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Learning, Sharing, and Teaching => Investor Alley => Topic started by: HeadedWest2029 on October 09, 2018, 07:53:57 AM

Title: Average Investor Allocation to Equities as a predictor of future returns
Post by: HeadedWest2029 on October 09, 2018, 07:53:57 AM

Don't @ me about market timing.  I just found this article fun and interesting
https://ofdollarsanddata.com/why-the-best-predictor-of-future-stock-market-returns-is-useless/ (https://ofdollarsanddata.com/why-the-best-predictor-of-future-stock-market-returns-is-useless/)

The original research is here http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-greatest-predictor-of-future-stock-market-returns/ (http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-greatest-predictor-of-future-stock-market-returns/)

Definitely a new metric I'd never heard of before