Author Topic: Pension, Schmension! Retire on Own Terms - Can I? - Case Study!  (Read 3734 times)

Ottawa

  • Handlebar Stache
  • *****
  • Posts: 1033
Pension, Schmension! Retire on Own Terms - Can I? - Case Study!
« on: January 29, 2013, 10:40:21 AM »
I thought I would start a post to follow up on MMM’s pension post: http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2013/01/29/pension-schmension-retire-on-your-own-terms/!  I suspect there are a number of people in a similar situation to myself (government defined benefit pension (DB)). 

I fortunately love my job - but that’s not the point of the following exercise.  The point is to stay or leave on your own terms and at the earliest time (to allow FI) of your choosing.  The general concept that MMM serves up is right of course – in particular in the following case - the notion of a 35 year career in order to ‘qualify’ for the full 70% pension is absurd.  No Mustachian requires this much (btw – the 70% is more like 100% since you no longer contribute to the DB, CPP (Canada pension plan), union dues etc)

The formula for federal government employee pension in Canada is simple:
(average 5 highest consecutive paid years) X (number of years’ service (max=35)) X (2%)
This can be collected without penalty starting at 60.  It is indexed to inflation annually. 

In the case of Ottawa’s family – we will be opting to retire much early and deferring our employer pension until 60. 
The question to consider in this situation is how many years of service are required at 60 and how much cash is required to make it to 60?  The biggest hurdle here is the psychology of leaving 1 million dollars in potential income on the table in addition to potential pension. 

Some more info: Current Plan 
Retirement ‘eligible’ target = 5 full calendar years (~1800 days). 
Age at retirement – turning 46. 
Mr and Mrs Ottawa combined current service = 14 years.  Add 10 more (5 each) for a total of 24 at ‘eligible’ target date at 90K (each).  Plugging into formula:
90K X 24 X 2% = $43,000 combined to collect starting at 60 (inflation adjusted annually). 

Current spending 35K (including child care) – to drop to 30K September of this year.
Annual net savings – 93K
Current Stash = 150K index invested. 
Junior Ottawa school stash = 36K (not used in net worth calculation)
Mortgage free house = 300K

So, total invested cash stash in 5 years at 4% (very conservative = safety margin) approximately 700K.  This should throw off around 30K in dividends without eating principle until pension at 60. 

Yes; I know this is excessive.  I’m really having a tough time with the psychology of cutting FI down further!

As I have typed out this post, I thought of the simple sliding calculation table below (Stash Projected at 4% dividend reinvestment only - Capital gains assumed zero)!

Age       41           42          43          44          45          46
Date   Jan 13   Jan 14   Jan 15   Jan 16   Jan 17   Jan 18
Pension
Worth   24870    28046     31222     34398     37574     40750
Stash   150000   250000   355000   465000   582000   703000

This table shows current ‘5 year’ FI at far right.  Now that I look at the numbers…depending on conditions over the next couple years…I think FI could occur in 1000 days!??  Age 43!??  That would see a stash of 400K and a pension of 33K at 60…

Have I answered my own question?

Face Punches Most Welcome.

burly

  • Stubble
  • **
  • Posts: 151
  • Location: East
Re: Pension, Schmension! Retire on Own Terms - Can I? - Case Study!
« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2013, 05:10:37 PM »
Maybe I misread, however your stash of $400k may carry you 17 years until your pension kicks in but that seems close to me. You're going to be taking heavy principal withdrawals out each year, but your expenses should continue to decline as your retire as well.

Personally, I would wait another year or two, I like the idea of 700k in savings, live off the interest, and then your pension is just an added bonus... perhaps set up a trust so Ottawa Jr may have something to start his life off with?