woah!  What happened all of a sudden?

The S&P 500 is suddenly up over 7%?

Return of the top!

[BrandonP]

sudden jump on mutterings of a 90 day pause.. just utterly ridiculous how trillions of $$$ comes and goes depending on what side of his bread this orange moron decides to butter each day.

100%

[dragoncar]

Woah!  What happened all of a sudden?

The S&P 500 is suddenly up over 7%?

Return of the top!

Supposed 90 day pause of tariffs.  Market sending a clear signal here.  Of course it happens just as I consider throwing my annual ira contribution into the market.  OTOH I still want to go to cash. 

There are two wolves inside you: one wants to buy and hold, the other wants to go to cash

THANK YOU THORSTACHE.  If you hadn’t posted, we would be in a much worse place

[dividendman]

Woah!  What happened all of a sudden?

The S&P 500 is suddenly up over 7%?

Return of the top!

Supposed 90 day pause of tariffs.  Market sending a clear signal here.  Of course it happens just as I consider throwing my annual ira contribution into the market.


THANK YOU THORSTACHE.  If you hadn’t posted, we would be in a much worse place

Just give it a day or two and Dementia Donnie will reverse it.

[Must_ache]

bottom is in

[dragoncar]

bottom is in

Uh oh

[EscapeVelocity2020]

Trump is going for the never before accomplished 'Top and Bottom Is In' in one day!

[GuitarStv]

Trump is going for the never before accomplished 'Top and Bottom Is In' in one day!

All I can picture is a naked Trump self-fellating while rolling around the oval office in a sort of ouroboros of orange bronzer, jello-y flesh, and disheveled hairpiece while Republicans in the room look on with a gentle swelling of quiet pride.

[EscapeVelocity2020]

Trump is going for the never before accomplished 'Top and Bottom Is In' in one day!

All I can picture is a naked Trump self-fellating while rolling around the oval office in a sort of ouroboros of orange bronzer, jello-y flesh, and disheveled hairpiece while Republicans in the room look on with a gentle swelling of quiet pride.

I'll need to feed this in to Groq's image generator!  Sadly the result won't be possible to be shared due to forum rules on common decency.

[Zamboni]

I'd say I need some valium or I need to get off this 5 cent carnival ride.
But, I'm resigned to our bottom is in / top is in / bottom is in kind of whiplash year.

[41_swish]

I am done acting like I have any clue.

[sonofsven]

The Bonds Strike Back