Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 3613814 times)

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11100 on: February 25, 2025, 08:18:38 AM »
Finally! Extreme Fear is driving the Market.  Hang on its about to get interesting. 

 Long live the TOP....



 

GuitarStv

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11101 on: February 25, 2025, 08:37:19 AM »
Finally! Extreme Fear is driving the Market.

Artist's rendering:


Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11102 on: February 25, 2025, 08:43:09 AM »
America becoming great.. Apparently.

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11103 on: February 25, 2025, 09:58:50 AM »
America becoming great.. Apparently.
Well, stocks were a lot cheaper back in the great ole days.

Glenstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11104 on: February 25, 2025, 10:30:37 AM »
Seemed a good time to show what's really happening with a magic marker.

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11105 on: February 25, 2025, 12:01:13 PM »
Seemed a good time to show what's really happening with a magic marker.

I raise and call your 17.28% in loonies.


SilentC

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11106 on: February 25, 2025, 12:27:41 PM »
I hate to bring seriousness here, but it feels like the market might be remembering that Trump does not do a large percentage of what he says he will do, that DOGE = austerity and that lots of what Trump/Musk want to do to cut costs is basically illegal or grey area and will be met with resistance so our debt problem will not go away in six months.  Also AI bubble is in, companies in industries not related to power generation or AI in any way are spec building generators and power plants. Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Tyson

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11107 on: February 25, 2025, 12:55:09 PM »
I hate to bring seriousness here, but it feels like the market might be remembering that Trump does not do a large percentage of what he says he will do, that DOGE = austerity and that lots of what Trump/Musk want to do to cut costs is basically illegal or grey area and will be met with resistance so our debt problem will not go away in six months.  Also AI bubble is in, companies in industries not related to power generation or AI in any way are spec building generators and power plants. Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

SilentC, I think what you meant to say is this:

Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11108 on: February 25, 2025, 12:59:26 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

SilentC

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11109 on: February 25, 2025, 01:08:14 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11110 on: February 25, 2025, 01:14:22 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

my EAFE index (17% AA) is showing all greens: one day, 5 day, 1 month, 6 months.  Top is in.

SilentC

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11111 on: February 25, 2025, 01:17:35 PM »
I hate to bring seriousness here, but it feels like the market might be remembering that Trump does not do a large percentage of what he says he will do, that DOGE = austerity and that lots of what Trump/Musk want to do to cut costs is basically illegal or grey area and will be met with resistance so our debt problem will not go away in six months.  Also AI bubble is in, companies in industries not related to power generation or AI in any way are spec building generators and power plants. Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

SilentC, I think what you meant to say is this:

Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check.

I wouldn’t even call it fear though.  More like some semblance of sobriety, like some inconvenient facts starting to be noticed.

GuitarStv

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11112 on: February 25, 2025, 01:22:14 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

I'm about 20/20/20/40 - Cad/US/Intl/Bnd.  If Trump does get his way and starts a trade war with his tariffs I have some concerns about how the CAD section will do.  Unfortunately we're very deeply intwined with the US at many levels.

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11113 on: February 25, 2025, 05:07:21 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

I'm about 20/20/20/40 - Cad/US/Intl/Bnd.  If Trump does get his way and starts a trade war with his tariffs I have some concerns about how the CAD section will do.  Unfortunately we're very deeply intwined with the US at many levels.

Is there really a safe harbor at this point?  I refuse to actually invest in BTC

AuspiciousEight

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11114 on: February 25, 2025, 05:14:31 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

I'm about 20/20/20/40 - Cad/US/Intl/Bnd.  If Trump does get his way and starts a trade war with his tariffs I have some concerns about how the CAD section will do.  Unfortunately we're very deeply intwined with the US at many levels.

Is there really a safe harbor at this point?  I refuse to actually invest in BTC

Toilet paper.

If the shit really does hit the fan it will come in handy.

Glenstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11115 on: February 25, 2025, 06:48:34 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

I'm about 20/20/20/40 - Cad/US/Intl/Bnd.  If Trump does get his way and starts a trade war with his tariffs I have some concerns about how the CAD section will do.  Unfortunately we're very deeply intwined with the US at many levels.

Is there really a safe harbor at this point?  I refuse to actually invest in BTC

Toilet paper.

If the shit really does hit the fan it will come in handy.

What is this "if" word you are using? i think you meant, "when."

SilentC

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11116 on: February 25, 2025, 08:05:04 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

I'm about 20/20/20/40 - Cad/US/Intl/Bnd.  If Trump does get his way and starts a trade war with his tariffs I have some concerns about how the CAD section will do.  Unfortunately we're very deeply intwined with the US at many levels.

Is there really a safe harbor at this point?  I refuse to actually invest in BTC

BTC is not a safe haven, it’s like being levered long the Mag 7.  Safe havens usually don’t go from 105 to 89 when things get a little choppy.  Edit - also, Melania coin is approximately the top for crypto this cycle.
« Last Edit: February 25, 2025, 08:07:51 PM by SilentC »

Fru-Gal

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11117 on: February 25, 2025, 10:18:24 PM »
Moving from 70/30 to 60/40 with plenty of international and real asset exposure.

Invest in the Maple Leaf!

I've always been only 25% of investments US total market, in fact almost 50% of NW is real estate.

Ha, about half the money I’ve invested the last nine months has been in Canadian stocks or REITs.

I'm about 20/20/20/40 - Cad/US/Intl/Bnd.  If Trump does get his way and starts a trade war with his tariffs I have some concerns about how the CAD section will do.  Unfortunately we're very deeply intwined with the US at many levels.

Is there really a safe harbor at this point?  I refuse to actually invest in BTC

Green energy. Nuclear, solar, wind, etc.

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11118 on: February 25, 2025, 11:00:59 PM »
Crypto is a literal ponzie scheme. It is astrology for me. I will buy beanie babies before I buy crypto.

dandarc

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11119 on: February 26, 2025, 07:09:24 AM »
Just got something in my facebook feed showing VIX is through the roof (not just over 15 - over 20!!!!) . . . TOP IS IN!

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11120 on: February 26, 2025, 10:16:29 AM »
Yeah sorry I wasn’t advocating BTC as a safe harbor just trying to head off any suggestion that crypto would qualify.  It’s likely safe from certain specific risks but has its own challenges and at this point even if it were “safe” I don’t think I’d want to enrich the people who would be selling it to me

But I digress… countdown to 10k posts top is in.  All downhill from here.  When we reach zero, your gonna see some shit

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11121 on: February 26, 2025, 11:15:28 AM »
Edit - also, Melania coin is approximately the top for crypto this cycle.
Wait, are you saying Melania Coin top is in? That's what I fled to in order to avoid the stock market top!

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11122 on: February 27, 2025, 10:21:55 AM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11123 on: February 27, 2025, 01:34:59 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

-89% on hers, lol. 

AuspiciousEight

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11124 on: February 27, 2025, 02:15:37 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D

GuitarStv

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11125 on: February 27, 2025, 02:20:21 PM »
50% Gambling in Vegas.


It's good that you have a safe allocation of funds in case your riskier assets don't work out.

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11126 on: February 27, 2025, 03:38:19 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

Ah, but I'm buying the dip (knowingly taps head)

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11127 on: February 27, 2025, 10:18:33 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
I also cashed out my my 401k and Roth IRA to buy beanie babies. The top is so so so in

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11128 on: February 28, 2025, 12:42:48 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11129 on: February 28, 2025, 04:39:04 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.
I have a 100% allocation in beanie babies. There is literally a finite supply of them, so the value can only go up.

Fru-Gal

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11130 on: February 28, 2025, 05:55:21 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.
I have a 100% allocation in beanie babies. There is literally a finite supply of them, so the value can only go up.

Not only is the supply finite, no one can quite explain the appeal of beanie babies. That in itself means beanie babies are very valuable.

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11131 on: March 01, 2025, 09:11:01 AM »
Just got something in my facebook feed showing VIX is through the roof (not just over 15 - over 20!!!!) . . . TOP IS IN!

Once VIX is on Facebook, you’re all fucked.   Thank goodness for global diversification.

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11132 on: March 02, 2025, 10:49:38 AM »
Just got something in my facebook feed showing VIX is through the roof (not just over 15 - over 20!!!!) . . . TOP IS IN!

Once VIX is on Facebook, you’re all fucked.   Thank goodness for global diversification.
Anytime I see somebody talking about investing on Facebook or post a screenshot of VIX, I know we are so cooked.

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11133 on: March 03, 2025, 07:22:35 PM »
Where's one last @thorstach post?  Trump has finally put the Top In and we don't get so much as a peep...

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11134 on: March 03, 2025, 09:48:11 PM »
Where's one last @thorstach post?  Trump has finally put the Top In and we don't get so much as a peep...

Well yeah that actually tracks

Monocle Money Mouth

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11135 on: March 04, 2025, 02:43:45 AM »
Where's one last @thorstach post?  Trump has finally put the Top In and we don't get so much as a peep...

We finally got a legitimate Trump Dump, and silence. How are we supposed to know if the top is actually in now?

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11136 on: March 04, 2025, 05:32:52 AM »
Where's one last @thorstach post?  Trump has finally put the Top In and we don't get so much as a peep...

Well yeah that actually tracks

I’m beginning to think he’s not very good at calling The Top…. But I’ll give it another few years just in case

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11137 on: March 04, 2025, 07:02:25 AM »
Where's one last @thorstach post?  Trump has finally put the Top In and we don't get so much as a peep...
We finally got a legitimate Trump Dump, and silence. How are we supposed to know if the top is actually in now?
This thread has literally been warning us since 2017. What more advance notice could you ask for? Peeps are not necessary because The Top Is Already In and there is no longer a point in warning us if we refused to listen for 8 years.

Fru-Gal

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11138 on: March 04, 2025, 09:14:47 AM »
TSLA down over 7% today so far. Who knew losing could feel this good?

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11139 on: March 04, 2025, 10:34:04 AM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.

If you place 50% on Red and the other half on Black = Winning, I wonder why more people don't use this strategy
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 10:39:05 AM by aboatguy »

RWD

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11140 on: March 04, 2025, 12:48:42 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.

If you place 50% on Red and the other half on Black = Winning, I wonder why more people don't use this strategy

Don't forget to put some on Green.

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11141 on: March 04, 2025, 05:45:14 PM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.

If you place 50% on Red and the other half on Black = Winning, I wonder why more people don't use this strategy

Don't forget to put some on Green.
You can play the courtesy bet on the 2nd and 3rd third split.

Don't shun me for knowing how to play Roulette haha

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11142 on: March 05, 2025, 06:44:49 AM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.

If you place 50% on Red and the other half on Black = Winning, I wonder why more people don't use this strategy

Don't forget to put some on Green.

Those pesky zeros.....!

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11143 on: March 05, 2025, 09:15:18 AM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.

If you place 50% on Red and the other half on Black = Winning, I wonder why more people don't use this strategy

Don't forget to put some on Green.

Those pesky zeros.....!
The Europeans only have one zero :) American roulette is traditionally double zero and sometimes triple zero.

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11144 on: March 05, 2025, 09:37:40 AM »
If you are buying Melania or Trump coin, you deserve to get scammed.

I wish you would have told me this earlier...I already sold all my stocks.

My new capital allocation is:

25% Melania coin
25% Trump coin
50% Gambling in Vegas.

:D
Man, IDK about that 50% allocation to Vegas. I hear rumors that the odds are against you.
If you place 50% on Red and the other half on Black = Winning, I wonder why more people don't use this strategy
Don't forget to put some on Green.

Those pesky zeros.....!
The Europeans only have one zero :) American roulette is traditionally double zero and sometimes triple zero.
How interesting. A direct measure of how much worse at math we are than the Europeans. IQ top is in.

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11145 on: March 06, 2025, 10:12:20 AM »
Top has BEEN in. I felt like the SP500 was stuck at 6000 +/- 200 pts when Trump was elected. His erratic nature leaves too much uncertainty in the air for investors.

Time to just DCA for 4 years.

I usually put 7k in my Roth IRA right when I can, but I think for the foreseeable future DCAing into it will be fine

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11146 on: March 10, 2025, 11:03:54 AM »
 

Seems everyone's going down.....except Warren Buffett
« Last Edit: March 10, 2025, 11:05:37 AM by aboatguy »

Glenstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11147 on: March 10, 2025, 11:35:05 AM »
Beep! Beep! Top is in!

41_swish

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11148 on: March 10, 2025, 04:11:32 PM »
Top is in time to just keep buying for 15 years

MrGreen

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #11149 on: March 11, 2025, 11:07:00 AM »
Correction is in!

 

Wow, a phone plan for fifteen bucks!