Author Topic: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?  (Read 5651 times)

geo_kale

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Life Situation: Hi, we're 25 & 30 years old, living together in Northern Colorado with two pups and a cat. We both file as single with no dependents. We’re not in a rush to get married and are unsure about having kids. We work for the same organization which is a 1/2 mile from home (Glorious!). We've been following MMM for about 9 months now and are starting to get serious about our early retirement goals. We’re debt free (yay!) and would love to be retired in 10 years, but we’re still learning how to project our FI date with any confidence. In general, we're happy with where our expenses are but would like advice on investments and how to separate our money into all the buckets we have available to us. Thank you for your time and advice!
            
Gross Monthly Salaries:   
-Earner 1:  $3,956.33 ($47,476 annually) – There are good opportunities for growth in this position. I'm at the bottom of my salary range. Love the commute and relatively low stress.
-Earner 2:  $3,797.42 ($45,569 annually) – Not much opportunity for growth, looking at standard 3% increases annually. I like the job and love the commute and low stress.
-Total: $7,753.75 ($93,045.00 annually)         

Monthly Paycheck Deductions:
-401ks:  $3,000.00 – We both max our 401ks (Employer matches 7% each)
-HSAs:  $566.67 – Employer contributes $700 each. We contribute the difference to max annually.
-457s:  $800.00 – We only began taking advantage of this in May 2017. We're starting with $400 each per month…still fiddling with this number, but we're getting close to the edge of our saving limit/cash flow. (Or so we think).
Total: $4,366.67   
         
Monthly Taxes:  $746.00 – Tips for how to de-mystify tax calculations? To get this estimate I did a paycheck calculator with all our deductions (including $200 each into 457 which hasn't officially started yet). Then I multiplied that number by 26 pay periods and divided by 12 to get the monthly estimate. *shrug*
         
Net Take Home Pay:  $2,641.08
         
Average Monthly Expenses:
-Mortgage (Principle and Interest):  $557.00      
-Mortgage (Taxes and Insurance):  $208.00
-Necessary: $966.00 - Groceries are around $300. The other large pieces have been pet-related or car maintenance. The car average should be decreasing since we’re down to one car.
-Discretionary: $583.00 – Largely home improvements but we’ve cooled it on this recently.
-Total: $2,314.00

2017 Additional Income (So Far):
-Truck 1:  $5,500.00      
-Truck 2:  $13,000.00 – #OneCarFamily
-Craigslist:  $615.00 – We've had fun downsizing and finding random things to sell around the house
-Etsy: $0.00 – Currently stalled on our Etsy shop, but wanting to prepare it for 2017 holidays.   
Total: $19,115.00      
         
Investments/Cash:
-401ks:  $52,254.00 – We’re invested in small and large cap index funds with an ER of .6% *
-HSAs:   $5,976.00 – Best investment option has ER of .4% * with a $2.50 monthly admin fee
-457s:   $0.00 – Will start this month. Best investment option has a 1% ER *
-Roth IRA: $11,791.00 – VTSAX (We both max IRAs each year. Alternating Roth and traditional)
-tIRAs: $33,901.00 – VTSAX
-Taxable: $7,050.00 – VTSMX, this was funded in part with first truck sale. (Emergency fund).
-Checking/Savings Accounts: $23,245.00   - Just sold truck #2. We’re deciding how to strategize with this extra cash. Typically we keep enough in checking to cover our bills and a little emergency.
-Total: $134,217.00   
   
* Note on expense ratios: We work for a small organization so the fees tend to be higher than what one might get elsewhere. I’m on the review team for our benefits and have been working with Human Resources to explore better options.
      
House:   
-Zestimate: $248,574.00 (Purchased the house in 2010 for $142,500. Front Range, CO markets are hot.)
-Outstanding Mortgage:    $106,737.00 – (4.25% interest)
Equity: $141,837.00      
         
Net Worth:  $276,054.00         
         
Specific Questions:
1. We recently sold our 4x4 Frontier for 13k and would love advice about where to put this money. We’re thinking of either investing in taxable VTSAX or living off this cash while we funnel more money into our 457s. We like the taxable option because the money is more accessible than in the 457 where it would be tied-up until separation of employment. We also understand the tax benefits of the 457, especially since we're both young.       

2. We've been experimenting with the amount we can comfortably pump into pre-tax accounts. We're still not sure how to predict our tax bill at the end of the year though. We’d like this to be less of a surprise/guessing game. Are there strategies you can provide for how to calculate end of year taxes? Even paycheck taxes are confusing to us...#newbs   

3. I mentioned above that our expense ratios aren’t great, but we’re hoping that might improve. In the meantime, how much weight should we put on a 1% expense ratio? Should that impact where/how we save?    

4. At what point will we be in “danger” of saving too much in 401k/IRAs, or “old people money”.  Should we reverse and max 457 before 401k (keeping match), even though the 457 has a higher expense ratio?

Thank you for reading!!


ysette9

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2017, 01:00:42 PM »
Hi there! It sounds like you are in a really good position and have good habits in place. Congrats and welcome to the MMM forums/way of life. I can't answer all of your questions but I can address a few things. Honestly, stuff like taxes is still a learning area for me as well, so I'll let others address that.

As for the money from the vehicle sale, what about an IRA? That would give you the tax advantage space but with more flexibility than being tied to an employer-sponsored plan. You could put that money in Vanguard and get the best fund options and fees while you are at it.

The second thing that glares at me is that you are treating your entire situation as if you were married, with joint cash flow and finances and looking at the portfolio from a single, combined perspective. I'd really advise you to either 1) get married to make that a reality or 2) treat your finances as separate because they actually are. We never want to plan for the worst, but if you broke up for some reason, one or the other of you could be in a tough spot if you did all of your planning jointly. Specifically, I think each person should decide on his/her preferred asset allocation and ensure that that AA is achieved across that single person's accounts, not across the entire portfolio of both people's accounts. You also need to think carefully about things like who you put down as a beneficiary on your accounts. Normally married people put each other, but single people would put a close family member. Finally, how is the house held? Are you both on the title/loan or is one person and the other paying rent to the other? Again, you don't want to plan for a relationship failure, but there was a dude on these forums just a few months ago whose girlfriend was in the process of majorly screwing him over because they had commingled their finances with respect to purchasing a house with no formal documentation to protect him when she decided she wasn't into their relationship anymore. There is no need to take unnecessary risk when there are plenty of methods to protect each of you.

I think your spending looks great and you are saving a nice % of your joint income. Keep plugging away!

MDM

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2017, 01:24:36 PM »
Monthly Taxes:  $746.00 – Tips for how to de-mystify tax calculations? To get this estimate I did a paycheck calculator with all our deductions (including $200 each into 457 which hasn't officially started yet). Then I multiplied that number by 26 pay periods and divided by 12 to get the monthly estimate. *shrug*

2. We've been experimenting with the amount we can comfortably pump into pre-tax accounts. We're still not sure how to predict our tax bill at the end of the year though. We’d like this to be less of a surprise/guessing game. Are there strategies you can provide for how to calculate end of year taxes? Even paycheck taxes are confusing to us...#newbs
Try printing copies of IRS forms 1040, 8889, and 8880, and filling them in by hand.  You might use the case study spreadsheet (CSS) to double check your math.  Start with your 2016 numbers, because you should already have "the answers" from however you did your 2016 taxes.

Once you have successfully done 2016, then you can estimate 2017. 

See this post in Roth Conversion ladder questions for a link to the 2016 version of the CSS, and the rest of that thread for various tax discussions.

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1. We recently sold our 4x4 Frontier for 13k and would love advice about where to put this money. We’re thinking of either investing in taxable VTSAX or living off this cash while we funnel more money into our 457s. We like the taxable option because the money is more accessible than in the 457 where it would be tied-up until separation of employment. We also understand the tax benefits of the 457, especially since we're both young.
Unless you have a specific short term need for cash, the highlighted sentence is likely your best answer.

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3. I mentioned above that our expense ratios aren’t great, but we’re hoping that might improve. In the meantime, how much weight should we put on a 1% expense ratio? Should that impact where/how we save?
It's not great, but see To 401k or not to 401k? That is the question. for more details.

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4. At what point will we be in “danger” of saving too much in 401k/IRAs, or “old people money”.  Should we reverse and max 457 before 401k (keeping match), even though the 457 has a higher expense ratio?
See How to withdraw funds from your IRA and 401k without penalty before age 59.5 for the first question - in short, "never" is a reasonable guess.  Your 457 vs. 401k situation is less clear, but given your ages (and thus presumably >10 years to retirement) the lower expense ratio seems better. 

geo_kale

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2017, 02:19:57 PM »
The second thing that glares at me is that you are treating your entire situation as if you were married, with joint cash flow and finances and looking at the portfolio from a single, combined perspective. I'd really advise you to either 1) get married to make that a reality or 2) treat your finances as separate because they actually are.

Yes this is super valid. It's something that's been pointed out to us by both of our families as well. We recently made the decision to list one another as beneficiaries on our respective accounts since we're building this together. The house is in his name - I pay him rent. We'll talk about this some more...it's easy when you're in a healthy relationship to assume everything will turn out okay, but I'm thankful for the outsider's perspective.

Try printing copies of IRS forms 1040, 8889, and 8880, and filling them in by hand.  You might use the case study spreadsheet (CSS) to double check your math.  Start with your 2016 numbers, because you should already have "the answers" from however you did your 2016 taxes.

Once you have successfully done 2016, then you can estimate 2017. 

See this post in Roth Conversion ladder questions for a link to the 2016 version of the CSS, and the rest of that thread for various tax discussions.

It's not great, but see To 401k or not to 401k? That is the question. for more details.

See How to withdraw funds from your IRA and 401k without penalty before age 59.5 for the first question - in short, "never" is a reasonable guess.  Your 457 vs. 401k situation is less clear, but given your ages (and thus presumably >10 years to retirement) the lower expense ratio seems better. 

MDM thank you for all those resources!

zolotiyeruki

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2017, 02:35:44 PM »
Let me get this straight:  each of you is earning ~$46k/year, and saving $18k (401k)+$5.5k (IRA)+$4.8k (457)?

That leaves each of you with a MAGI of <18k.  Take out an exemption ($4k) and a standard deduction ($6k), and you're well inside the 10% tax bracket.  For me, that would mean that it's time to put some of those savings toward a Roth IRA rather than the traditional IRA.  Generally speaking, a 10% marginal rate is as good as you're going to get.  Also, you want to make sure you have plenty of (Roth contributions + taxable investments) when you ER to cover your first 5 years of expenses while you build your Roth ladder.

Here's what I'd do:  The top of the 10% bracket is $9325.  Add a standard deduction ($6350) and personal exemption ($4050), and you can have an AGI as high as  $19,725 before you hit the 15% tax bracket.  So take your $45,569, and contribute $25844 to pre-tax accounts to bring your AGI down to $19,725 (or thereabouts).  Anything left over can go into a taxable or a Roth account of some sort.

As for getting a reasonable estimate of your tax bill, it shouldn't be that hard.  Besides, your 2017 contributions don't all have to happen in 2017.  You can get to January 2018, do a dry run of your taxes, and then make a final prior-year contribution to your retirement account(s) to get everything where you want.

MDM

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2017, 03:00:45 PM »
...take your $45,569, and contribute $25844 to pre-tax accounts to bring your AGI down to $19,725 (or thereabouts).
If one can get that low, there is a significant benefit to another $1225 in traditional contributions, dropping the AGI to $18500.  See Form 8880.

In round numbers, a $46K single income will have $4874 federal tax.  Contributing $27500 to traditional accounts reduces that tax to $0, so the marginal saving rate is 4874/27500 = 17.7%.  If the marginal withdrawal tax rate will be 15%, traditional is still better than Roth even though the person is in the "10% bracket."

But any contributions beyond that $27500 for this case should definitely be Roth, because the marginal rate will likely be 0%.

zolotiyeruki

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #6 on: May 04, 2017, 04:06:01 PM »
...take your $45,569, and contribute $25844 to pre-tax accounts to bring your AGI down to $19,725 (or thereabouts).
If one can get that low, there is a significant benefit to another $1225 in traditional contributions, dropping the AGI to $18500.  See Form 8880.

In round numbers, a $46K single income will have $4874 federal tax.  Contributing $27500 to traditional accounts reduces that tax to $0, so the marginal saving rate is 4874/27500 = 17.7%.  If the marginal withdrawal tax rate will be 15%, traditional is still better than Roth even though the person is in the "10% bracket."

But any contributions beyond that $27500 for this case should definitely be Roth, because the marginal rate will likely be 0%.
Oooh, I had forgotten about the retirement savings credit.  Nice catch! 

When you say that contributing $27.5k to traditional (i.e. tax-deferred) accounts reduces the tax to $0, it seems like you're including that retirement savings credit.  Am I understanding that correctly?    It's absolutely worth putting the extra $1225 into tax-deferred, because you get $1000 back in a tax credit. 

MDM

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2017, 04:14:09 PM »
Oooh, I had forgotten about the retirement savings credit.  Nice catch!
Thanks - that's a problem with some "tax estimation" software (e.g., TaxCaster): they ignore the saver's and possibly other credits.

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When you say that contributing $27.5k to traditional (i.e. tax-deferred) accounts reduces the tax to $0, it seems like you're including that retirement savings credit.  Am I understanding that correctly?
Yes, that's correct.

geo_kale

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #8 on: May 04, 2017, 04:55:45 PM »
MDM and zolotiyeruki, wow. Thank you for your time on this. It sounds like decisions for how to optimize our investments will become much easier if we understand the tax intricacies. That's where we'll focus our research.

Babybalrog

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2017, 01:18:48 PM »
Depending on how much cash emergency fund you want to keep. I would put that truck money into the 457 plan. You say it has high fees and that is disappointing, because if the fees were the same, I think the 457 plan is a little better. The reason is that with a 457 plan you can withdraw the money.
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With a 457, you can take penalty-free withdrawals at any age. With a 401(k), if you leave a job before the year you reach age 55, they will be a 10% penalty on any withdrawals before age 59 ½. Keep your money in the 457 after you leave your job, rather than rolling it into an IRA, if you may want to access the money before age 59½. If it’s in an IRA, withdrawals before then are subject to a 10% penalty.

http://www.kiplinger.com/article/retirement/T047-C001-S001-rules-for-457-retirement-plans.html

Now add to that the IRA ladder linked by MDM and you're golden.

One quirk about the 457 besides the fees, is technically it's not your money until you leave. So in the risk of your employer going bankrupt the money can disappear. If you work for a government like me that not really a concern, but if it's a small non profit be careful.

Also check with your plan provider to see if either your 401k or 457 offer Roth contributions, or after tax contributions which are nearly the same but different.

geo_kale

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2017, 03:17:41 PM »
Depending on how much cash emergency fund you want to keep. I would put that truck money into the 457 plan.
Thank you for the comments! I think we've decided to fund the 457 with at least some of that truck money. We work for government so the money would be safe from creditors.

Also check with your plan provider to see if either your 401k or 457 offer Roth contributions, or after tax contributions which are nearly the same but different.
I will definitely ask our benefit providers about a Roth 401k option. I'm also hoping we can bundle our 457 business with our 401k business (currently they're with two separate companies). I think this will help with fees.

We're going to focus on the taxes now and really try to understand all the numbers. I think this will be our greatest guide/point of reference.

geo_kale

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #11 on: May 05, 2017, 05:24:23 PM »
In round numbers, a $46K single income will have $4874 federal tax.  Contributing $27500 to traditional accounts reduces that tax to $0, so the marginal saving rate is 4874/27500 = 17.7%.  If the marginal withdrawal tax rate will be 15%, traditional is still better than Roth even though the person is in the "10% bracket."

But any contributions beyond that $27500 for this case should definitely be Roth, because the marginal rate will likely be 0%.

Hey MDM, how did you get the $4874 in the bold portion above?

I'm starting to understand the math you and zolotiyeruki are using after taking your advice to fill in the 1040, 8880 and 8889 forms. After running my numbers for 2017, it looks like I'll get a $1467 return. I already maxed my traditional IRA contribution for the year...I'll be smarter about this next time. Maybe I'll pull back the 457 contributions in order to keep my tax return at $0 and funnel that $1467 into taxable accounts? Can you tell me if I'm on the right track?

MDM

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2017, 05:41:21 PM »
In round numbers, a $46K single income will have $4874 federal tax.  Contributing $27500 to traditional accounts reduces that tax to $0, so the marginal saving rate is 4874/27500 = 17.7%.  If the marginal withdrawal tax rate will be 15%, traditional is still better than Roth even though the person is in the "10% bracket."

But any contributions beyond that $27500 for this case should definitely be Roth, because the marginal rate will likely be 0%.

Hey MDM, how did you get the $4874 in the bold portion above?
See the table below.  Just entered =46000/12 in cell Calculations!B2 of the case study spreadsheet.

Quote
I'm starting to understand the math you and zolotiyeruki are using after taking your advice to fill in the 1040, 8880 and 8889 forms. After running my numbers for 2017, it looks like I'll get a $1467 return. I already maxed my traditional IRA contribution for the year...I'll be smarter about this next time. Maybe I'll pull back the 457 contributions in order to keep my tax return at $0 and funnel that $1467 into taxable accounts? Can you tell me if I'm on the right track?
As long as you understand the difference between "$0 refund because withholding (say, $1467) equals tax due" vs. "refund of everything withheld because there is $0 tax due for the year", then you are likely OK. 



CategoryMonthly
Comments
Annual
Salary/Wages for earner #1$3,833$46,000
Federal Total Income$3,833$46,000
Federal tax$4062017 rates, S, stand. ded., 1 exempt.$4,874



Filing Status11=S, 2=MFJ, 3=HOH
# Exemptions1
Adult #1
Age30
# of earners1
Total Income$46,000
Std. Deduct.$6,350
Exemption$4,050
AGI$46,000
Taxable$35,600
1040 Tax$4,874
VersionV8.16
« Last Edit: May 05, 2017, 05:47:15 PM by MDM »

geo_kale

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #13 on: May 13, 2017, 03:01:25 PM »
As long as you understand the difference between "$0 refund because withholding (say, $1467) equals tax due" vs. "refund of everything withheld because there is $0 tax due for the year", then you are likely OK.

After running the numbers again it looks like the saver's credit brings me to $0 tax owed (line 63 on 1040 form). So the amount I "overpaid" and will thus have refunded is equal to the federal income tax I had withheld on my W-2.

Does this mean I need to change my W-4? How is it that I would pay $0 tax...am I missing something? 

MDM

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Re: Case Study: Young couple getting serious - How are we doing?
« Reply #14 on: May 13, 2017, 03:17:58 PM »
As long as you understand the difference between "$0 refund because withholding (say, $1467) equals tax due" vs. "refund of everything withheld because there is $0 tax due for the year", then you are likely OK.
After running the numbers again it looks like the saver's credit brings me to $0 tax owed (line 63 on 1040 form). So the amount I "overpaid" and will thus have refunded is equal to the federal income tax I had withheld on my W-2.

Does this mean I need to change my W-4? How is it that I would pay $0 tax...am I missing something?
You aren't required to change the W-4, but it's a good idea if you want to stop giving the IRS an interest-free loan.

If you got a refund of all withholding on your 2016 return, and expect the same for 2017, you can write “Exempt” on line 7.
Otherwise, put some large (e.g., 8 or 9 or 10 or...) number of allowances on line 5.